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Dynasty Trade Targets: Player Vs. Draft Value

This is the time of the season when you see a lot of trades happen. Week 1, most of us held to make sure we didn’t overreact. In week 2, we saw people repeat their performances or have better or worse performances. Week 3 is where you can start to identify some patterns. Now you can use this data to start to craft some trades based on where you see your team.  Whether you are buying or trading, the ultimate goal is to improve your team and profit.

You do not want to trade someone away and find out later you could have gotten more. You also do not want to be that guy that overpays, and the entire group chat lets you know it. Let’s talk about some values, don’t forget to join our discord channel for all of your fantasy football needs. Also, make sure you check out our trade value charts. Justin Marks put together both a redraft and a dynasty trade value chart for you for free.

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Dynasty Trade Targets: Player Vs. Value

Early 2023 1st

QBs RBs WRs TEs
Deshaun Watson, CLE Jonathan Taylor, IND Tee Higgins, CIN None
Jalen Hurts, PHI Najee Harris, PIT Deebo Samuel, SF
Trevor Lawrence, JAX Joe Mixon, CIN Tyreek Hill, KC
Christian McCaffrey, CAR Amon-Ra St. Brown, DET
Breece Hall, NYJ Stefon Diggs, BUF

Quarterbacks

Quarterbacks typically do not carry much value in one quarterback league. I wouldn’t trade an early 2023 1st for any quarterback unless it were Superflex. There are a few quarterbacks that you could trade for or buy for this cost.  Most are worth much more, and both Jalen Hurts and Trevor Lawrence might even cost you more at this point. Players like Herbert, Allen, Jackson, and Mahomes are not listed because they would cost much more in a Superflex format.

Running Backs

If you are rebuilding, you are selling almost all of your RBs. At the least, you should be moving RBs that are over 25 years old. The good news, all contenders will want to buy running backs. The bad news, most of their picks will be late in value. If you are a contender, you may have to add a 2nd to make a late 1st worth it. For contenders to get some of these middle-tier guys and multiple 1sts to get top-tier guys. Running backs not listed would cost more than an early 1st.

Wide Receivers

The last few wide receiver classes have really injected some serious talent into the league. A lot of recent picks would cost most than an early 2023 1st already. There were a lot of jokes about the 2022 class, but a handful of wide receivers are already rising up the dynasty rankings. Guys like Garrett Wilson, Drake London, or Chris Olave were early to mid 1sts this year. It would take an early 1st or more to pry them away from someone now. Wide Receivers not listed would cost more than an early 2023 1st.

Tight Ends

None, they are either too high or too low. Kyle Pitts and Mark Andrews have separated themselves from the pack.  They would likely cost you more than an early 1st. I wouldn’t trade an early 2023 1st for Kelce. I wouldn’t expect to get an early 2023 1st for Kelce, either.

 


Middle 2023 1st

QBs (SuperFlex) RBs WRs TEs
Matthew Stafford, LAR Javonte Williams, DEN Rashod Bateman, BAL Travis Kelce, KC
Tua Tagovailoa, MIA Austin Ekeler, LAC Terry McLaurin, WAS
Dak Prescott, DAL Alvin Kamara, NO Mike Evans, TB
Russell Wilson, DEN Nick Chubb, CLE Chris Godwin, TB
Trey Lance, SF Dalvin Cook, MIN Diontae Johnson, PIT

Quarterbacks

This is a tough group as there are several guys that are going to cost several firsts, and with so many inconsistent performances, it will be hard to invest a 1st in any of these guys. That being said, if you want a top 12-15 dynasty QB, it will cost you in SuperFlex.

Running Backs

Most of the top backs in the league are in the 26-28 range, which for dynasty purposes, is OLD. It is tough to spend a mid-1st for a guy that you might only have for 1 or 2 years, but that is going to be the price as other contenders will be bidding against you, especially with a good crop of running backs coming in 2023. Chubb and Ekeler are obvious sells if you are not a contender.

