College Basketball Picks For November 12th – NCAA Basketball Banter & Best Bets Recap
The College Basketball Experience (@TCEonSGPN) on the Sports Gambling Podcast breaks down every game on the College Basketball slate on Thursday, November 12th. Colby Dant (@TheColbyD), Ryan McIntyre (@Moneyline_Mac), and Noah Bieniek (@NoahB77_) discuss their favorite games and give out their best bets.
Colby Dant (@thecolbyd) and Noah Bieniek (@NoahB77_) are joined by Ryan McIntyre (@Moneyline_Mac) for college basketball picks for November 12th, after a long look back at a wild Veterans Day slate. Mac grabs UMKC at +950 while Noah backs West Florida plus 8 and the Argos money line.
A 4-0 Start And The Fairleigh Dickinson Money Line
Colby Dant opened the day slate a perfect 4-0, and he did it without anyone else’s homework to lean on. First up was Fairleigh Dickinson, a triple lock across the crew. Colby took the points, but FDU won outright in overtime, 80-76. So the money line was the real move, and Ryan McIntyre had it from the jump. Then Colby cashed UMKC and Dartmouth over Albany. Finally, UC Davis covered by half a point against Incarnate Word, which is about as sweaty as a cover gets. Noah Bieniek rode most of the same card early, and St. Joe’s against South Florida was the one afternoon game he got wrong.
Veterans Day was also a bad day to fade the service academies. Navy came back on Penn, and Air Force rolled Loyola Chicago, so Colby lost both of his tickets on the other side. That still earned the Falcons his first game ball. Air Force shot 52% against Loyola and hung a hundred on them. Noah also pointed out how different this team looks under Joe Scott. His teams used to crawl, ranking mostly in the 340s and 350s in pace year after year. This season Air Force runs at the 12th fastest pace in the country and keeps launching threes. So expect real volatility, but at 3-1 this is a team worth backing when the shots fall.
Dayton Sinks, Michigan Rolls And The Big East Wobbles
Dayton is the first dumpster fire of the season. The Flyers are 1-2 after home upsets by Northern Illinois and Siena in back-to-back games. Both of those programs have first-year coaches, which makes it worse. Meanwhile, Michigan handled Marquette 84-70 in the one game Noah watched tip to finish. Marquette made it dicey with a 9-0 run and a seven-point lead, so Dusty May burned a wartime timeout. After that, the Wolverines took over. Marquette’s breakout point guard went 0-for-11 and got benched late. Elliot Cadeau, on the other hand, flirted with a triple-double and dished 10 assists. Noah’s read is that this Michigan team wins with defense around the rim, but the offense will be streaky all year.
Then Colby went after the Big East, and he did not hold back. The league was supposed to cash in on football-free money, but the early results are ugly. Creighton lost to Kansas State, and Nebraska waxed Providence. Butler also looked outclassed against Boise State. So Colby gives a pass to UConn, St. John’s and Xavier, with Georgetown on the fringe because of a pathetic home crowd. Noah is staying high on Villanova and keeping the Wildcats in his top 10. His reason is Notre Dame, because the Irish look legit, and Nova led that opener for 35 minutes. That also explains why the guys’ South Carolina State triple lock got buried by Notre Dame.
Game Balls For Chicago State, American And The Thunderdome
Colby lost money on Chicago State, and he still handed his boys a game ball. The Cougars went to Cal Baptist and won by 19. Mike Price is the story, and Colby called him the greatest sixth man in the history of basketball. Off the bench tonight, he dropped 29 points in 25 minutes. Before that, he scored 21 against Incarnate Word and 26 against South Carolina State. So the obvious question is why he is not starting. Noah also likes the Landon Bussey hire, because Bussey had Alcorn State competing for SWAC titles. Then there is the bigger picture. A 20-point road win across the country is a real result for a program that rarely gets one.
