NHL Playoffs Predictions – Pacific Division: Odds, Schedule, & Picks

NHL Playoffs Predictions - Pacific Division: Odds, Schedule, & Picks

The NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs are here! We’re going through each first-round NHL Playoffs series with predictions, betting odds, schedule, picks, and best bets. And we’ll have plenty of other NHL content for you throughout the Stanley Cup Playoffs, so keep an eye out for that. Let’s just get right into it with the Pacific Division, previewing Calgary Flames vs. Dallas Stars, and Edmonton Oilers vs. Los Angeles Kings with odds, the schedule, picks, predictions, best bets, and more!

The NHL Playoffs and chase for the Stanley Cup begin on Monday, May 2nd with the Stanley Cup Final ending no later than June 30th. It’s nearly two months full of exciting and intense hockey action.

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NHL Playoffs Predictions – Pacific Division: Odds, Schedule, & Picks

NHL Playoffs Predictions – Calgary Flames vs. Dallas Stars: Odds

To Advance

Flames -340

Stars +270

Series Spread

Flames -1.5 (-135) / -2.5 (+170)

Stars +1.5 (+110) / +2.5 (-225)

Total Games

Over 5.5 (-150) / Under 5.5 (+120)

NHL Playoffs Predictions – Flames vs. Stars: Schedule

Calgary Flames (P1) vs. Dallas Stars (WC1)

Tuesday, May 3: Stars at Flames, 10 p.m. ET (Sportsnet, CBC, TVA Sports, ESPN2)

Thursday, May 5: Stars at Flames, 10 p.m. ET (Sportsnet, CBC, TVA Sports, TBS)

Saturday, May 7: Flames at Stars, 9:30 p.m. ET (TNT, Sportsnet, CBC, TVA Sports)

Monday, May 9: Flames at Stars, 9:30 p.m. ET (TBS, Sportsnet, CBC, TVA Sports)

*Wednesday, May 11: Stars at Flames, TBD

*Friday, May 13: Flames at Stars, TBD

*Sunday, May 15: Stars at Flames, TBD

NHL Playoffs Predictions – Flames vs. Stars: Preview & Path to victory

The Flames caught fire in the second half of the season. They went 20-13-6 through the first 39 games, then had a 10-game winning streak that sparked a 30-8-5 record in their final 43 games. Calgary clinched the Pacific Division on April 21st, so none of its games after that really mattered, which is when two of its 13 second-half losses occurred.

Calgary finished with a 50-21-11 record for 111 points. It had 25 wins at home (25-9-7) and on the road (25-12-4). The Flames are led by their top line of Johnny Gaudreau (40 goals, 115 points), Matthew Tkachuk (42 goals, 104 points), and Elias Lindholm (42 goals, 82 points). They also have decent depth with Andrew Mangiapane putting up a 35-goal season. However, Calgary’s backbone might be its goaltending. Jacob Markstrom went 37-15-9 with nine shutouts, a .922 SV%, and 2.22 GAA. The Flames are going to be a tough out in the playoffs.

The Stars are a team that I haven’t been able to get a great read on all season long. They’re much better at home (27-10-4) than on the road (19-20-2), which doesn’t bode well for the lower-seeded Dallas.

Dallas’ veteran group of Joe Pavelski (81 points), Tyler Seguin, Jamie Benn, and John Klingberg was complemented well by its youngsters Jason Robertson (79 points), Roope Hintz (72), and Miro Hieskanen. The 23-year-old Jake Oettinger ended up starting 46 games for Dallas, going 30-15-1 with a .914 SV% and 2.53 GAA.

It’s going to be an uphill battle for the Stars for sure. Dallas won the first meeting of the season in Calgary, 4-3 (OT), on November 4th, but the Flames won 4-3 in Dallas on February 1st during their 10-game win streak and again 4-2 at home on April 21st to clinch the Pacific Division.

Why the Flames will win

The Avalanche are the hot topic in the Western Conference, but the Flames should be right there as well. Calgary has been terrific since February and has very few holes in its lineup. The last two meetings are likely more representative of how these teams have been playing this season.

The Flames’ top line is one of the best in the league and they have good depth pieces to supplement that. Blake Coleman joined Calgary after winning two straight Stanley Cups with the Lightning, so he knows what it takes to win.

Markstrom is another big reason for the Flames’ success this season. The 6’6″ netminder went 23-6-3 with four shutouts and a .921 SV% from January 26th to April 21st.

Calgary is the big favorite in this series for a reason. The Flames should have no trouble dispatching the Stars, especially given Dallas’ home/road splits.

Why the Stars will win

However, Dallas has a knack for showing up when you least expect it. You can never count the Stars out. They battled all the way to the end, going 3-0-1 in their last four games to overtake the Predators for the first Wild Card spot (sure, Nashville may have choked, but that was only made possible by Dallas’ strong finish).

Oettinger is a great young goalie and the Stars have some hungry veterans looking to make a run. Mind you, this Stars team made the Stanley Cup Final just two years ago. If the youngster can steal a game or two in Calgary, the Stars could use their home cooking to douse the Flames.

NHL Playoffs Predictions – Flames vs. Stars: Picks & Best Bets

It’s really hard to bet against the Flames in the past few months, and that continues into the playoffs. I’m not comfortable laying the -300 (or higher) juice, so we have to look at another angle for this series.

