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Week 10 Underdog Battle Royale Preview

Week 10 Underdog Battle Royale Preview

Hello everyone and welcome to the second edition of this Underdog Battle Royale series. In this article, we will be talking about the best way to attack this weekend’s Week 10 Underdog Battle Royale main slate of games. This includes the best values from each position, stacking options, and the best games to target. Last week was more of an introductory article as I talked a lot about the strategies I’ve been implementing throughout the year. I will touch on that here, but I will be focusing more this week on individual players and specific game breakdowns. Thank you again for reading and good luck this weekend!

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MORE SGPN FANTASY FOOTBALL CONTENT

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Week 10 Underdog Battle Royale Main Slate

As opposed to other DFS sites that base lineups around a salary cap, Underdog uses drafts for larger entry fields and each person is divided into a six-person draft. When the draft concludes your team is submitted into a 56,662-person field. This is different than other DFS sites as you’re at the mercy of other drafters. Who you have on your team will be based on who other fantasy managers draft, which is why I recommend submitting multiple entries to get that optimal lineup.

Lineup: 1 QB, 1 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 Flex

Projected Field: 56, 652 Entrants

10 Games Total


Week 10 Underdog Battle Royale Quarterback Plays

Another unique aspect of Underdog’s Battle Royale tournament is the value of Quarterbacks. Due to the lineups only containing six players, Quarterbacks make up a much higher percentage of the scoring. Every single Battle Royale winner this season has had a top 3 scoring Quarterback from that particular week in their lineup. As a result, we are looking for high-end outcomes from the Quarterbacks we draft which takes most out of consideration.

Below are the Quarterbacks I believe have a top-three finish in their range of outcomes. Remember only six Quarterbacks are drafted in total. Because of this, there is no reason to get too contrarian when making a selection. Very few have top 3 upside and in most drafts, you should stick to these players listed below.


Tier One

Patrick Mahomes – QB – Kansas City Chiefs

ADP: 5.7          Stacking Options: Juju Smith Schuster

With Josh Allen’s health in question, Patrick Mahomes is the clear top Quarterback in this slate of games. This matchup with the Jaguars has the highest over/under of the week and Jacksonville ranks 21st in points given up to opposing Quarterbacks. Don’t be afraid to select him in the first round of Battle Royale drafts this weekend as we could see another 400-yard performance.


Justin Fields – QB – Chicago Bears

ADP: 13.6          Stacking Options: Cole Kmet

No one has been hotter than Justin Fields over the last three weeks as he is the QB1 in fantasy football over that span. The matchup couldn’t be any better either with the Lions who rank 29th in fantasy points given up to Quarterbacks. Rushing Quarterbacks continue to be a cheat code in fantasy football and I don’t think stacking with a Chicago receiving weapon is necessary.


Tua Tagovailoa – QB – Miami Dolphins

ADP: 18.4          Stacking Options: Tyreek Hill or Jaylen Waddle

Another Quarterback who’s shown a lot of improvement in 2022, Tua Tagovailoa leads the NFL in QBR and has been fantastic since returning from a concussion in Week 7. He has the best receiving tandem in the NFL as well giving him one of the safest floors in fantasy football. It is a middling matchup against the Cleveland Browns but Tagovailoa could be forced to throw more if it stays competitive.


Josh Allen – QB – Buffalo Bills

ADP: 20.1          Stacking Option: Gabriel Davis

Josh Allen is normally the first Quarterback selected every week but fantasy managers are clearly wary of his health status. Things appear to be trending in the wrong direction too as most are speculating he is given at least one week of rest. If you’re doing just a couple of drafts Allen should be avoided. However, if you find yourself doing 12+ drafts it wouldn’t be a bad idea to get him on a couple of teams given his discounted price.


Tier Two

Kyler Murray – QB – Arizona Cardinals

ADP: 30.7          Stacking Options: DeAndre Hopkins and Zach Ertz

Trevor Lawrence – QB – Jacksonville Jaguars

ADP: 35.6          Stacking Options: Christian Kirk or Evan Engram

Dak Prescott – QB – Dallas Cowboys

ADP: 31.7          Stacking Options: CeeDee Lamb or Dalton Schultz


Week 10 Underdog Battle Royale Tight End Plays

The second most important position in Underdog’s Battle Royale tournament is the Tight End position. Similar to Quarterback, we are also looking for high-end outcomes as they have a similar success rate. Every single Battle Royale winner has had a top 5 scoring Tight End from that particular week, and all but one had a top-three performance.

As you can see below fantasy managers are catching on as Travis Kelce is the first or second player selected in most drafts. It gets a little bit trickier after that with no Mark Andrews on the slate so finding sleepers is necessary. Below are all the Tight Ends on this slate of games that have a top-three finish in their range of outcomes.


Tier One

Travis Kelce – TE – Kansas City Chiefs

ADP: 1.7

Travis Kelce is in a tier of his own at the Tight End position and his 1.7 ADP is completely justified. He has a top three Tight End finish in every game but one this season and I’ll be drafting him in every Battle Royale I’m given an opportunity. A Mahomes stack will be nearly impossible but if you can pull it off that could be a big money winner.


Tier Two

Zach Ertz – TE – Arizona Cardinals

ADP: 29.7

Zach Ertz has been as reliable as they come scoring double-digit PPR points in all but one game this season. His upside has been slightly capped due to the presence of DeAndre Hopkins, but at a position with few difference-makers, he’s still a top option.


