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Top 50 Rookie Rankings: Fantasy Football Impact Post Draft

Top 50 Rookie Rankings: Fantasy Football Impact Post Draft

Top 50 Rookie Rankings: Fantasy Football Impact Post Draft

The NFL Draft has concluded, over 250 players selected and many UDFA were signed. We saw some great landing spots as well as some bad landing spots for the middle-tier players in fantasy football. We will see a ton of talent start fading in rookie drafts and other players drive up boards. I’m here with a tiered ranking to help you navigate your rookie drafts and come out a winner! The post-draft rookie rankings can guide your early rookie drafts and help you dominate your league.

Tier One

Rank Player Team Positional Rank
1 Ja’Marr Chase Cincinnati WR01
2 Javonte Williams Denver RB01
3 Najee Harris Pittsburgh RB02
4 Travis Etienne Jacksonville RB03
5 Kyle Pitts Atlanta TE01

The draft fell perfectly for all of the players in this tier. Ja’Marr Chase is getting reunited with Joe Burrow, the two produced 1700 yards through the air and 20 touchdowns. He is joining a team that passed 60% of the time in neutral game scripts this past season. A top-15 finish for Chase is well within the grasp, and he will be my 1.01 in any one quarterback leagues. Chase sits atop the rookie rankings without any questions.

Javonte Williams remains my top running back after landing in Denver. Although he has to share a backfield with the aging Gordon in year one, year two it will be his backfield. The Broncos offer more than 350 opportunities to their running backs, in both the passing game and ground game. Gordon began to get limited touches as the season went on last year. This is Williams’ way in, and we saw what Williams has done with limited carries at UNC. He had two seasons with more than 900 yards on about 160 carries, Phillip Lindsay saw 118 in 2021. Williams will have an opportunity to produce low-end RB2 numbers in 2021.

Tier 2

Rank Player Team Positional Rank
6 Jaylen Waddle Miami WR02
7 Rashod Bateman Baltimore WR03
8 Devonta Smith Philadelphia WR04
9 Trevor Lawrence Jacksonville QB01
10 Terrace Marshall Jr. Carolina WR05

Jaylen Waddle comes in as my WR02 after landing in Miami and reuniting with Tua Tagovailoa. He is also joining a team that passed at 59% in neutral game scripts while running 3WR sets 55% of the time. Most likely he will fall into the slot role and can develop into Tua’s favorite target. He is a big play waiting to happen, he has the best chance to become Tyreek Hill of any player in this class. Waddle has WR1 upside, although in year one we should limit expectations to WR2 numbers.

Terrace Marshall rounds out my top ten and second tier. Landing into Carolina is a great spot although on paper it does not look great. Let’s break it down quickly though. 59% neutral game script passing offense, he slots in as the wide receiver three this year. Marshall can play a big slot role and become a security blanket for Darnold. In year two, he may be able to take over for Robby Anderson and the sky is the limit! Patience is a virtue with this pick.

Tier 3

Rank Player Team Positional Rank
11 Micheal Carter New York J RB04
12 Elijah Moore New York J WR06
13 Justin Fields Chicago QB02
14 Amon-Ra St. Brown Detroit WR07
15 Rondale Moore Arizona WR08
16 Trey Lance San Fransisco QB03
17 Zach Wilson New York J QB04
18 Dyami Brown Washington WR09
19 Tylan Wallace Baltimore WR10
20 Kadarius Toney New York G WR11
21 Nico Collins Houston WR12

One of the biggest climbers in this tier is Nico Collins, he lands in Houston and has a chance to contribute right away. Houston threw 64% of the time in a neutral game script last year. They lost Will Fuller in free agency and only have Brandin Cooks left as a proven NFL receiver. Collins should come in and get WR2 usage,  getting easily 70 targets. I can see him drawing lots of red-zone targets due to his ability to leverage out defenders and win contested catches. WR3 numbers is his floor with WR2 upside if he can take over the red-zone targets.

Micheal Carter is also a huge mover after landing in a prime landing spot. The Jets were one of my favorite landing spots for a running back. So for me, it is easy to move Carter up. He will fit perfectly into the zone running scheme the new staff is bringing over. There will be an open competition for the lead role and I can see him winning this role and has RB2 upside.

