Week 17 NFL DFS Flowcharts: DraftKings Picks Sunday GPPs and Cash

Week 17 NFL DFS Flowcharts: DraftKings Picks Sunday GPPs & Cash Games

Week 17 NFL DFS Flowcharts: DraftKings Picks Sunday GPPs & Cash Games

Week 16 Flowchart Results

The 3-game Saturday slate started out rough as Deshaun Watson/DeAndre Hopkins was the worst possible stack to roll out. Swapping out Duke Johnson (in a Sat. morning tweet) for Ronald Jones was a huge last-minute adjustment if you had room in your lineup. Burkhead getting a TD and 77 yards receiving was a much-needed surprise from the Patriots ever evolving backfield rotation. In the late game, George Kittle and Robert Woods continued their hot streaks and helped bump a lot of the lineup variations over the cash line.

The optimal lineup from the Saturday GPP flowchart finished with 129.56 pts, which was good enough to land in the top 8-9% of the Large GPPs. We’ll consider this a huge success, considering we stacked the worst value QB/WR to begin the chart. If you happened to use a different stack at the beginning of the flowchart, you were sure to be in a good money slot by the end of the day!

The Sunday GPP flowchart did not have the same success. Highlights were mainly found in the “Studs” column with Freeman (#4 RB), Sanders (#6 RB), and Boyd (#1 WR) all performing extremely well. Other than these three, the remainder of the chart was extremely underwhelming.

Week 17 Breakdown

I want to preface this by saying that Week 17 has the chance to get real WEIRD, with a lot of teams not having much to play for and a handful of others who may lean towards sitting their stars as they start to see their playoff seeds solidified. I expect a lot of news to come out on Friday and Saturday tipping us to a team’s gameplan for star players. With that being said, I will do my best to get out some last-minute adjustments on Sunday morning, so keep your eye on my Twitter feed.

The GPP Flowchart starts out with a game stack from the Packers-Lions game. Rodgers hasn’t been extremely hot lately, but the Detroit secondary gives up the most AIR yds and the most Explosive Pass Plays in the league. One thing that has basically been a lock this year, is that when Davante Adams is healthy, he will see double digit targets from Rodgers. In the RB/DEF stack, Justice Hill is my favorite contrarian play on the board. This is a guy that the Ravens were big on in the preseason, and I think they will want to test out what they have in the promising rookie. I think he will also get a lot of touches in the passing game with RG3 behind center.

Higbee (facing #1 matchup for TEs) & Stills (facing a top 5 matchup for WRs) have potential to see a lot of targets if the star players ahead of them get benched in the 2nd half for rest or to minimize injury risk. Dallas Goedert should be a very chalky play even if Zach Ertz ends up suiting up, and he makes an appearance in both flowcharts this week. AJ Brown has been electric in the last quarter of the season and now matches up with a HOU defense giving up the 4th highest average depth of target (DADOT).

Moving into the Cash flowchart for this week, we are stacking Wentz with Goedert & adding in Saquon Barkley who has finally looked healthy and is reminding us all why we picked him #1 in season-long fantasy. Austin Ekeler (avg 7 tar/gm since Week 11) and Sony Michel (avg 20 carries in the last 2 games) are both running backs that should have high floors.

With Case Keenum back, I like Washington to sling the rock some more and Steven Sims Jr. should have success against a Cowboys defense giving up the 7th most Yards After Catch (YAC) in the league. Odell Beckham and JuJu Smith-Schuster headline the final column of the flowchart which should be titled “WRs who were supposed to have Top 5 potential this year”.

Good luck to everyone this weekend in the last full Sunday slate of the 2019 NFL season. I’ll be back next week to tackle the more technical Wild Card Playoff DFS slate…CAN’T WAIT!

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