TJ Hockenson – TE – Minnesota Vikings

ADP: 24.7

Hockenson had a great Vikings debut last week catching 8 passes for 70 yards. The talent has always been there for Hockenson however consistency has been an issue. It’s a tough matchup against the Buffalo Bills as well who rank 9th in fantasy points given up to the Tight End position. Very few Tight Ends can say they are the second option in the passing game though so he checks in third in my rankings.


Tier Three

Dalton Schultz – TE – Dallas Cowboys

ADP: 32.6

Greg Dulcich – TE – Denver Broncos

ADP: 33.1

Cole Kmet – TE – Chicago Bears

ADP: 33.2

Evan Engram – TE – Jacksonville Jaguars

ADP: 35.8

Pat Freiermuth – TE – Pittsburg Steelers

ADP: 338

Taysom Hill – TE – New Orleans Saints

ADP: 35.0

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Week 10 Underdog Battle Royale Running Back Values

Tony Pollard – RB – Dallas Cowboys

ADP: 27.7

Tony Pollard is a risky option this weekend with Ezekiel Elliot’s game status in question. He easily checks in as an RB1 and is a fantastic value if Elliot doesn’t play, but if he returns, we could see his workload limited. Elliot appears to be a game-time decision, nonetheless, Pollard is a fantastic value in the 5th round of Underdog drafts. He ranks 7th in yards per carry and is 3rd in breakaway run rate (PlayerProfiler). Elliot will likely not be at full strength either even if he does play so Pollard should still see elevated snaps.


Dameon Pierce – RB – Houston Texans

ADP: 22.9

Dameon Pierce has simply been one of the best Running Backs in the NFL this season and is in a juicy matchup this weekend against the New York Giants. He’s been a top-13 fantasy back in four of his last six games and has been given 20+ opportunities in every game since Week 3.


Aaron Jones – RB – Green Bay Packers

ADP: 35.2

This is sure to rise as the weekend goes on as Aaron Jones has been removed from the Week 10 injury report. It’s very hard to get excited about the Packer offense but Aaron Jones is still by far and away the most talented skill player of the group. Prior to getting injured last game, Jones had strung together two straight RB1 performances too. It’s not an exciting argument but there is simply nowhere else for the ball to go in this offense.


Week 10 Underdog Battle Royale Wide Receiver Values

Christian Kirk – WR – Jacksonville Jaguars

ADP: 32.2

This is a dream matchup for Christian Kirk and he’s my favorite target of the week. The Chiefs have given up the 7th most fantasy points to Wide Receivers this season and have been consistently burned by other teams’ WR1s. Kirk has also received 8+ targets in three games straight which makes him a top 15 Wide Receiver in my rankings this week.


Juju Smith-Schuster – WR – Kansas City Chiefs

ADP: 24.1

Through the first 5 weeks of the NFL season, Juju Smith-Schuster had no better than a WR35 finish. Over the last 3 weeks, however, he’s been a WR1 every single week and has two 100+ yard performances. He’s emerging as the clear top Wide Receiver for the Chiefs and is also checks in the top 15 for me this week.


Allen Lazard – WR – Green Bay Packers

ADP: 34.9

Allen Lazard continually gets disrespected in fantasy rankings and he continues to produce every week. Given the state of the Packer’s offense, he’s received over a 20% target share in five straight games with double-digit fantasy points in each performance as well. Similar to the argument for Aaron Jones, there is simply nowhere else for the ball to go.


Amari Cooper – WR – Cleveland Browns

ADP: 25.0

Amari Cooper has been one of the biggest surprises of the 2022 season as he is the WR12 currently in PPR leagues. One incredible stat is that he has 19.5 fantasy points in home games compared to 4.5 points in away games. He does have an away game this week but I think this is more a coincidence than an actual trend. Draft Cooper with confidence at the 4th/5th round turn.


Week 10 Underdog Battle Royale Games to Target

As we’ve discussed, the Underdo Battle Royale tournament is much different than other DFS-style tournaments. Concepts like “double stacking” and “bring backs” are less necessary due to the smaller lineups. It’s really hard for two receivers on the same team to have high enough point totals given only 36 players are taken in each draft. Bring Backs are less popular as well and simply selecting the best players available can be a viable strategy.

Having said that, these concepts aren’t dead as most Battle Royale winners have had at least 1 stack including a Quarterback with one of their passing targets. The games below are unique in that they are good enough matchups to create multiple fantasy-relevant players this weekend. These are the matchups you can target multiple players from the same game and feel comfortable that you’re not sacrificing too much upside.


Kansas City Chiefs VS. Jacksonville Jaguars

O/U: 50.5

Quarterback Plays: Patrick Mahomes, Trevor Lawrence

Running Back Plays: Travis Etienne

Wide Receiver Plays: Juju Smith-Schuster, Christian Kirk

Tight End Plays: Travis Kelce, Evan Engram

Detroit Lions VS. Chicago Bears

O/U: 48.5

Quarterback Plays: Justin Fields

Running Back Plays: Jamaal Williams, D’Andre Swift, David Montgomery

Wide Receiver Plays: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Darnell Mooney, Chase Claypool

Tight End Plays: Cole Kmet

 

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