Tier 4

Rank Player  Team  Positional Rank
24 Trey Sermon San Fransisco RB05
22 Kenneth Gainwell Philadelphia RB06
23 Chuba Hubbard Carolina RB07
25 Pat Freiermuth Pittsburgh TE02
26 Amari Rodgers Green Bay WR13
27 Mac Jones New England QB05
28 Josh Pamer Los Angeles C WR14

Pat Freiermuth lands in Pittsburgh and cements him as the tight end two in this class. I love the landing spot on a team that passes over 60% of the time in neutral game scripts. He will have a chance to take over Eric Ebron who had 16 targets in the red zone this past season. Mid-level TE1 numbers are not out of the question for Freiermuth if he wins the starting role in camp. If not he will take over in year two after Ebron’s contract is up and the sky is the limit for him.

Amari Rodgers landing in Green Bay is going to produce wonderful fantasy production. Rodgers is a versatile receiver who has been compared to Randall Cobb. He should see a heavy workload in the slot and out of the backfield. Rodgers will be a PPR machine and has WR2 upside. Do not pass on him in the second round of your drafts! Rodgers has the talent to be a sleeper in the rookie rankings.

Tier 5

Rank Player Team Positional Rank
29 Dez Fitzpatrick Tennessee WR15
30 D’Wayne Eskridge Seatle WR16
31 Brevin Jordan Houston TE03
32 Shi Smith Carolina WR17
33 Cornell Powell Kansas City WR18
34 Frank Darby Atlanta WR19
35 Hunter Long Miami TE04
36 Ihmir Smith-Marsette Minnesota WR20
37 Jacob Harris Los Angeles C WR21
38 Seth Williams Denver WR22

Dez Fitzpatrick lands in a spot where he will have an abundant amount of opportunity to produce. The Titans have over 170 vacated targets, and only roster AJ Brown and Josh Reynolds. Fitzpatrick brings size and good speed, he will play outside across from Brown. He has all the ability to fit into the  Corey Davis role.  WR2 upside is here for Fitzpatrick, don’t miss out on him early in the third round of your rookie drafts.

Frank Darby landing in Atlanta is the perfect thing for his career path. He is super raw and has great talent, however, he needs time to refine this talent into useful skill and production. Getting to sit behind Julio and Ridley will allow the time needed for this maturing. Not only will he get time but also two great mentors. He needs to clean up his routes and who better than Calvin Ridley to learn from. If he can refine all this the sky is the limit and Top15 type numbers could be obtained. He is a stash in any dynasty format so do not miss out on this raw talent before he jumps up the rookie rankings.

Tier 6

Rank Player Team Positional Rank
39 Kylin Hill Green Bay RB08
40 Dazz Newsome Chicago WR24
41 Tutu Atwell Los Angeles R WR25
42 Jaelon Darden Tampa Bay WR26
43 Elijah Mitchell San Fransisco RB09
44 Demetric Felton Cleveland RB10
45 Rhamondre Stevenson New England RB11
46 Anthony Schwartz Cleveland WR27
47 Chris Evans Cincinnati RB12
48 Jermar Jefferson Detroit RB13
49 Khalil Herbert Chicago RB14
50 Larry Roundtree III Los Angeles C RB15

This tier is full of late-round dart throws for sure. However, a few names that were ranked higher pre-draft fell to this tier. Kylin Hill and Jermar Jefferson both fell to the late 7th round in the NFL draft. This is concerning for their fantasy outlook, both landing in not great spots as well in Green Bay and Detroit. Both still have good tape and decent profiles so they are worth a flier, it will just be a long road to any fantasy relevance for both of them.

 

Dazz Newsome is a player who got drafted late on day three however lands in an interesting spot. Landing in Chicago gives him a chance at a long-term role in that offense, outside Robinson the wide receiver core is largely unproven. Newsome showed nice flashes at times last year at UNC and could be a surprise out of this tier. It is a long shot but if he can get into the top three on the depth chart low-end WR2 numbers are not out of the question here long term. Newsome could be a big-time climber in the rookie rankings.

