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NBA Player Prop Best Bets – 1/28/23

Oh, it is great for the weekend to finally arrive. Eleven games in the NBA this Saturday. We are looking to bounce back after a tough outing in our last article. Here are my favorite NBA player prop bets for today’s NBA slate.

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NBA Player Prop Best Bets

Julius Randle Over 26.5 Points

As a Knicks fan, it’s nice to see how well Julius Randle has been playing. He and Bruson are a great combination. Randle is coming off two really good games where he led the Knicks to two straight wins.

In those two wins, Randle scored 37 against the Celtics and 36 against the Cavs. In the last four games, Randle has scored a total of 128 points while averaging 32 points per game during that span. His points per game number goes up to 28.4 in his last five games.

The number seems pretty high considering Randle only scored 24 points during their first meeting. But the Brooklyn Nets are 7th in the league in points allowed and 3rd in points allowed. Randle should have plenty of opportunities to get over his point prop with the number of shots he takes and the Nets giving up a lot of volumes.

Franz Wagner Over 18.5 Points

I always find myself diving into Orlando Magic player props. Don’t know why but they have some nice pieces for the future. One of those players is Franz Wager who is having a nice season averaging 20.2 points per game while shooting 49.2% from the field.

Wagner has gone over this number in three of his last five games averaging 19.4 points per game during that five-game stretch. The number gets even better if you go back to his last ten games. Wagner has gone over this number in seven of his last ten games while averaging 21.4 points per game during that span.

The Bulls are middle of the pack in regard to their defense. 18th in the league in points allowed and 16th in the league in FG% allowed. Wagner has been putting up a lot of shots recently and the last time he faced the Bulls, he scored 20 points. I like Wagner to have a similar outing at home today.

LeBron James Over 28.5 Points

Even at age 38, LeBron James is still playing at a high level. James is 7th in the league this year averaging 29.9 points per game. Tonight, the Lakers play one of the best teams in the league, the Boston Celtics.

Now, even though the Lakers lost their first meeting with the Celtics, LeBron had a hell of a game. James dropped 33 points, 9 boards, and dished out 9 assists. These are the games James gets up for when everyone is watching. The Celtics are on a three-game losing streak and not playing the best defense as of late.

James has gone over this number in 3 of his last 5 games averaging 31.6 points per game. Now, the numbers get better over James’ last ten games. James has gone over this number in six of his last ten games averaging 32.7 points per game. Expect another big night out of LeBron James. I love this NBA Player Prop as one best bet for tonight!

Spencer Dinwiddie Over 2.5 3pt Made

Spencer Dinwiddie has found himself a nice home in Dallas. His numbers are up across the board. I don’t know if it’s because he’s playing with Luka or has more confidence in his game but whatever it is, I like it.

Instead of attacking his points prop, I’m going to look at his 3pt made prop. Dinwiddie is shooting 40.7% from behind the arch this season which is up from 33.9% last season. The last time the Mavs played the Jazz, Dinwiddie was able to make four threes and go over this number.

Dinwiddie has gone over this number in four of his last five games. Spencer is also shooting the three much better on the road at 45.8%. In 23 road games this season, Dinwiddie has gone over this number 15 times hitting this mark 65% of the time. At 2.5 the line seems a little short to me. Utah doesn’t do a good job defending the three, I think Dinwiddie will have plenty of opportunities to go over his point prop.

Scottie Barnes Over 4.5 Assists

The Raptors are continuing their road trip out West with a matchup between the Trail Blazers. For this game, I’m going to look at the young bull, Scottie Barnes, and his assist prop. Barnes is averaging 4.9 assists on the season and has gone over this number in six straight games.

In their first meeting with the Trail Blazers, Barnes only recorded four assists because he was more of a scorer that day dropping 22 points. Over Barnes’ last five games, he’s recorded 31 assists and averaged 6.2 assists per game during that span. In Barnes’ last ten games, he’s gone over this mark in eight of those ten games.

Barnes is sitting on the court really well right now and playing selfless basketball. The odds might be a little chalky at -130 but like I always say, sometimes the juice is worth the squeeze. I love Barnes to get Over 4.5 Assists as an NBA Player Prop Best Bet!

If you’d like even more information that could help your NBA DFS lineups, be sure to check out the NBA Gambling Podcast. The guys are dropping episodes Monday through Friday every week giving out winners.




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