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NBA Basketball ATS Trends: Betting Cheat Sheet for 2/28/19

NBA ATS Trends 2/28

The NBA brings us an interesting six game slate this Thursday night, action tips off at 7 pm EST. Here is a cheat sheet with a few ATS trends for you to use in your handicapping.


Golden State Warriors (43-18, 20-10 Away) vs Orlando Magic (43-18, 20-10 Home)     Warriors -6.5  O/U 226.5

Orlando: 33-28-1 ATS (54.1%)

  • Home: 16-15-1 ATS
  • 1-day rest: 23-13 ATS (63.9%) 3rd in the NBA

Magic’s Last 10 Games:

  • 7-3 SU 12.6 Net Rating 1st in NBA

Golden State: 25-35-1 ATS (41.7%)

  • 30th / Worse in NBA
  • Away: 14-16 ATS
  • No rest B2B 2-5-1 ATS (28.6%)
  • Some would think the Warriors bounce back off losses, but they are 6-11 ATS after a loss. Dead last in the NBA.

Minnesota Timberwolves (29-32, 9-22 Away) vs Indiana Pacers (40-22, 23-8 Home)  Pacers -3.5  O/U 221.5

Indiana: 31-30-1 ATS (50.8%)

  • Home: 18-13 ATS
  • No Rest B2B: 8-3 ATS (72.7%) 2nd in NBA

Pacers Last 10 games:

  • 7-3 SU 9.8 Net Rating 2nd in NBA
  • 59.2% True Shooting 3rd in NBA

Minnesota 32-29 ATS (52.5%)

  • Away:15-16 ATS
  • No rest B2B: 5-3 ATS (62.5%)
  • Timberwolves are 12-9 ATS against Non-Conference Opponents
  • 16-12 ATS when listed as underdogs (57.1%)

Cleveland Cavaliers (14-47, 5-24 Away) vs New York Knicks (13-48, 6-24 Home)  Knicks -3  O/U 218.5

New York: 26-32-3 ATS (44.8%)

  • Home: 11-17-2 ATS
  • 1-day rest
  • The Knicks haven’t won many games this season, much less winning streaks. A win here  will give the Knicks only their second 3 game winning streak of the season. However, the Knicks are a leagues best 63.6% ATS following a win, 7-4-1 to be exact in the small sample size.

Cleveland: 27-33-1 ATS (45%)

  • Away: 13-15-1 ATS
  • Off 2-3 Day rest: 6-5 ATS

Cavaliers Road Offense ranks:

  • Scoring 29th
  • FG% 27th
  • Rebounds 25th

Miami Heat (27-33, 15-15 Away) vs Houston Rockets 36-25, 21-9 Home)   Rockets -9.5 O/U 220.5

Houston: 27-32 ATS (45.8%)

  • Home: 16-13 ATS
  • No rest B2B: 4-4 ATS
  • In the games 8 games the Rockets have played of B2B the over is 5-3.
  • Rockets home games are 17-11 O/U (60.7%) going over by an average margin of +7.8 points.
  • 14-8 O/U Non-Conference games

Miami 31-29 ATS (51.7%)

  • Away: 19-11 ATS 2nd best in NBA
  • No Rest B2B: 5-3 O/U

Heat Last 10 games:

  • 3rd in rebounding / Rockets 27th
  • The over is 62.5% for both teams when playing B2B.

Philadelphia 76ers (39-22, 15-14 Away) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (38-22, 21-8 Home)  Thunder-7   O/U 240.5

OKC: 33-27 (55%)

  • Home: 17-11-1 ATS
  • 1 Day rest: 19-16 ATS
  • 14-7 ATS vs Non-Conference opponents
  • Thunder home games O/U is 17-11 (60.7%)

Thunder Last 10 Games:

  • 6th offensive rating
  • 14th defensive rating
  • 3rd pace

Philadelphia: 28-33 ATS (45.9%)

  • Away: 12-17 ATS
  • 2-3 Days rest: 7-8 ATS
  • 76ers seem to start slow after getting 2-3 days off. The O/U is 5-10 (33.3%)

76ers Last 10 games:

  • 6th in shooting %
  • 9th pace
  • Struggling with Turnovers 24th
  • The 76ers road defense is 20th in scoring while the Thunder are 4th at home.

Utah Jazz (34-26, 14-16 Away) vs Denver Nuggets (42-18, 27-4 Home)   Denver -7    O/U 224.5

Denver: 33-27 (55%)

  • Home: 22-9 ATS 2nd in NBA
  • 1-day rest 19-19
  • Off a win 25-16 ATS 2nd in NBA
  • The Over is 47.5% overall in Nuggets games this season but cashes in 54.8% of home games.

Utah: 31-27-2 ATS

  • Road: 15-14-1 ATS
  • No rest B2B: 4-6 ATS
  • Off a win: 14-18-1 ATS
  • When the Jazz play B2B the O/U is 7-3 (70%)

Jazz Last 10 Games:

  • 7th offensive rating
  • 9th assist %
  • 5th true shooting%
  • Where they have problems is turning the ball over where they rank 26th over the span of 10 games.

 

 

Bonus Updates

507 CST

Xavier at St John’s
First half under 67.5 2U
Game Under 144 2U

UPDATE
535 CST

Wofford TT over 36.5 first half

5U Game TT over 76 5U

UPDATE 650 CST

Wofford 2nd half -5.5 3U

 

UPDATE 703 CST

Rockets -5 Fh 3U
TT over 58.5 fh 3U

 

Sports Writer for The Sports Gambling podcast| Host of Moneyline on ESPN 97.5 Houston/Houston SportsMap. An enthusiast of all things gambling. A sports degenerate: Man of the people: a DREAMER... "Follow me, I'll show you the way."

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