Week 11 is in the books. I went 2-2 on my picks in Week 11, bringing my season record to 13-15 (46.4%). It is Thanksgiving week, and I want to keep my best bets short and simple this week. We have a few great matchups this week, let us dive right in with NFL Week 12 Gambling Cheat Sheet.
Washington Football Team vs Dallas Cowboys
Washington Offense in 2nd half
I am going to change things up a little this week. Most books do offer 2nd half Team Total bets. First, let me analyze and dive into the stats for this matchup. Alex Smith is the starting quarterback for the Washington Football Team. In addition, this team is averaging 12 points per game in the 2nd half on the season. Furthermore, in the games Alex Smith has played in, Washington is averaging 18 points per game in the 2nd half. Lastly, I do not expect this to slow down as Dallas is allowing 13.6 points to teams in the 2nd half.
Best Bet: Washington 2nd Half Team Total Over 13 (play up to 13.5)
Las Vegas Raiders vs Atlanta Falcons
The Las Vegas Raiders defense is ranked amongst the bottom in the league. They are #26 in yards per play, #27 in yards per completion allowed, and #19 in yards per rush allowed. In addition, Raiders are allowing 28.6 points per game this season. However, in the first half of games Raiders allow 14.7 points per game. Furthermore, Raiders allow 14.4 in the first half on the road. But in Week 8 against the Cleveland Browns in the Raiders did not allow a single point. This was due to the weather conditions in Cleveland for this matchup.
Falcons this season are averaging 14.6 points per game in the first half. In addition, Additionally, Falcons are scoring 13.8 points per game at home in the first half. Falcons rank #9 in the league in yards per completion. I expect the Falcons to play well at home this week against a subpar defense which could turn into a shootout.
Best Bet: Falcons 1st Half Team Total Over 12.5
Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars are one of the worst defenses in the league. Also, Jaguars rank #31 in yards per play allowed 6.3, #30 in yards per completion allowed 11.6, and are allowing 129 rushing yards per game. Furthermore, Jaguars allow 17 points per game in the first half. In addition, in the five home games this season Jaguars have given up a minimum of 17 points in the first half. I am simply fading the Jaguars defense in this matchup.