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NBA Basketball ATS Trends: Betting Cheat Sheet for 3/4/2019

Seven-game NBA Monday night slate tipping off at 7:30 PM EST. Here are some trends to help you in your handicapping of NBA picks, Good luck.


Dallas Mavericks (27-35, 6-24 Away) vs Brooklyn Nets (32-33, 18-16 Home)  Nets -5   O/U 226.5

Brooklyn 35-30 ATS (53.8%)

  • Home: 16-18 ATS
  • 1-day rest: 22-18 ATS (55%)

Nets Last 10 Games:

  • 20th in Offensive rating
  • 23rd in Defensive Rating
  • 30th in Rebounding % (Dead last)

Dallas 36-26 ATS (58.1%)

  •  15-15 ATS
  • 1- Day rest: 20-14 ATS (58.8%)   O/U 13-20
  • As Underdog: 23-15 ATS (60.5%) 4th in NBA

Mavericks Last 10 games

  • 29th  Offensive rating
  • 22nd Defensive rating
  • 28th Rebounding %
  • 29th True Shooting %
  • 27th  Pace

 


Atlanta Hawks (22-42, 11-13 Away) vs Miami Heat (28-34, 13-18 Home) Heat -8  O/U 224.5

Miami Heat 33-29 ATS (53.2%)

  • Home: 13-18 ATS
  • As Favorites: 12-19  (38.7%)
  • 1- Day rest: 18-19
  • Off a win: 16-11 ATS   (59.3%)

Atlanta 30-34 ATS (46.9%)

  • Away: 19-15 ATS
  • No Rest B2B: 2-6 ATS (25%)   O/U 2-6
  • After a win: 8-13 ATS (38.1%)

Denver Nuggets (42-20, 15-14 Away) vs San Antonio Spurs (35-29, 24-7 Home) Spurs -1  O/U 229.5

San Antonio 34-20 ATS (53.1%)

  • Home: 20-11 ATS 5th in NBA
  • 1-day rest: O/U 38-25 (60.3%)

At Home

  • 1st  FG%
  • 1st  3 point%
  • 1st  FT %

Spurs Last 10 games

  • O/U 7-3
  • 29th Defensive rating

Denver 33-29 ATS (53.2%)

  • Away: 11-18 ATS (37.9%) 29th in NBA
  • Away: O/U 11-17-1
  • Off a loss: 8-11 ATS

Nuggets Last 10 games

  • 6th Rebound %
  • 3rd Assist %
  • 4th Pace

Milwaukee Bucks (48-15, 23-10 Away) vs Phoenix Suns (13-51, 8-23 Home) Bucks -12.5  O/U 233

Phoenix 27-37 ATS (42.2%)

  • Home: 14-17 ATS
  • 1-Day rest: 16-24 ATS    O/U 16-24
  • O/U 28-35-1
  • Last 10 games the Suns are 3-7 SU and Dead last in Net rating (-10)

Milwaukee 37-23-3 ATS

  • Away: 20-11 ATS 1st in NBA
  • 1-Day Rest 26-13 (66.7%) 2nd in NBA
  • The Bucks are great after a loss going 12-2 ATS (85.7%)
  • In the Last 10 games, the Bucks are 5th in TO% while the Suns rank 30th (dead last)

New Orleans Pelicans (29-36, 11-24 Away) vs Utah Jazz (36-26, 21-10 Home) Jazz -10.5  O/U 229

Utah 33-28-2 (53.3%)

  • Home: 16-14-1
  • 1 Day rest: 19-13-2 ATS
  • After a win: 15-19-1 ATS (44.1%)

Jazz Last 10 Games:

  • 4th Net rating (6.1)
  • 1st Rebounding %
  • Struggling with TO% ranking 23rd

New Orleans 33-31-1 (51.6%)

  • Away: 17-17-1 ATS
  • 1-Day rest: 20-18-1 ATS
  • Off a win: 12-15-1  (44.4%)

Pelicans Last 10 games

  • 1st in pace
  • 28th TO%
  • 19th True Shooting%

New York Knicks (13-50, 7-25 Away) vs Sacramento Kings (31-31, 19-13 Home)   Kings -11.5  O/U 229.5

Sacramento 37-24-1 ATS (60.7%)

  • Home: 22-9 ATS  (71%)  1st in NBA
  • 2-3 day rest 8-6-1
  • Off a loss 19-10-1 ATS   (65.5%)
  • When the Kings get 2-3 days to rest they come out gunning cashing the over 73.3% of games (11-4)

New York 26-34-3 ATS (43.3%)

  • Road: 14-16-1 ATS
  • Road O/U 18-13 (58.1%)
  • No Rest B2B:  5-6 ATS    O/U 4-7

Los Angeles Clippers (36-29, 18-17 Away) vs Los Angeles Lakers (30-33, 18-13 Home) Lakers -4  O/U 234.5

Lakers 26-36-1 ATS (41.9%)

  • Home: 12-18-1 ATS
  • 1-Day rest 14-22-1 ATS
  • Off a loss: 13-18-1 (41.9%)
  • O/U 25-37-1    UNDER hits in 59.7$ of Lakers games

Lakers Last 10 games

  • 3-7 SU   2-8 ATS
  • 21st offensive rating
  • 30th Defensive rating (last)
  • 26th Rebounding %
  • 19th TO%
  • 6th Pace

All these stats point you to lack of effort and communication. The pace is still there as they get the ball up, but nobody in communicating or putting forward effort which will show is Defensive rating, rebounds, and turnovers.

Clippers 37-28 ATS  (56.9%)

  • 20-15 AwayATS
  • No rest B2B: 5-6 ATS
  • Off a loss: 19-16 ATS (54.3%)
  • The over is 72.7% in Clippers games playing in B2B nights.

Clippers Last 10 games

  • 5th in pace
  • 10th Rebounding %
  • 13th True Shooting %
  • Where they struggle is  TO% ranking 26th

 

Bonus Plays

Mavs +5.5 3U

UPDATE 740CST

Heat TT 3rd Q over 28.5 5U MAX

Heat TT over 118.5 3U

UPDATE 837 CST

Spurs TT 3rd Q  over 26.5 10U MAX

UPDATE 839

Kings TT first Q over 31 5U

 

UPDATE 908 CST

Bucks 3rd Q TT over 31.5  5U MAX

 

 

 

Sports Writer for The Sports Gambling podcast| Host of Moneyline on ESPN 97.5 Houston/Houston SportsMap. An enthusiast of all things gambling. A sports degenerate: Man of the people: a DREAMER... "Follow me, I'll show you the way."

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