It’s time for my top NFL Week 8 props! With a loaded slate of action, I’m breaking down my favorite prop bets for this weekend. In fact, I feel so good about these prop bets that I’m loading them into a parlay! Let’s take a look at some of the top players that I’m taking this weekend.
Top 2026 NFL Week 8 Props
Most Passing Yards: Michael Penix Or Baker Mayfield – Baker (+112)
The first bet on my NFL Week 8 props list is in the Falcons vs. Bucs game. Baker Mayfield returned from a broken thumb injury last week. He didn’t really throw for much at all. He threw the ball 11 times, completing seven passes for just 64 yards. I think that works in our favor for this bet.
The bet is comparing which quarterback will throw for more yards, Michael Penix or Baker Mayfield. Baker hasn’t set the world on fire this year, even before his injury. The most yards he’s thrown for is 217 yards. Meanwhile, Michael Penix’s lowest game is 213 yards. That was last week against the 49ers.
But I’m on Baker Mayfield to have more passing yards at plus money because of the defenses. The Falcons are currently allowing the fourth-most average passing yards per game at 271. That’s almost 40 more yards per game compared to what the Bucs’ defense is allowing at 233. Both defenses are good at limiting rushing yards, so I think both teams will have to throw. I just expect Mayfield and the Bucs to be able to exploit the Falcons’ bad defense.
Ashton Jeanty Rushing Ladder (From 50+ to 100+)
Ashton Jeanty’s last three-game rushing average is comically low. However, those were in games against teams that the Raiders were playing from behind in the majority of the game. The Patriots, Bills, and Rams are much stiffer competition than going against the Jets.
Speaking of the Jets, their run defense has not been good. They’re allowing 106.57 rushing yards per game on average. On top of that, they’ll be without their top defensive lineman, T’Vondre Sweat. They may also be without David Bailey, who hasn’t practiced all week. Finally, they could also be without Joseph Ossai, who has missed practices and been limited by an ankle injury.
Ashton Jeanty going against a poor run defense that is also missing their top defensive lineman? That makes me think he could have a game similar to Week 1, when he ran 23 times for 102 yards. Therefore, I have to take this ladder, which is discounted because of his recent production.
50+ yards I’m very confident in and is sitting at -114. That’s the start of our ladder. You can get 60+ yards at +148, which I also feel good about. I also like 70+ at +225. Now we jump even higher. While these rungs will be harder to reach, I still like them. 80+ yards is +350. 90+ is +520, and 100+ rushing yards is sitting at +750. Therefore, when he runs for 102 yards, we’ll have cashed over 17/1 our unit stakes.
Hunter Henry 50+ Receiving Yards (+108)
For the next bet on my NFL Week 8 props, I’m looking at Hunter Henry as the Patriots hit the road to take on the Miami Dolphins. 50+ yards is sitting at +108. I also like his over 45.5 at -114 and will likely take both. However, I’m zoning in on the 50+ yards.
Henry is coming off a nice seven-catch, 71-yard performance against the Bears last Thursday night. Now the Patriots have had extra rest and are laying seven points on the road. In other words, the books are confident the Patriots will win. I am too. In the last four games, Henry has exceeded 45.5 three times and exceeded 50 yards twice.
The Dolphins have not been good against the tight end position. In fact, they’re allowing the fourth-most yards per game to tight ends, allowing over 70 per game. In the last five games, they’ve allowed over 45.5 yards to tight ends five times and over 50 yards four times. Henry is fixing to have a big day.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 100+ Yards (-114)
I gave this out on Old-Fashioned Football, and the price was closer to even. It pays to tune in. It’s not the only prop I gave out that shifted. My Chubba Hubbard over 14.5 receiving yards closed at 17.5 by the time the game started, and he hit the over. We’re making cash, so make sure you join us.
Anyways, this one is simple. I think my Bears’ defense is really good. However, I don’t think we have the means to cover JSN. We’re talking about a guy who has gone over 100 yards in every game but one this year. The Bears have struggled to cover big-name receivers, especially speedy ones like JSN.
Yes, the Bears did just make an amazing trade for Jeffrey Simmons. However, I am not positive he plays every snap on Monday night. Plus, this game is in Seattle, where the Seahawks tend to perform really well. The Patriots, 49ers, Broncos, and Chiefs all have good cover corners too. However, all four teams allowed JSN over 100 yards. Bears win, but JSN gets his.
