The fantasy football world keeps on spinning. After a weekend of devastating injuries last weekend, Week 3 was far tamer. Looking at the weeks ahead, there is some definite upside to be had with waivers and FAAB processing over the next few days. That’s why you need our FAAB Waiver Wire Week 4 Guide!
Possible FAAB targets for each week are divided into multiple tiers and given a range to bid on them. The waiver wire is certainly looking bare this week, so the <10% of FAAB category has been split into “Reliable Bargains” and “Speculative Fliers.”
FAAB Waiver Wire Week 4 Guide
Reliable Contributors (10-20%)
Justin Jefferson's first career TD is a 71 yd gem pic.twitter.com/lT2cbzgAh9
— Vikings Blogger (@firstandskol) September 27, 2020
The Minnesota Vikings have been an offensive wasteland so far in 2020. Through three games they are the 27th best passing offense and as a result, they are 0-3. If your fantasy team is in a similar situation to the Vikings, you too may benefit from the addition of Justin Jefferson. The prolific LSU receiver had a breakout game in Week 3 with 7 catches for 175 yards and a touchdown. His involvement in the offense and production has been trending upwards since Week 1 and he looks to be the dynamic player he looked like in college. If you can ride out the ups and downs of a rookie receiver, Jefferson will be at least a Flex option for the rest of the season with a WR2 ceiling most weeks. Be prepared to drop up to 15% of your FAAB on him.
Anthony Miller was featured in the waiver wire column, but he has to be rostered in all formats moving forward. With the injury to Tarik Cohen and the insertion of Big Nick Foles at quarterback, things are looking up for Miller. The shifty and athletic receiver will be a reliable WR3 option in standard, and a WR2 in PPR leagues. He is also worth up to 15% of your FAAB.
With D’Andre Swift being so limited and Kerryon Johnson looking inefficient, Adrian Peterson has emerged as a reliable RB2 play each week. He may not have this job on lock though. Both Johnson and Swift have the capability to emerge and steal work back from AP. For now, drop around 12-16% of your FAAB on him if you are lean at running back.
Reliable Bargains (<10%)
The quarterback position looks like it has gotten a shakeup heading into Week 4. Trubisky and Taylor look like they are out as their teams’ starters. Opening the door for Nick Foles and Justin Herbert to step in and make moves at the quarterback position. Before betting the Farm on Foles, who threw for three touchdowns in 1.5 quarters, and Herbert, back-to-back 300-yard outings, remember “Phil’s Law of New QBs.” The PLNQ states, “He has like three or four good weeks before they get tape on him and he starts to suck.” Foles and Herbert may be off to hot starts, but they will have some struggles soon. If you drop 8% of your FAAB on them, try to flip them ASAP before they are figured out by defenses. Credit to my dad (Phil) for telling you all you need to know about new fantasy QBs.
— Jets X-Factor (@jetsxfactor) September 27, 2020
In PPR leagues, there is a whole new crop of emerging targets who will get catches but may not get the yardage. Braxton Berrios has looked every bit the part of a PPR machine for the woeful and hapless New Jersey Jets. In a season where the Jets have been so bad and putrid that even New Jersey has thought about evicting them for their stink, Berrios has been a bright spot. His snap count is going up and his production is staying steady. If you need a high-volume flex play, drop 4-6% of your FAAB on him.
Similarly, Randall Cobb and Cole Beasley have both been carving out larger roles in their respective offenses over the past few weeks. Cobb and Cole will continue to be PPR monsters over the next few weeks. When the new world’s greatest quarterback Josh Allen needs a guy to be open, Beasley is that guy. Cobb has also been seeing an increased role each week and appears to be building a rapport with Watson each game. Both Beasley and Cobb will be reliable flex options and are worth 5-8% of your FAAB.
Logan Thomas – TE (4-7% of FAAB)
Jimmy Graham – TE (4-7% of FAAB)
Speculative Fliers (<10%)
Tee Higgins appears to have ascended to be “the guy” in Cincy opposite Tyler Boyd. If he continues on anywhere near the pace he set Sunday, he will certainly finish as a top 24 wide receiver. The fact that he is so available, 6.9% of rosters on ESPN, and can be had on waivers in Week 4 is a blessing. Go put down 7-10% of your FAAB if you are feeling frisky and enjoy the potential upside.
Taking a chance on any receiver in the City of Brotherly Love is certainly a risk right now. Carson Wentz looks absolutely atrocious and like he is not a franchise quarterback, sorry Sean. However, Greg Ward continues to flash the ability to get open and catch passes consistently. If Wentz ever gets himself together, Ward may ascend to WR2 relevance. Until that happens, he is a flex with touchdown upside. If you like to gamble, put down 4-7% of your FAAB on Ward.
The Gabriel Davis hype is real. The body control, hand/eye coordination and hands exhibited on this play is elite. This is a rocket from Allen. This kid is a stud. pic.twitter.com/NKBxVajAC8
— Erik Turner (@ErikJTurner) September 28, 2020
The theme of this week is wide receivers. Rounding out the speculative fliers category is the fourth receiver on one of the most potent offenses in the NFL. That is right! Gabriel Davis looked like the dominant receiver we heard about all preseason. He hauled in four catches for 81 yards. With John Brown hampered, Davis may continue to step up. Do not be afraid to invest 6-10% of your FAAB on an emerging receiver in the best offense in the NFL.
Consider dropping a little FAAB on the Miami Dolphins DST. Sure, they have been up and down, but mostly down. However, looking past this weekend at Seattle, they play the injury-riddled 49ers, the quarterback-less Broncos, and the Chargers. That is a soft three-game stretch, worth throwing like 1-3% of your FAAB at them.
No Bid/Free Agency Targets
The frustrating thing about Teddy Bridgewater is not that he can’t throw the deep ball, it’s that he won’t
— Edgar Salmingo, Jr. ✌️ (@PanthersAnalyst) September 27, 2020
Over the next two weeks, Teddy Bridgewater has a cake schedule as he takes on the Cardinals and Falcons. Both defenses have been absolutely porous and Bridgewater has not been terrible. Outside of a two turnover performance Week 2, he has been right around 15 points with no turnovers. He should outperform that number against two pitiful defenses.
If Raheem Mostert remains inactive, Jeff Wilson Jr. is worth a pickup later this week. He has some nice touchdown upside and is worth a flex play if you are desperate. However, if Mostert is back healthy, drop Wilson like a clingy ex.
Alvin Kamara has been absolutely dominant for the Saints. That being said, Latavius Murray may have some value in deeper leagues as a flex option. He has had two weeks of 12+ carries so far and is showing some decent hands in the passing game as well. If you need a fill-in flex, Murray could steal a touchdown and provide some value.
The Cardinals offense has been running through DeAndre Hopkins, but Andy Isabella flashed some playmaking skills Sunday. He has some value in super-deep leagues or as desperation, big-upside flex play.
The Broncos are a confused and lost team right now, but Tim Patrick has been reliably targeted each week. If you badly need a flex play, Patrick might haul in a touchdown and sees enough work to give you a 9-12 point floor each week.
The New Jersey Jets’ DST has been stingy and should give whoever the hell Denver plays at quarterback fits on Sunday. They will be a nice one-week streaming option.