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UFC Vegas 62 Predictions

UFC Vegas 62 Predictions

They did it to us again – the UFC stuck us with no event last week, the second time in three weeks. Thankfully they are back at it this weekend, and won’t be taking another break until late November.  For the second straight event, the ladies have been given the main event slot. Here are my UFC Vegas 62 predictions.

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UFC Vegas 62 Predictions

All odds courtesy of WynnBet

Alexa Grasso (-235) vs Viviane Araujo

I thought long and hard about going with the underdog in this main event, but I’ve decided to back favorite Alexa Grasso. She’s going to be the better striker in this matchup with Viviane Araujo, and while Araujo may be the better grappler, she doesn’t do much with her takedowns once she lands them. I like Grasso winning a five-round striking affair.

Cub Swanson (+175) vs Jonathan Martinez

However, I am going to pull the trigger on a big underdog in the co-main event. While I do have concerns about the soon-to-be 39-year-old Cub Swanson inexplicably deciding to cut down to bantamweight for the first time for this fight, he’s done nothing but exceeded my expectations for him as of late. He’s won three of four, only fights the toughest of competition, and is a comparable – and harder-hitting – striker as Jonathan Martinez. Let’s roll the dice on the old dog.

Askar Askarov (-240) vs Brandon Royval

UFC Vegas 62 Predictions

January 18, 2020, Las Vegas, NV, United States: Tim Elliott (red gloves) vs. Askar Askarov (blue gloves) at T Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV, USA on January 18, 2020. (Photo by Abaca/Zuma Press/Icon Sportswire)

Top flyweight prospect Askar Askarov was upset by Kai Kara-France earlier this year, being dealt the first loss of his pro career. I expect the wrestling monster to bounce back on Saturday against Brandon Royval. Royval’s 39% success rate stuffing takedowns in the UFC sticks out like a sore thumb heading into this fight.

Jordan Wright (+175) vs Dusko Todorovic

Yep, another big dog for me. Neither of these guys are very good, even for middleweights. I’ll go with Jordan Wright due to his reach advantage, finishing ability, and grappling edge. But I still don’t think he’s very good. But better than Dusko Todorovic. Hopefully.

Alonzo Menifield (-215) vs Misha Cirkunov

The bloom is off the Misha Cirkunov rose. He’s lost three straight and four of five. I think he’s pretty much shot. Alonzo Menifield is just the better fighter at this point, winner of three of four. But this is more of a fade on Cirkunov than anything else.

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Mana Martinez (-155) vs Brandon Davis

Mana Martinez is six years younger than Brandon Davis, is the better striker and grappler, and has knocked out eight of his nine pro victims. What’s not to like here?

Victor Henry (-425) vs Raphael Assuncao

Former top bantamweight contender Raphael Assuncao is 40 and hasn’t won a fight since July of 2018. Victor Henry is younger, bigger, and a much better striker. Easy pick.

Jacob Malkoun (+110) vs Nick Maximov

Nick Maximov got exposed in his last fight against Andre Petroski, one in which he entered as a heavy favorite. Now he’s up against a fellow grappler (a grappling champ, no less) in Jacob Malkoun, who is also a better striker. I’m liking this underdog pick.

Joanderson Brito (-390) vs Lucas Alexander

Lucas Alexander is making his UFC debut on Saturday on short notice. That’s never a situation conducive to winning. I’ll take Joanderson Brito, who also happens to be on a hot 11-1 streak over his last 12 fights, including a quick finish of tough veteran Andre Fili.

Sam Hughes (+140) vs Piera Rodriguez

I’m seeing some wise people getting in on Sam Hughes for this week, and I’m throwing my hat in the ring as well. She’s looked like a new fighter since moving to Fortis MMA, relying more on her wrestling, and I like her resume better than Piera Rodriguez. Give me that plus money!

Tatsuro Taira (-260) vs Carlos (C.J.) Vergara

Former Shooto champ Tatsuro Taira is a perfect 11-0 as a pro, with eight finishes, impressive for a flyweight. He’s also nine years younger than C.J. Vergara and a much better striker.

Pete Rodriguez (-735) vs Mike Jackson

Mike Jackson has somehow turned his gig as a UFC opponent for pro wrestler CM Punk into a fourth UFC fight. It should end here. He’s not UFC caliber, and Pete Rodriguez is 11 years younger and has scored knockouts in all four of his pro wins.

 

 

Overall Record: 864-591

2022
Record: 258-137
Earnings:  $432.77
Return on Investment:  1.1%

 

 

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Jeff Fox is the evil genius behind https://moneymma.substack.com. His work has also appeared in SLAM, Athlon Sports, FIGHT! & Fighters Only magazines, SI.com, the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, and many other fine establishments across the globe.

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