Noah went to American next, and both hosts had it on their cards. The Eagles led most of the way, then won it on a buzzer beater. Noah was high on American coming in because of its returning production. Madden Collins has been the clear top player, and he went for 23 points on 9-of-10 shooting against Drexel. Meanwhile, Colby took his Thunderdome game ball to UC Santa Barbara, which crushed Nevada. He had Nevada loaded up and pulled back, so the Big West specialist label holds. Noah is still cautious, though. Nevada shot 2-of-18 from three, and he reads that as shooting variance more than good defense.
Jackrabbits, Roadrunners And A Seven-Footer In Wilmington
South Dakota State was Noah’s favorite lock of the night. The Jackrabbits were a pick’em at home in Brookings against a Valpo team coming off its double-overtime win over Purdue. That line looked off to him, and the result proved it. So he keeps buying low on the Jackrabbits, just like he did against Kansas State. Colby also bet UTSA in the points, and the Roadrunners won by 30. KJ Tenner led the way with 18 points. Mac went further and had the UTSA money line, because it was Steve Henson’s… no, because it was the head coach’s first game back from a DUI suspension. That angle cashed, and nobody saw a 30-point margin coming.
UNC Wilmington beat Kent State by 18, and Patrick Wessler looked like a CAA Player of the Year candidate. The seven-footer posted 29 points, seven boards, two blocks and two steals. Noah was on Kent State because their tempo gave the Seahawks fits last season. Instead, the result reinforced his belief that ECU has a good roster, since ECU nearly beat Wilmington. Then there was St. Joe’s, which held on against South Florida 83-80. The Hawks shot 46% from three on 26 attempts. But South Florida outrebounded them by 16, so it was a strange box score. Colby finished the night 13-6, his best since the opener.
Moneyline Mac’s $155,000 Near Miss
Ryan McIntyre joined the show fresh off 14 straight days of content and a few comments he did not appreciate. He answered them by pointing to the plays he gave out, including FDU and UTSA on the money line. Then he revealed the real heartbreak. He had a ticket that needed Cal to hit for $155,000, and he turned down a $30,000 payout along the way. All three legs were double-digit dogs, so he stuck with scare money makes no money. After that, the crew drifted into which college football coach would be the best basketball player. Marcus Freeman and Fran Brown got love, and Zach Kittley turned out to be 6’7″ with an Abilene Christian walk-on past.
Locks Up And Down The Slate
UMKC is a triple lock at +14.5 against George Mason in St. Petersburg. The game tips at 3:00 Eastern as a standalone on YouTube. Colby asked who George Mason is to lay that number on a neutral floor, and he has Mason winning by nine. Mac admits UMKC is on a back-to-back. But the Roos already know the rims, so he likes the first-half money line and thinks they are live to win. Noah was the least confident of the three, but it is a standalone game. So he took the points too and noted the number had moved their way. Next, Mac and Noah both lean UMBC at -6.5 against a 3-0 Morgan State team that has played two non-D1 opponents.
Penn State is a double lock at -20 against Mercyhurst for Colby and Mac. Mac called it a front-runner spot off the Pitt loss, but Noah likes Mercyhurst after making them his NEC favorite. Loyola Maryland is another double lock, getting 14.5 at Towson. Also on the dog side, Colby and Mac double locked Southern at +25 against Minnesota, fading the Gophers off the buzzer beater. Colby locked Mercer at +26.5 at West Virginia and flew solo on Maryland Eastern Shore at Rhode Island. Meanwhile, Mac is all over Tennessee Tech against Indiana. He thinks Indiana is a bubble team, and the Golden Eagles already have a road game under their belt.
Mac had more locks of his own. First, he took Western Illinois against a Bakersfield team laying 9.5 on its first true road trip. Then he locked Monmouth at +1.5 against Quinnipiac, because he trusts King Rice in a buy-low spot. He also locked Howard at -10.5 against Stetson, while Noah took the Hatters. Texas A&M at -7.5 is a double lock with Noah, since Oklahoma State beat the Aggies by about 20 in last season’s opener. Mac also locked UTEP against New Mexico State. The last four meetings came down to one possession, but he thinks the Miners need a signature rivalry win.