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Top 50 Rookie Rankings

Rank Player Team   Positional Rank 
1 Ja’Marr Chase Cincinnati WR01
2 Javonte Williams Denver RB01
3 Najee Harris Pittsburgh RB02
4 Travis Etienne Jacksonville RB03
5 Kyle Pitts Atlanta TE01
Tier 2
6 Jaylen Waddle Miami WR04
7 Rashod Bateman Baltimore WR02
8 Devonta Smith Philadelphia WR03
9 Trevor Lawrence Jacksonville QB01
10 Terrace Marshall Jr. Carolina WR05
Tier 3
11 Micheal Carter New York J RB04
12 Elijah Moore New York J WR06
13 Justin Fields Chicago QB02
14 Amon-Ra St. Brown Detroit WR07
15 Rondale Moore Arizona WR08
16 Trey Lance San Fransisco QB03
17 Zach Wilson New York J QB04
18 Dyami Brown Washington WR09
19 Tylan Wallace Baltimore WR10
20 Kadarius Toney New York G WR11
21 Nico Collins Houston WR12
Tier 4
24 Trey Sermon San Fransisco RB05
22 Kenneth Gainwell Philadelphia RB05
23 Chuba Hubbard Carolina RB07
25 Pat Freiermuth Pittsburgh TE02
26 Amari Rodgers Green Bay WR13
27 Mac Jones New England QB05
28 Josh Pamer Los Angeles C WR14
Tier 5
29 Dez Fitzpatrick Tennessee WR15
30 D’Wayne Eskridge Seattle WR16
31 Brevin Jordan Houston TE03
32 Shi Smith Carolina WR17
33 Cornell Powell Kansas City WR18
34 Frank Darby Atlanta WR19
35 Hunter Long Miami TE04
36 Ihmir Smith-Marsette Minnesota WR20
37 Jacob Harris Los Angeles C WR21
38 Seth Williams Denver WR22
Tier 6
39 Kylin Hill Green Bay RB08
40 Dazz Newsome Chicago WR24
41 Tutu Atwell Los Angeles R WR25
42 Jaelon Darden Tampa Bay WR26
43 Elijah Mitchell San Fransisco RB09
44 Demetric Felton Cleveland RB10
45 Rhamondre Stevenson New England RB11
46 Anthony Schwartz Cleveland WR27
47 Chris Evans Cincinnati RB12
48 Jermar Jefferson Detroit RB13
49 Khalil Herbert Chicago RB14
50 Larry Roundtree III Los Angeles C RB15

Bonus: UDFA Rookie Rankings

In deeper league formats these are good stash players who have a chance to make their teams rosters. They may take time but could develop key roles down the line and climb up rookie rankings.

Rank Player Team Positional Rank
1 Tamorrion Terry Seattle UDFA WR1
2 Jonathan Adams Jr. Detroit UDFA WR2
4 Austin Watkins Jr. San Fransisco UDFA WR3
5 Kenny Yeboah New York J UDFA TE1
6 John Johnson Seattle UDFA RB1
7 Javian Hawkins Atlanta UDFA RB2
8 Jaret Patterson Washington UDFA RB3
9 Cade Jonhson Seattle UDFA WR4
10 CJ Marable Chicago UDFA RB4
11 Sage Surratt Detroit UDFA WR5
12 T.J. Vasher Dallas UDFA WR6
13 Stevie Scott New Orleans UDFA RB5
14 Caleb Huntly Atlanta UDFA RB6
15 Josh Imatorbhebhe Jacksonville UDFA WR7

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I was born and raised in Buffalo, New York. I am happily married to my wonderful wife Lauren. I am a life long Buffalo Bills and Buffalo Sabres fan. To set the record straight, we don’t always have snow, and we do have the best pizza and wings! Dynasty fantasy football is my niche, the process it takes to build a dynasty is so rewarding! I am excited to bring my ideas here to The Sports Gambling Podcast. My evaluation process is a two step process, using film study along with statistics and build a case for or against players. With this I determine their viably for fantasy production. 60 percent of the time it works all the time! Picking apart the incoming NFL rookie prospects has become one of my favorite parts of dynasty. My most important goal is to help everyone succeed and enjoy fantasy football as much as I do! Feel free to reach out to me on Twitter.

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