Before we get into the picks, we want to applaud your perseverance for playing DFS this week for the Wyndham Championship.
After four majors, The Players Championship, fours WGCs, and countless other tournaments, most players would take a break, but NOT YOU. Sure, maybe the average fan would take this week off and actually work on Thursday and Friday, instead of frantically refreshing the PGA tour app and cursing when Hidecki misses another six-foot-birdie putt, but not the true grinders.
That’s a perseverance and dedication that we personally don’t think gets enough public recognition. Even though it’s not the largest or most exciting tournament out there, there is still DFS money out there to be won. We will leave you with a quote by the wise philosopher Meek Mill, “Scared money, don’t make no money.”
Sedgefield Country Club is typically one of the easier courses on tour and the past three Wyndham winners the past three years have all been below -20 or better, so you will need those golfers who can go low. It is also a shorter course where players with the ability to hit fairways will be a factor.
This week isn’t a complete star-studded field, but it’s an important week for a handful of mid-tier players who are pushing for a solid performance to have enough points to qualify for next week’s Northern Trust Open. A few of the players who are currently on the outside looking in are: Patton Kizzire, Peter Uihein, Austin Cook, Ricky Werenski, Andrew Landry, Martin Trainer, Daniel Berger, and Branson Burgoon.
RANKS 40/51 EASIEST COURSE on Tour
PAST 3 WINNERS
2018 BRANDT SNEDEKER -21
2017 HENRIK STENSON -22
2016 SI WOO KIM -21
SG Par 4s 400-450 Yds (8 out of 12 par 4 are 400-450 yards)
Par 5 scoring
Birdie or Better
SG Putting (On Bermuda)
SG Approach (Past winners have almost doubled on SG: Approach than any other stat)
SG Approach – 150-175 (average approach distance on this course)
Webb Simpson $11,200
Now most of the time I would not advocate for the most expensive player, but this week it may make sense to eat the price and chalk. Webb loves this tournament and has finished in the top 5 in four out of the past five years.
Most players would take this week off after playing in back-to-back tournaments and ranked so high in the FedEx standings, but this is one of his favorite courses.
He also comes into this tournament with in good form after finishing second last week at the WGC, 30th at The Open, and 16th in the US Open. He also rates out well against the field in the key stats while playing a significantly harder schedule than most of the other players, rating 13th in SG Approach, 1st in SG Par 4 400-450yds, and 9th in Birdie or Better.
Webb is clearly head and shoulders above the rest of the field and a closest thing you can get to a lock to finish in the top 10.
Viktor Hovland $9,500
After two new rookies have won in the past month, it’s now time for the potentially best of bunch to get it done. In the last 24 rounds, the Oklahoma State Cowboy rates out 4 in SG approach, 10th in Good Drives Gained, 5th in Birdies or Better Gained, and 8th in SG Par 4s 400-450 (8 out of 12 par 4s in this range).
Viktor has four top 25s in his last five events but has yet to top finish in the top 10.
Joaquin Neimann $9,100
Continuing the trend, another young player is popping in all of our important strokes gained stats this week in Joaquin Niemann.
He is top 20 in all of our key stats and has been lights out on Par 4s 400-450 yards, gaining the second most strokes in the field. Joaquin had been on a tear this past month with three top 10 finishes on tour.
His downfall, similar to many great balls strikers, is the flat stick. He ranks out 117th putting in the last 24 rounds and Bermuda grass is not his specialty.
With that being said, this is one of the easier courses on tour and Joaquin is known to rack up birdies quickly.
Adam Hadwin $8,500
The winner of this tournament is going to need to finish close to -20, so you will want to target guys who get hot quickly like the Canadian Adam Hadwin.
Adam has six rounds of 67 or lower in his last 14 rounds. Driving Distance (126th this year), can sometimes put Hadwin at a disadvantage, but that will not be a factor on the shorter course this week and his accuracy (30th) will be a plus.
He ranks out at seventh in DK points, 25th in approach, 9th in Good Drives Gained over his last 24 rounds. Watch out for Hadwin to post a very low number in the opening round.
Scott Piercy $8,100
Although Scott has only played in seven tournaments since mid-April, he has two top 5s and two top 20s in those events and most recently a 15th at the 3M open.
Scott’s numbers do not pop off the chart, but he is top 30 in almost every important stat this week and is 2nd in approaches from 150-175 yards. After a few weeks off, Piercy looks to have another strong finish this week before the playoffs.
Kevin Streelman $7,800
On a short, second shot course like Sedgefield CC, a guy like Kevin Streelman can go low.
Over the last 24 rounds, Streelman ranks second in SG Approach, which is just what you are looking for this week. He also tends to excel in weaker fields, such as the Valero Open and the RBC Heritage where he took 6th at each this year.
Sepp Straka $7,700
Straka currently in 115th in the FedEx cup standings could be looking for a big finish to solidify his standings going into the playoffs.
He’s been having a solid year after his impressive 28th at the US Open and been on a bit of a heater recently with five top 26 finishes in his last five starts, including third at Barbasol.
Straka is another golfer who can go low quickly and his 4.21 birdies per round ranks 14th on tour this season. He also excels at approach shots from 150-175 yards, ranking 7th over the past 24 rounds. In the birdie race like this week is sure to be, Straka can run with the best of them.
Value Play: Peter Malnanti $7,100
Pistol Pete is a cut-making machine this year (13/14 events this season).
Typically a shorter hitter, he will have no problem reaching greens on this short of a track with Sedgefield CC only measuring 7,127 yards. He has been playing very well with his irons and although he does not have too many top finishes, the potential is there especially when playing on Bermuda grass. Peter ranks out the fourth best putter the last 24 rounds on Bermuda.
Value Play: Ryan Armour $6,900
Course history is not always the biggest indicator of success, but Ryan Armour might be worth a shot at his low price and low projected ownership.
Armour has finished T4 and T8 in the past two years and the short course with tighter fairways could be the reason why. He ranks fourth on tour this year in driving accuracy and has made six out of his last seven cuts.
If you already paid your bookie this week, stay away, but he could be a nice pivot play with a low ownership this week.
FADE: Hidecki Matsuyama $10,900
Hidecki is a fan favorite for DK players. His numbers will always pop on SG models making him as tempting as an apple from the Garden of Eden, but Hidecki’s downfall is his historically bad putting.
His strength has always been his phenomenal approach play, but that has disappeared the last two weeks with a 43rd (WGC) and a MC (The Open).
Another downfall, which is no fault of his own, but he consistently is always one of the highest-owned players. Although he is a premier player, I see Hidecki using this week working out the kinks in his recent form and getting ready for the Fedex playoff.
FADE: Jordan Spieth $10,600
Jordan Spieth has had some good finishes lately going 12th at the WGC and 20th at the Open and a run of three top-10s in May giving him five top 25s in his last seven starts.
With that being said, if you bet him in any of these tournaments and have watched his rounds, you probably are in need of a few therapy sessions. Spieth has been as erratic as ever and skating by on putting and scrambling. While Spieth is known for those skills, eventually he will have a week where he stops draining 30 footers for par.
Sedgfield has some of the most narrow fairways on tour and the winners consistently finish near the top in driving accuracy, something Spieth is not likely to do. Bogey Avoidance is another big stat for this week. While Spieth can rack up birdies, he is capable of a triple at any time.
The winner this week is going to have to consistently make fairways and avoid big numbers, which simply is not Spieth’s game.