Noah locked Loyola Marymount at a pick against South Alabama, while Colby bet the Jaguars. West Florida is a triple lock at +8 against Alabama A&M. The Argonauts are the newest D1 program, but Mac thinks the line is inflated. Then Colby and Mac double locked UC Riverside at +8.5 at San Jose State. Riverside won the last meeting by 15, and Colby is a Tim Miles guy all the way. Finally, everyone laid it with BYU at -23.5 against Montana State, though nobody bet it. Richmond at -3.5 at Southern Illinois was also unanimous with no money behind it.
Top Three Plays And Dogs For The College Basketball Picks November 12th Card
Colby went big on the board. His top three are Tennessee Tech at +25.5, Mercer at +26.5 and UMKC to keep it close with Mason. His money line dog is New Mexico State, a 5.5-point underdog at UTEP. Noah found +182 at NoVig, and +170 was available at multiple books. Mac, meanwhile, went with Monmouth against Quinnipiac, West Florida and Loyola Maryland at 13.5 at Towson. Then he doubled down on UMKC with a money line dog at +950. He hit FDU at five-to-one, so he figures ten-to-one on the Roos is worth a shot.
Noah started his three with Loyola Marymount at a pick. The Lions are 0-2 against D1 teams, but they lost by one to a good Queens team and in overtime to Troy. So he is buying low and expects them to split the Alabama trip. Next is UMBC at -6.5, because Jim Ferry has the Retrievers rolling and Morgan State is unproven. His third play is West Florida at +8. He also calls the Argonauts his favorite money line of the night at +310 against Alabama A&M. That makes West Florida the consensus play on this card, and Noah thinks Andrew Smith gets his first D1 win.
Podcast Chapters
00:00 Download the SGPN App Today!
01:01 Sober Tonight, Excited to Talk Ball
04:18 Veterans Day and the Fair Dick Money Line
11:57 Air Force Game Ball, Oklahoma and Dayton Flyers
17:46 Michigan Beats Marquette
20:33 Big East Early Red Flags
23:53 Chicago State Wins at Cal Baptist
27:54 American Game Ball
29:32 UC Santa Barbara Game Ball and the Thunderdome
33:20 Game Balls: Jackrabbits, UTSA & UNC Wilmington
40:01 Old Dominion & St. Joe’s vs. South Florida
43:30 Big Games: Duke, Virginia Tech & Memphis
46:09 Big East Has Been Underwhelming
49:26 Moneyline Mac Heater & Cal Ticket
55:17 Battle of the Bricks Night Out
1:01:07 Colby Dan Made the News
1:04:54 Best College Football Coach Basketball Player
1:11:20 UMKC vs. George Mason Picks
1:13:54 Morgan State vs. UMBC Picks
1:16:08 Coppin State vs. Bradley Picks
1:17:19 Tennessee Tech vs. Indiana Picks
1:19:31 Mercyhurst vs. Penn State Picks
1:20:33 Niagara vs. Bowling Green Picks
1:21:59 Loyola Maryland vs. Towson Picks
1:22:31 Bakersfield vs. Western Illinois Picks
1:23:27 Eastern Shore vs. Rhode Island Picks
1:24:37 Southern Utah vs. High Point Picks
1:25:55 Canisius vs. Brown Picks
1:27:13 Central Connecticut State vs. Sacred Heart Picks
1:28:08 Mercer vs. West Virginia Picks
1:29:30 Western Michigan vs. IPFW Picks
1:30:40 Monmouth vs. Quinnipiac Picks
1:31:44 Stetson vs. Howard Picks
1:33:22 Southern vs. Minnesota Picks
1:35:03 Loyola Marymount vs. South Alabama Picks
1:36:41 Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M Picks
1:38:18 Richmond vs. Southern Illinois Picks
1:40:33 West Florida vs. Alabama A&M Picks
1:42:50 Montana State vs. BYU Picks
1:43:52 New Mexico State vs. UTEP Picks
1:46:28 Riverside vs. San Jose State Picks
1:47:26 Top Three Plays and a Dog
1:52:12 Sign-Off & Socials
