Miami Heat vs. Golden State Warriors – NBA – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The Golden State Warriors (47-24) will attempt to end a three-game losing streak when they visit the Miami Heat (47-25) on Wednesday, March 23, 2022 at FTX Arena as 6.5-point underdogs. The contest airs at 7:30 PM ET. The over/under in the matchup is set at 214.5.

Heat vs. Warriors Predictions

Heat vs. Warriors Betting Odds

Heat vs Warriors Betting Information
Favorite Spread Total
Heat -6.5 214.5 points

Heat vs. Warriors Last 10 Games

  • Miami is 6-4 overall and 5-5-0 against the spread in its past 10 games.
  • The final score of the last 10 Miami games has surpassed the set total five times.
  • The past 10 Heat games averaged 4.3 more points (218.8) than this matchup’s point total.
  • In the last 10 games, the Heat are scoring 0.1 points more per game compared to their season average.
  • Golden State has a 4-6 record straight-up in its past 10 contests, while covering the spread five times in those games.
  • The final scores of the last 10 Golden State games have gone over the set total four times.
  • The past 10 Warriors games averaged 10.6 more points (225.1) than this matchup’s point total.
  • Across their last 10 games, the Warriors are scoring at a rate of 111.2 PPG, the same as their season-long scoring average.

Heat vs. Warriors Betting Trends

  • Miami has put together a 41-31-1 record against the spread this season.
  • The Heat have an ATS record of 11-12 when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites.
  • Miami games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 42 times out of 73 chances this season.
  • The Heat make 46.2% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.4 percentage points higher than the Warriors have allowed to their opponents (43.8%).
  • Miami is 37-15 against the spread and 41-10 overall when it shoots higher than 43.8% from the field.
  • Golden State is 35-34-3 against the spread this year.
  • The Warriors are 2-1 ATS when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs.
  • Golden State games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 30 times out of 72 chances this year.
  • The Warriors have shot at a 46.9% rate from the field this season, 2.5 percentage points higher than the 44.4% shooting opponents of the Heat have averaged.
  • Golden State is 29-15-2 against the spread and 36-10 overall when it shoots better than 44.4% from the field.

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Heat vs. Warriors Over/Under Trends

  • A total of 38 Miami games this season have gone over Wednesday’s total of 214.5 points.
  • This season, 41 of Golden State’s games have ended with a score higher than 214.5 points.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 220.7 points per game, 6.2 points more than the over/under of 214.5 for this contest.
  • This matchup’s over/under is 4.4 fewer points than the 210.1 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2020.
  • On average, the over/under in Heat games is 0.7 points fewer than the over/under of 214.5 points in this contest.
  • Warriors’ games have a total points bet of 220.4 points this season, 5.9 points more than the over/under for this game.

Heat Team Leaders

  • Jimmy Butler: 21.3 PTS, 5.6 AST, 1.7 STL, 46.9 FG%, 18.5 3PT% (17-for-92)
  • Tyler Herro: 20.9 PTS, 44.4 FG%, 39.1 3PT% (155-for-396)
  • Bam Adebayo: 19.0 PTS, 10.3 REB, 1.5 STL, 54.7 FG%
  • Kyle Lowry: 12.8 PTS, 7.7 AST, 1.1 STL, 42.3 FG%, 35.9 3PT% (118-for-329)
  • Duncan Robinson: 11.3 PTS, 40.0 FG%, 37.0 3PT% (206-for-557)

Warriors Team Leaders

  • Stephen Curry: 25.5 PTS, 6.3 AST, 1.3 STL, 43.7 FG%, 38.0 3PT% (285-for-750)
  • Andrew Wiggins: 17.0 PTS, 1.1 STL, 46.9 FG%, 39.7 3PT% (137-for-345)
  • Jordan Poole: 17.0 PTS, 45.7 FG%, 36.2 3PT% (166-for-458)
  • Kevon Looney: 6.2 PTS, 7.4 REB, 56.6 FG%
  • Otto Porter Jr.: 8.1 PTS, 1.1 STL, 46.2 FG%, 36.7 3PT% (73-for-199)

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