Wide Receivers

The WR position is overflowing with talent, and the next two classes look to be just as fruitful. You can get some really solid veteran WRs for the price of just a random 2023 1st right now. Great time to buy as you can get some really good players and not have to pay a ton at this position.

Tight Ends

A mid-1st might be too much for Kelce, being he is 32, but you aren’t going to get him for much less. With the tight-end wasteland out there, hold out for top dollar if you can.


Late 2023 1st

QBs (SuperFlex) RBs WRs TEs
Aaron Rodgers, GB Dameon Pierce, HOU Marquise Brown, AZ Darren Waller, LVR
Kirk Cousins, MIN Aaron Jones, GB Jerry Jeudy, DEN
Zach Wilson, NYJ Derrick Henry, TEN D.J. Moore, CAR
Derek Carr, LVR Leonard Fournette, TB Mike Williams, LAC
Kenny Pickett, PIT A.J. Dillon, GB Amari Cooper, CLE

Quarterbacks

This is a mixed bag of older veterans that are depreciating assets. This group also has some unknowns with both Pickett as well as Wilson. Joe Flacco’s production brings a lot of hope for Zach Wilson, but his disappointing rookie season still brings concern. This could be a risky pick, but the upside is very enticing. Pickett was borderline, but the price will get here soon as Trubisky continues to struggle.

Running Backs

At the mid-point of the season, the rebuilders and the contenders will swap picks for veteran backs. Miles Sanders and Josh Jacobs might have joined this group with their performances. Those guys had career days, and you might be able to cash in. Dameon Pierce continues to impress and get more work, I would not sell for less, and I would try to get more.

Wide Receivers

Again, you can get some great value here. There are so many good wide receivers that you can go shopping, and a 1st round pick is enough to bring in some good players. George Pickens and Romeo Doubs may have moved themselves up to this tier.

Tight Ends

Darren Waller is off to a slow start, but he is still seen as one of the top tight ends in the league. I would sell quickly if I could find someone to give me a 1st for him. That new contract should help sell him.


Early 2023 2nd

QBs RBs WRs TEs
Carson Wentz, WAS Elijah Mitchell, SF Romeo Doubs, GB T.J. Hockenson, DET
Jameis Winston, NOS Travis Etienne, JAX George Pickens, PIT Pat Freiermuth, PIT
Jared Goff, DET David Montgomery, CHI Michael Thomas, NO Dallas Goedert, PHI
Tom Brady, TB James Conner, AZ Christian Kirk, JAX Dalton Schultz, DAL
Ryan Tannehill, TEN Kareem Hunt, CLE Keenan Allen, LAC Dawson Knox, BUF

Quarterbacks

Next year’s class has some good quarterback talent, but not enough to take everyone’s job. Some of these guys below will still be starters next year. But, some will definitely not, and you need to take that risk when trading for them. We have already seen major injuries to half a dozen QBs, and we aren’t even through Week 4 yet. Contenders will need QBs; this is a good group for rebuilders to move on from.

Running Backs

The running back two positions have been really ugly this year. A different group of guys each week as some team’s backfields have had different usage each week. Here is a group of guys that all have some value this year with some potential value next year.

Wide Receivers

Rise and repeat, great wide receivers with low cost.

Tight Ends

You might not want to pay an early 2nd for these guys, but you will probably be forced to. This is the middle-tier group, and its owners know it.


Middle 2023 2nd

QBs (SuperFlex) RBs WRs TEs
Daniel Jones, NYG Cam Akers, LAR Eliajah Moore, NYJ Zach Ertz, AZ
Davis Mills, HOU Khalil Herbert, CHI DeAndre Hopkins, AZ Trey McBride, AZ
Matt Ryan, IND Rhamondre Stevenson, NE JuJu Smith-Schuster, KC Gerald Everett, LAC
Jimmy Garoppolo, SF Rashaad Penny, SEA Gabriel Davis, BUF Tyler Conklin, NYJ
Baker Mayfield, CAR Brian Robinson Jr.,WAS Curtis Samuel, WAS David Njoku, CLE

Quarterbacks

This is the desperation group, and if you are making a move for this crew, you probably are a bit desperate. Unless you are holding out for Dak or Deshaun, I hate to break it to you…But, you might not be a contender. If you have these guys, sell now. The futures do not look bright for any of these players.  This is probably the highest you can get; I wouldn’t take much less, though.  As more injuries happen, people will need these guys.

