A few weeks ago, this week’s Thursday Night Football matchup was looking like a stinker and prop bets for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos might’ve been boring .
Thankfully, that has changed. The Kansas City Chiefs have unexpectedly dropped two in a row, and they now head to Denver to take on a Broncos team which has won two straight.
In addition to the game itself, TNF is made all the more exciting by the plethora of prop bets offered. Here are three particularly intriguing ones to keep in mind.
Denver Broncos +3/Over 48.5 +280
Denver Broncos +3/Under 48.5 +246
Kansas City Chiefs -3/Over 48.5 +246
Kansas City Chiefs -3/Under 48.5 +280
If you’re a fan of parlays on Sunday afternoons, then keep in mind these single bets for the primetime games. In essence, this is a single-game parlay in which you need to nail the spread and total.
Since there’s a good chance you’re trying to do that anyway, put them both together for the evening games in a quest for even greater returns. For this tilt, the Chiefs offense has had some difficulties over the last few weeks. At the same time, the Broncos defense has started to play up to its capabilities.
Add those two factors together, and this smells like a pretty close game which stays Under. Since Kansas City is having some troubles, the hosts plus the points has plenty of appeal.
The Pick: Denver Broncos +3/Under 48.5 +246
Quarterback Interception Bands
Joe Flacco Exactly 0 Interceptions +105
Joe Flacco Exactly 1 Interceptions +140
Joe Flacco Exactly 2 Interceptions +425
Joe Flacco 3+ Interceptions +1100
Patrick Mahomes Exactly 0 Interceptions -271
Patrick Mahomes Exactly 1 Interceptions +205
Patrick Mahomes Exactly 2 Interceptions +1000
Patrick Mahomes 3+ Interceptions +3300
Joe Flacco seems to getting more acclimated to his new surroundings, but he has still thrown a pick in each of the last five games. Seeing him throw another on Thursday night would be less than stunning, so Exactly 1 Interceptions for him seems like easy money.
However, if we dig a little deeper, there may be some more bang for the buck. Since opening the year on an almost unfathomable run of not forcing any turnovers, the Broncos defense has forced six over their two-game winning streak. Five of those have been interceptions.
Guess which opposing signal caller seems to be slowed by a tweaked ankle recently? That’s right, Patrick Mahomes has appeared mortal of late. While he only has one pick on the year, the suddenly awake Denver defense can force mistakes and keep him in check.
The Pick: Patrick Mahomes Exactly 2 Interceptions +1000
Running Back To Get
Phillip Lindsay To Get 50+ Rushing Yards -400
Phillip Lindsay To Get 75+ Rushing Yards -110
Phillip Lindsay To Get 100+ Rushing Yards +210
Phillip Lindsay To Get 125+ Rushing Yards +400
Royce Freeman To Get 25+ Rushing Yards -1000
Royce Freeman To Get 50+ Rushing Yards -134
Royce Freeman To Get 75+ Rushing Yards +135
Royce Freeman To Get 100+ Rushing Yards +350
LeSean McCoy To Get 25+ Rushing Yards -358
LeSean McCoy To Get 50+ Rushing Yards -108
LeSean McCoy To Get 75+ Rushing Yards +260
LeSean McCoy To Get 100+ Rushing Yards +600
For the Broncos to have a shot at the outright win, the team needs to play to its strengths: tough defense and a solid running game. If they can keep control of the game while insuring that the Chiefs offense remains slightly off-kilter, they have a shot at the upset.
Part of making that happen will entail handing the ball off to its top offensive asset. A lot. Phillip Lindsay had a slow start to the year like the rest of the team, but he has rounded right back into form over the last few games.
While he has only broken the 100-yard rushing barrier once this season, the Chiefs have allowed an opposing rusher to exceed that mark in each of the last four games. Lindsay gets his second 100-yard rushing game of the year on Thursday night.
The Pick: Phillip Lindsay To Get 100+ Rushing Yards +210
A Take On The Game Itself
It’s really tough to see Kansas City losing a third game in a row. That said, Denver is playing much better and can keep this one interesting. The Chiefs may snap the skid and get the win, but the Broncos plus a field goal at home is pretty enticing.