College Basketball Picks For November 11th – NCAA Basketball Banter & Best Bets Recap
The College Basketball Experience (@TCEonSGPN) on the Sports Gambling Podcast breaks down every game on the College Basketball slate on Wednesday, November 11th. Colby Dant (@TheColbyD), Ryan McIntyre (@Moneyline_Mac), and Noah Bieniek (@NoahB77_) discuss their favorite games and give out their best bets.
Ryan McIntyre (@Moneyline_Mac) and Noah Bieniek (@NoahB77_) break down college basketball picks for November 11th, starting with Michigan State handling Duke before working through a 48-game Wednesday slate. Noah Bieniek locks Arkansas laying 32, and Ryan McIntyre rides Cal on the money line against USC.
Sparty Punches Duke In The Mouth
Duke was one of Noah Bieniek’s favorite locks of the day at -6.5. Michigan State took it to the Blue Devils the entire night anyway. Fears went for 18 points, 11 rebounds and 7 assists. Jordan Scott also blocked six shots on his own as a wing, and the Spartans’ perimeter defense made everything hard. Duke started slow. Then they finally worked the offense through the post, the matchup the guys expected them to abuse, but it came too late. So Tom Izzo coached circles around the other bench. That makes two losses to Sparty in three days for Noah, and he owned every bit of it on the show.
Ryan McIntyre called it wire to wire and said Duke got punched in the mouth. He also raised the question that keeps coming back, which is whether Duke’s head coach is the guy. Noah split it down the middle. The recruiting deserves credit. But he keeps getting outcoached with superior talent, and the offense slides into stationary iso ball against the best coaches. Duke has no alpha either. Mac thinks this is the most vulnerable Duke team in four or five years. Mac, meanwhile, went undefeated on Tuesday with Kansas, Kansas State, Texas Tech, Michigan State and Florida State.
Texas Tech, Kansas And A Dayton Dumpster Fire
Texas Tech made the Big 12 flex in a revenge spot against Illinois, after losing at Illinois last year. Mac was boots on the ground in Lubbock for it. Tech blitzed the Illini early and led by about 20 at the half. Illinois made it a nail-biter late behind its freshman, but the damage was done. Mac still calls Tech a little bit of a fraud. Even so, both hosts agree Grant McCasland is a good ball coach. Then Vanderbilt dropped a C note on Memphis, winning 105 to 81, and the guys ate it on the Tigers. Their read now is simple: Vanderbilt is good and well-coached.
Kansas beat Kentucky without Council, one of its better defenders, and Noah had the Jayhawks locked. The Kentucky side bothered him more. Milan Milosevic took three 3-point attempts in 36 minutes. So either the scheme failed to get its best shooter looks or Kansas defended well, and Noah leans scheme. Mac’s take was shorter: Kentucky sucks. Meanwhile, Kansas has three veteran seniors eligible, including sixth-year Trey Kaufman, plus maybe the best freshman this year. Noah calls them one of the frontrunners right now. Mac grudgingly admits they might win it all, even if he wants Izzo to do it instead.
Siena scored 99 in UD Arena and beat Dayton outright by 10. That is two straight home losses for the Flyers as double-digit favorites. Noah says it’s the closest he has come this season to hanging the dumpster fire graphic on someone, and Dayton might be the first logo up there. Mac couldn’t believe a loss to Siena either. Credit also goes to Nevada Smith, because he opened his first year as a head coach at 2-1 with wins over Princeton and Dayton. Just don’t look at the Bryant loss. For a proud program like Dayton, though, the story is the slide.
A few more results stood out. Wright State won 76 to 68 at Toledo after leading by 15 with five minutes to go. That follows a 30-point win over Air Force and a 26-point win over FAU. Noah says the Raiders should be the favorite to win the Horizon League, and Mac agrees. UT Martin also went into Jonesboro and won by 17 at Arkansas State, a money line call from Colby Dant (@thecolbyd) on the previous show. Then St. Louis, laying 24.5, won by 50 after Noah faded the Billikens. Houston Christian won at South Dakota too, the Coyotes’ third straight home loss.
Veterans Day Dogs Worth A Sprinkle
The Wednesday card opens with East Texas A&M, the old Commerce program, laying 10.5 to Fairleigh Dickinson. Neither host buys that number. Mac grabbed FDU on the money line at +390, and Noah found +620 elsewhere, which he called a little more fair. Both say it is worth a sprinkle at either price. Commerce has looked good with a Euro grab bag of talent. But when has that program ever laid double digits? Mac popped a Miller Lite and promised to tip his cap if Commerce covers, because he does not expect to have to.
Southern Indiana is the same kind of play. IU Indy is laying 7.5, and Noah says it doesn’t belong anywhere near that number. So the Screaming Eagles get a double lock and a +260 money line sprinkle. Mac even wants a Southern Indiana and FDU parlay. Albany is another home dog Mac loves, catching 2.5 against Dartmouth, and he is playing the Great Danes on the money line. Noah took Dartmouth but passed on a bet. Both hosts also like UMKC against FAMU in St. Pete, after Mac talked himself back onto the Roos.
St. Joe’s catching 7.5 against USF in Annapolis is a Mac lock, because he loves the dogs on Veterans Day. Noah went the other way with little conviction. He lays it with South Florida off the DePaul loss, since St. Joe’s hasn’t played anybody. Mac also locked Navy getting 10 at home against Penn and VMI laying 6.5 against North Carolina Central. Then he went Loyola Chicago at -9.5 over Air Force, calling the Falcons a bad basketball team. Noah, for the record, fears fading Air Force at home on Veterans Day.
