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NFL Quarterback Power Rankings for 2019: ATS Record, Projected Win Total and More

NFL QB Power Rankings 2019

A few weeks back, we shared our NFL Head Coach Power Rankings for 2019. This time around, we’re doing the same with the quarterbacks. The signal callers are ranked from top to bottom from a handicapping perspective. Here are the biggest factors we considered.

  • Team record straight-up and against the spread for 2018
  • Projected team win total for 2019 regular season
  • Overall strength and productivity of the QB

Cream Of The Crop

1. Tom Brady, New England Patriots

Team Record 2018: 11-5 (9-7 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 11
Six rings. Six rings. Six rings.

2. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints

Team Record 2018: 13-3 (10-6 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 10.5
Brees hears those calls about him being on the decline and thinks “watch this.”

3. Andrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts

Team Record 2018: 10-6 (8-7-1 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 10
If everything breaks right in Indianapolis, Luck and company can challenge for an AFC crown.

The Next Tier

4. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers

Team Record 2018: 6-9 (6-9-1 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 9
Rodgers is more than worthy of being in the top tier, but he’s also facing a bounce back campaign.

5. Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs

Team Record 2018: 12-4 (9-6-1 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 10.5
We expect the league to at least catch up slightly to Mahomes. If we’re wrong, we’ll happily say so and enjoy the show.

6. Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks

Team Record 2018: 10-6 (9-5-2 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 8.5
If our team is behind late in the game, we’ll gladly take Wilson behind center and let him do his thing.

7. Philip Rivers, Los Angeles Chargers

Team Record 2018: 12-4 (9-7 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 9.5
Rivers will continue to be underrated until he gets a ring, but that doesn’t mean he’s not a stellar signal caller.

8. Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers

Team Record 2018: 9-6-1 (8-7-1 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 9
The Steelers have shown some players the door, so Ben Roethlisberger shouldn’t have many more fingers to point.

9. Jared Goff, Los Angeles Rams

Team Record 2018: 13-3 (7-7-2 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 10.5
We’ll see if a poor Super Bowl performance lights a spark under Goff, but he’s in a fantastic situation regardless.

Could Vault Up The List

10. Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons

Team Record 2018: 7-9 (5-11 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 8.5
The fantasy stats for Ryan and company are awesome, but that doesn’t always translate into winning tickets.

11. DeShaun Watson, Houston Texans

Team Record 2018: 11-5 (7-6-3 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 8.5
For perspective on the difference Watson makes, look at the record for the 2017 Texans versus last year’s squad.

12. Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles

Team Record 2018: 9-7 (6-9-1 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 10
There’s no more St. Nick to save the day, so we’ll see if Wentz can stay upright for a full season and keep the club playing at a high level.

13. Baker Mayfield, Cleveland Browns

Team Record 2018: 7-8-1 (10-6 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 9
We’re not about to give out hardware in the preseason, but we concur that Mayfield and the Browns are on the way up.

14. Kirk Cousins, Minnesota Vikings

Team Record 2018: 8-7-1 (8-7-1 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 9
Cousins and the Vikings are being looked past as potential contenders this year. That’s a mistake.

15. Mitchell Trubisky, Chicago Bears

Team Record 2018: 12-4 (12-4 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 9
Trubisky enters 2019 with big expectations on his shoulders. We’re optimistic, but we’ll also wait and see.

16. Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys

Team Record 2018: 10-6 (8-6-2 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 9
If the Ezekiel Elliott holdout drags into the season, Prescott will have to step up even more. We think he will.

17. Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers

Team Record 2018: 7-9 (7-9 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 7.5
We’re taking a wait and see approach on Newton and the Panthers until we’re comfortable his shoulder issues are finally cleared up.

Middle Of The Road

18. Jimmy Garoppolo, San Francisco 49ers

Team Record 2018: 4-12 (5-11 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 8
The 49ers were last year’s ‘it’ team of the preseason. Garoppolo back at full strength means folks shouldn’t sleep on them in 2019.

19. Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills

Team Record 2018: 6-10 (7-9 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 7
We’re just weeks away from hearing hot takes on the ‘surprising’ Bills. Allen will be a big reason why.

20. Nick Foles, Jacksonville Jaguars

Team Record 2018: 5-11 (5-9-2 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 8
We always loved how the Eagles seemed to come to life when Foles lined up behind center, but we’re not so sure he can turn the same trick in Jacksonville.

21. Marcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans

Team Record 2018: 9-7 (8-8 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 8
Overall, the Titans are being underrated, but the questions on Mariota being a franchise signal caller are perfectly valid.

22. Sam Darnold, New York Jets

Team Record 2018: 4-12 (5-10-1 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 7.5
Darnold didn’t have a terrible rookie season on a struggling team, so we’ll see if he can take the next step with a new voice in the room.

23. Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens

Team Record 2018: 10-6 (8-8 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 8.5
The keys to the car are officially his. Now it’s time to see if Jackson can take a leap forward in the passing game.

24. Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Team Record 2018: 5-11 (7-7-2 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 6.5
If Winston doesn’t take big steps under Bruce Arians, the fingers will rightfully be pointed in his direction.

25. Eli Manning, New York Giants

Team Record 2018: 5-11 (8-7-1 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 6
If the Giants struggle on the opening drive of the season, calls for Daniel Jones will grow louder. That doesn’t mean they’ll be correct.

Choose Your Spots Wisely

26. Joe Flacco, Denver Broncos

Team Record 2018: 6-10 (6-9-1 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 7
Those expecting a career renaissance for Flacco in Denver may be disappointed, as this is looking like a team which will be relying on the defense and ground game.

27. Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders

Team Record 2018: 4-12 (6-10 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 6
Carr and the Raiders could be a lot better in 2019, but we’re going to patiently wait for them to prove it to us.

28. Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions

Team Record 2018: 6-10 (9-7 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 6.5
Darrell Bevell is on board to lead the offense. We just don’t know what that’s going to mean for Stafford.

29. Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Bengals

Team Record 2018: 6-10 (9-7 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 6
Dalton is talented enough to be a lot further up this list, but a rookie head coach and the A.J. Green injury has us feeling skittish.

30. Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals

Team Record 2018: 3-13 (7-9 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 5
We’re excited to see what Murray can do in the Kliff Kingsbury offense too. However, we can’t in good conscience recommend a rookie signal caller until we see what’s what in Arizona.

31. Josh Rosen, Miami Dolphins

Team Record 2018: 7-9 (8-8 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 4.5
It could be Rosen or it could be Ryan Fitzpatrcik behind center in Miami. Neither will make a difference in the final record of this rebuilding squad.

32. Dwayne Haskins, Washington Redskins

Team Record 2018: 7-9 (9-7 ATS)
Projected Win Total: 6.5
Haskins may prove to be the real deal in Washington over the long-term, but an ugly rookie campaign is a distinct possibility.

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