NBA

NBA Basketball ATS Trends: Betting Cheat Sheet for 3/4/2019

by
Jerry Bo
March 4, 2019

Seven-game NBA Monday night slate tipping off at 7:30 PM EST. Here are some trends to help you in your handicapping of NBA picks, Good luck.

Dallas Mavericks (27-35, 6-24 Away) vs Brooklyn Nets (32-33, 18-16 Home) Nets -5 O/U 226.5

Brooklyn 35-30 ATS (53.8%)

Home: 16-18 ATS
1-day rest: 22-18 ATS (55%)

Nets Last 10 Games:

20th in Offensive rating
23rd in Defensive Rating
30th in Rebounding % (Dead last)

Dallas 36-26 ATS (58.1%)

15-15 ATS
1- Day rest: 20-14 ATS (58.8%) O/U 13-20
As Underdog: 23-15 ATS (60.5%) 4th in NBA

Mavericks Last 10 games

29th Offensive rating
22nd Defensive rating
28th Rebounding %
29th True Shooting %
27th Pace

Atlanta Hawks (22-42, 11-13 Away) vs Miami Heat (28-34, 13-18 Home) Heat -8 O/U 224.5

Miami Heat 33-29 ATS (53.2%)

Home: 13-18 ATS
As Favorites: 12-19 (38.7%)
1- Day rest: 18-19
Off a win: 16-11 ATS (59.3%)

Atlanta 30-34 ATS (46.9%)

Away: 19-15 ATS
No Rest B2B: 2-6 ATS (25%) O/U 2-6
After a win: 8-13 ATS (38.1%)

Denver Nuggets (42-20, 15-14 Away) vs San Antonio Spurs (35-29, 24-7 Home) Spurs -1 O/U 229.5

San Antonio 34-20 ATS (53.1%)

Home: 20-11 ATS 5th in NBA
1-day rest: O/U 38-25 (60.3%)

At Home

1st FG%
1st 3 point%
1st FT %

Spurs Last 10 games

O/U 7-3
29th Defensive rating

Denver 33-29 ATS (53.2%)

Away: 11-18 ATS (37.9%) 29th in NBA
Away: O/U 11-17-1
Off a loss: 8-11 ATS

Nuggets Last 10 games

6th Rebound %
3rd Assist %
4th Pace

Milwaukee Bucks (48-15, 23-10 Away) vs Phoenix Suns (13-51, 8-23 Home) Bucks -12.5 O/U 233

Phoenix 27-37 ATS (42.2%)

Home: 14-17 ATS
1-Day rest: 16-24 ATS O/U 16-24
O/U 28-35-1
Last 10 games the Suns are 3-7 SU and Dead last in Net rating (-10)

Milwaukee 37-23-3 ATS

Away: 20-11 ATS 1st in NBA
1-Day Rest 26-13 (66.7%) 2nd in NBA
The Bucks are great after a loss going 12-2 ATS (85.7%)
In the Last 10 games, the Bucks are 5th in TO% while the Suns rank 30th (dead last)

New Orleans Pelicans (29-36, 11-24 Away) vs Utah Jazz (36-26, 21-10 Home) Jazz -10.5 O/U 229

Utah 33-28-2 (53.3%)

Home: 16-14-1
1 Day rest: 19-13-2 ATS
After a win: 15-19-1 ATS (44.1%)

Jazz Last 10 Games:

4th Net rating (6.1)
1st Rebounding %
Struggling with TO% ranking 23rd

New Orleans 33-31-1 (51.6%)

Away: 17-17-1 ATS
1-Day rest: 20-18-1 ATS
Off a win: 12-15-1 (44.4%)

Pelicans Last 10 games

1st in pace
28th TO%
19th True Shooting%

New York Knicks (13-50, 7-25 Away) vs Sacramento Kings (31-31, 19-13 Home) Kings -11.5 O/U 229.5

Sacramento 37-24-1 ATS (60.7%)

Home: 22-9 ATS (71%) 1st in NBA
2-3 day rest 8-6-1
Off a loss 19-10-1 ATS (65.5%)
When the Kings get 2-3 days to rest they come out gunning cashing the over 73.3% of games (11-4)

New York 26-34-3 ATS (43.3%)

Road: 14-16-1 ATS
Road O/U 18-13 (58.1%)
No Rest B2B: 5-6 ATS O/U 4-7

Los Angeles Clippers (36-29, 18-17 Away) vs Los Angeles Lakers (30-33, 18-13 Home) Lakers -4 O/U 234.5

Lakers 26-36-1 ATS (41.9%)

Home: 12-18-1 ATS
1-Day rest 14-22-1 ATS
Off a loss: 13-18-1 (41.9%)
O/U 25-37-1 UNDER hits in 59.7$ of Lakers games

Lakers Last 10 games

3-7 SU 2-8 ATS
21st offensive rating
30th Defensive rating (last)
26th Rebounding %
19th TO%
6th Pace

All these stats point you to lack of effort and communication. The pace is still there as they get the ball up, but nobody in communicating or putting forward effort which will show is Defensive rating, rebounds, and turnovers.

Clippers 37-28 ATS (56.9%)