Sometimes you must look in the mirror and get a reality check. The last two weeks have not been the best for me. In Week 10 I went 0-4 dropping my record to 11-13 (45.8%). It is Week 11 of the NFL season and I can not wait to get the bad taste of the last two weeks out of my mouth. Once again, we have some great matchups for this week. Let us dive right into the action!
Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens
Sunday will be Titans fourth road game of the season. In the three previous road games the Titans defense is allowing 25 points per game. It includes only giving up 14 points to the Denver Broncos in week one who are ranked #26 in yards per play. Titans are ranked #21 in yards per play allowed, and 20th in yards per rush attempt allowed. As a result, this will be a significant advantage for the Ravens offense who is a run heavy team.
The Baltimore Ravens are top five team in rush yards per attempt in the league. In fact, the Ravens average five yards per carry which is ranked #5 in the league. Furthermore, the Ravens have faced five teams which rank in the top 10 in yards per play allowed. They are the Washington Football Team, Steelers, Eagles, and Colts. As a result, the Ravens have scored a minimum of 24 points against these defenses. In addition, Ravens are averaging 27 points per game at home this season. Lastly, Alex Kemp is assigned to officiate this matchup. Home teams are averaging close to 31 points per game in the game officiated by Alex Kemp.
Best Bet: Ravens Team Total Over 27.5
Dallas Cowboys vs Minnesota Vikings
Vikings Defense vs Cowboys Speed Receivers
As I dug into this matchup a few things stood out to me. First, the speed of the Cowboys receivers is going to create problems for the Vikings secondary who has not been good all season. Vikings defense allows 11.1 yards per completion which is 24th in the league. Second, Vikings allow 268 yards passing. The ability the Cowboys have with the speed should give problems to the Vikings secondary which is banged up.
I usually do not like betting on the Cowboys, but this is a good spot to play on the Cowboys. Vikings come off three straight division games and a tough physical game on Monday Night against the Bears. Cowboys had bye week and will be healthy on both offensive line and at the linebacker position should very well keep this a close game.
Best Bet: Cowboys +7
Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders
First, please note this game is off the board due to an outbreak for the Raiders defense. However, it should see this reappear soon. The Raiders defense has the been atrocious this season. Raiders rank #24 in yards per played allowed and #28 in opponent yards per completion. Furthermore, Raiders allow 265 yards passing per game and 7.1 yards per pass attempt. Lastly, Raiders allow close to 27 points per game this season.
Do I need to say more than Patrick Mahomes? Chiefs offense is firing on all cylinders. They rank #2 in yards per play, #2 in yards per completion, and average 31.5 points per game so far this season. Furthermore, Chiefs average 32 points per game at home this season. Lastly, the Chiefs are #1 in the league in passing yards per game averaging 294.7. Mahomes and company come off a bye week and will be looking to avenge their loss earlier this season against the Raiders.