Running backs

There are not many starting RBs that you can get for a 2nd round pick. But, with some unknown around these players, I think you can get a 2nd for them.  Akers and Stevenson’s values are rebounding. They both might be higher after this week. Penny just opened up a selling window; take advantage.

Wide Receivers

Again, another solid group for cheap. I like Doubs and Pickens are buying right now; both have some great upsides. Curtis Samuel could be a great sell candidate as he has been off to a hot start.

Tight Ends

It is really hard to find tight ends right now, and if you can buy one for a 2nd, you should do it. McBride is a great stash and both Ertz and Everett are every-week starters right now. Conklin is more of a sell than anything for me, but his production has increased his value after some off-season excitement.


Late 2023 2nd

QBs (SuperFlex) RBs WRs TEs
Marcus Mariota, ATL Cordarelle Patterson, ATL Allen Robinson Jr., LAR Irv Smith Jr., MIN
Geno Smith, SEA Michael Carter, NYJ Allen Lazard, GB Robert Tonyan Jr., GB
Mitch Trubisky, PIT Ezekiel Elliot, DAL Hunter Renfrow, LVR Tyler Higbee, LAR
Malik Willis, TEN Alexander Mattison, MIN Darnell Mooney, CHI Evan Engram, JAX
Desmond Ridder, ATL Devin Singletary, BUF Brandin Cooks, HOU Logan Thomas, WAS

Quarterbacks

This is an even more desperate group. If you can’t buy any of the above players, you may have to look to these options.

Running Backs

If you are a contender and you are looking to stock up, you probably only have late picks.  You do not want to give up a 1st for guys that might just give you one year of production. But, you will have to use a 2nd because the 3rd won’t buy anything worth starting. Elliot’s volume makes him someone might want to buy; Pollard is probably the same price. Pollard is obviously the better long-term option. He should be the better short-term as well….but Dallas continues to feed Zeke.

Wide Receivers

There are so many good wide receivers it is hard to sell some guys that you like. These guys probably have more value to you than your league mates. You are bringing Allen Robinson Jr. to the pawn shop with a smile, and they are telling you “best I can do is a late 2nd.”

Tight Ends

I would rather pay up than go with some of these guys. These are more for the sellers, taking advantage of others’ needs.


2023 3rd

QBs (SuperFlex) RBs WRs TEs
Tyler Huntley, BAL Nyheim Hines, IND Greg Dortch, AZ Isaiah Likely, BAL
Jacoby Brissett, CLE Jamaal Williams, DET Kadarius Toney, NYG Jelani Woods, IND
Matt Corral, CAR Isaiah Pacheco, KC Adam Thielen, MIN Daniel Bellinger, NYG
Sam Howell, WAS J.D. McKissic, WAS Tyler Lockett, SEA Albert Okwuengbunam, DEN
Cooper Rush, DAL Jeff Wilson Jr., SF Jakobi Meyers, NE Cole Kmet, CHI

Quarterbacks

Third-round picks typically do not carry much weight; you won’t be able to buy much. But, if you end up hitting on someone with a 3rd, it will be worth it.

Running Backs

This is a group of handcuffs and satellite backs, and they are well worth a 3rd. Perfect for rebuilders to sell and contenders to buy to load up. You may have to pay up for Williams, and if I have Swift, I am probably doing it. He is an RB1 when Swift is out, and unfortunately, Swift continues to miss.

Wide Receivers

Some depth and some upside fliers.

Tight Ends

Yes, I put Cole Kmet here. If you have Kmet, you probably have just to hold. But, the honest question. Is anyone trading a 2nd for Kmet and feeling good about it? Bellinger, Likely, and Woods are all very interesting in an ugly tight-end landscape.

 

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