I will likely bet Flames -1.5 (-135) or possibly -2.5 (+170). I don’t think the Flames will sweep, and the odds reflect that. Dallas will win at least one of its home games, pushing the series to five or six games. Flames to win 4-1 (+310) or 4-2 (+380) could be worth a sprinkle if that’s up your alley.

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NHL Playoffs Predictions – Edmonton Oilers vs. Los Angeles Kings: Odds

To Advance

Oilers -250

Kings +200

Series Spread

Oilers -1.5 (-115) / Oilers -2.5 (+190)

Kings +1.5 (-105) / Kings +2.5 (-250)

Total Games

Over 5.5 (-160) / Under 5.5 (+130)

NHL Playoffs Predictions – Oilers vs. Kings: Schedule

Edmonton Oilers (P2) vs. Los Angeles Kings (P3)

Monday, May 2: Kings at Oilers, 10 p.m. ET (Sportsnet, CBC, TVA Sports, ESPN2)

Wednesday, May 4: Kings at Oilers, 10 p.m. ET (Sportsnet, CBC, TVA Sports, ESPN2)

Friday, May 6: Oilers at Kings, 10 p.m. ET (TBS, Sportsnet, CBC, TVA Sports)

Sunday, May 8: Oilers at Kings, 10 p.m. ET (TBS, Sportsnet, CBC, TVA Sports)

*Tuesday, May 10: Kings at Oilers, TBD

*Thursday, May 12: Oilers at Kings, TBD

*Saturday, May 14: Kings at Oilers, TBD

NHL Playoffs Predictions – Oilers vs. Kings: Preview & Path to victory

The Kings got the better of the Oilers early in the season with a 5-1 win in Edmonton on December 5th, but the Oilers won the last three meetings: 5-2 in LA, 4-3 (SO) at home, and 3-2 in LA on April 7th. Despite the Oilers winning three of four matchups, only their first victory was decisive. The last two, both within the last 15 games of the season, were close one-goal games.

The Oilers have the two best players in the series, but can the Kings’ experience lead to an upset?

Why the Oilers will win

Connor McDavid, Leon Drasiaitl, and the Edmonton Oilers are looking to win their first playoff series –– and game (if you don’t count the qualifying round in 2020) since 2017. They got swept last year by the Jets, lost to the Blackhawks 3-1 in the qualifying round in 2020, and missed the playoffs in the previous two years. However, they’re back and perhaps better than ever as they enter the postseason.

McDavid (123 points) and Draisaitl (110 points) have been carrying the Oilers for years and this season was no different. Each player had more points than the team’s third- (Zach Hyman, 54) and fourth- (Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, 50) leading scorers. However, the Oilers made the polarizing decision to sign Evander Kane, who put up 39 points in 43 games for Edmonton. Jesse Puljujarvi (36 points in 65 games) and Kailer Yamamoto (41 points) also had their moments.

The Oilers usually lose on their depth, defense, and goaltending. Mikko Koskinen was the team’s starter for most of the season, but Mike Smith has returned from injury and played surprisingly well. Smith is 14-7-1 with a .921 SV% since February 8th, and won nine straight starts with a .951 SV% to close out the season.

Why the Kings will win

The Kings are back in the playoffs for the first time since 2018, when they got swept by the Golden Knights. They last won a playoff game in 2016, losing in five games to the Sharks. They haven’t won a playoff series since winning the Stanley Cup in 2014.

However, a few of the pieces from that Cup-winning team are still on the roster. Unfortunately for Los Angeles, Drew Doughty is out for the season. But they still have Anze Kopitar, Dustin Brown, and perhaps most importantly, Jonathan Quick.

The Kings also picked up Viktor Arvidsson and Phillip Danault in the offseason. Arvidsson has added some top-six scoring with Danault bringing a good two-way presence after making the Stanley Cup Final last season with Montreal.

If the Kings are going to win, they’re going to have to shut down McDavid and Draisaitl. Luckily for them, they have just the matchup centers to do it. Kopitar is one of the best two-way guys in the league, shown by his two Selke Trophies. He’s getting up there in age, but he knows how to turn it on for the playoffs. Kopitar may be able to minimize the damage from the Oilers’ top line, and Danault could take the second line. He played a perfect shutdown center last year for the Canadiens.

Quick also knows how to step up in the playoffs. He only allowed seven goals on 131 shots (.947 SV%) in the sweep against Vegas in 2018. He has a .922 SV% in the playoffs in 85 career games.

The Kings have a chance to pull off the upset given their experience, and the Oilers’ experience of choking.

NHL Playoffs Picks – Oilers vs. Kings: Picks & Best Bets

The Oilers are a great team. Actually, scratch that. The Oilers have two fantastic players and a few good players around them. Mike Smith has played well, but he can combust at any moment. Last year’s sweep is going to be in the back of Edmonton’s minds and the Kings really come in with nothing to lose.

Los Angeles to win the series at +200 (or higher) is going to be my bet in this one. The Oilers haven’t proven enough to warrant their -250 price and I don’t feel comfortable taking them on the game spread. If you want to get a bit risky, Kings -1.5 (+320) could be a play or even Kings -2.5 (+260). Los Angeles could win one of two games in Edmonton and then take control at home.


Follow Ryan Gilbert on Twitter (@RGilbertSOP)

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