Lock Battles And Proud Program Plays
Charleston and Temple split the room. Mac likes the Owls because Charleston has only played two D2 teams. Noah locks the Cougars anyway, because he sees John Groce as a coaching upgrade over Chris Mack and thinks few people have seen this team yet. Kent State at UNCW goes the same way. Mac locks Wilmington laying 7 in a revenge spot after a nine-point loss last year. Noah takes the Golden Flashes instead. Kent State lost its point guard and big man, but it plays the same style that gave UNCW trouble.
The loudest fight is UMass laying 11 against UMass Lowell. Noah locks the River Hawks, who are 3-0 with wins at Merrimack and against Marist, and he expects a low-scoring rock fight. Mac locks UMass and says Frank Martin wins by 20. Then the guys find common ground. JMU at -4 is a double lock, because the Dukes were competitive against Kentucky and Delaware’s lone D1 game came against Wisconsin. Norfolk State getting 4 at home against ODU is also a double lock, even though Norfolk got drilled by William & Mary in its last one.
Marquette is the money line dog at Michigan. Matthew Golden Eagles held Mercyhurst to 43 and Detroit Mercy to 32, so the defense looks back. Noah sees Michigan’s real issue on offense. Mac also loves backing a team off a horrible year early in November. Noah’s other locks lean on spots. South Carolina State gets 26 at Notre Dame, which beat EIU by 24 and has Florida next. He also locks South Dakota State as a home pick’em, because he thinks Valpo is getting a little too much respect after beating Purdue. Lindenwood plus 35 at Nebraska in a sandwich spot rounds out his card.
Locks And Dogs: College Basketball Picks For November 11th
Noah’s favorite pick of the day is Arkansas laying 32 against Robert Morris. It’s a bounce-back spot after Virginia drilled the Razorbacks, and there is no look-ahead. Robert Morris already lost by 37 to Nevada and by 23 to UIC. Charleston is his second lock. South Dakota State on the money line is the third. Then his dog is a short one, American at +102 in a pick’em against Drexel, because Simpkins has the better roster against a rebuilding team. He also adds two bigger money lines: FDU against Commerce and Southern Indiana at +260.
Ryan McIntyre goes his own way. His first lock is North Texas against Santa Clara, laying only 1.5. Next comes St. Joe’s catching a short number in Annapolis. Finally, UNCW gets the nod in the revenge spot against Kent State. His dog is Cal on the money line, with USC laying 8.5, and Mac says Cal beats USC for old times’ sake. He also bet UTSA on the money line at Seattle. Chicago State plus 10.5 against Cal Baptist is his other buy, because the Cougars laid an egg the first time they were ever favored.
Podcast Chapters
00:00 Download the SGPN App Today!
00:59 Welcome to the College Basketball Experience
04:00 Game Balls: Michigan State, Texas Tech & Kansas
30:00 Slurring Through Promo Codes And Beer Over Under
31:43 Fair Deck vs. Commerce Picks
35:44 FAMU vs. UMKC Picks
38:06 Dartmouth vs. Albany Picks
40:15 I Dub vs. UC Davis Picks
41:00 St. Joe’s vs. USF Picks
42:09 Loyola vs. Air Force Picks
43:30 A&T vs. East Carolina Picks
44:13 Bethune vs. San Diego State Picks
45:01 Penn vs. Navy Picks
47:30 North Carolina Central vs. VMI Picks
48:34 Southern Indiana vs. Ooey-Pooey Picks
50:11 Charleston vs. Temple Picks
52:03 Kent State vs. UNCW Picks
55:24 Milwaukee vs. Indiana State Picks
57:25 American vs. Drexel Picks
58:25 Cornell vs. Bonnies Picks
59:01 Lowell vs. UMass Picks
1:01:52 Asheville vs. West Georgia Picks
1:02:35 JMU vs. Delaware Picks
1:04:17 Marquette vs. Michigan Picks
1:06:08 ODU vs. Norfolk State Picks
1:07:41 Campbell vs. ETSU Picks
1:08:01 Furman vs. Holy Cross Picks
1:08:58 NJIT vs. VCU Picks
1:09:46 Colgate vs. St. John’s Picks
1:10:18 Stony Brook vs. Princeton Picks
1:10:57 St. Peter’s vs. Columbia Picks
1:11:30 South Carolina vs. Notre Dame Picks
1:13:00 William & Mary vs. Florida Atlantic Picks
1:14:07 Pepperdine vs. Sam Houston Picks
1:15:03 CF vs. Abilene Picks
1:15:57 Valpo vs. South Dakota State Picks
1:17:21 Santa Clara vs. North Texas Picks
1:18:01 Jacksonville State vs. Houston Picks
1:19:47 Robert Morris vs. Arkansas Picks
1:20:44 Oral Roberts vs. Tulsa Picks
1:21:19 Jackson State vs. Southern Miss Picks
1:24:16 Oakland vs. Boise State Picks
1:25:41 Portland State vs. Colorado State Picks
1:26:11 Lindenwood vs. Nebraska Picks
1:27:10 Cal Poly vs. Grand Canyon Picks
1:28:49 UC Santa Barbara vs. Nevada Picks
1:29:50 Pine Bluff vs. UCLA Picks
1:30:25 UTSA vs. Seattle Picks
1:31:14 Chicago State vs. Cal Baptist Picks
1:32:47 Pacific vs. Long Beach Picks
1:33:43 USC vs. Cal Picks
1:36:10 Locks & Dog
1:40:08 Sign-Off & Socials
