The draft hasn’t taken place yet, and NFL future player props are already available! They don’t have every player at this time. However, they have some we need to jump on right away before they change. These won’t just change by a few yards. They’ll be 50-100 yard changes each time. Let’s take a look at some of the top 2026 NFL season passing yards best bets.
2026 NFL Best Bets: Season Passing Yards
Josh Allen Over 3549.5 Passing Yards (-110)
The first player to discuss for the 2026 NFL season passing yards best bets, is Josh Allen. Allen’s over-under is set at 3,549.5 after throwing for 3,668 last year. I’m not sure I understand why his number went down. The Bills made it a priority to get him a WR1 in DJ Moore. They have also been working with a lot of the draft candidates.
Either way, Josh Allen is a baller. He’s gone over this number every year except for his first two years. It’s criminally low for a guy who has proven he can hit the mark six years in a row. I’m all over the over, and this will change before the season kicks off.
Caleb Williams Over 3549.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Next up on our list of 2026 NFL best bets for season passing yards is Caleb Williams. The third-year quarterback’s over-under is set at 3,549.5 passing yards. A number he fell just eight yards shy of his rookie season. His rookie season with Matt Eberflus. Let that sink in for a little bit.
Now, Williams is entering his second year under head coach and offensive guru Ben Johnson. Last year, under Johnson, he threw for 3,942 passing yards. Yes, he lost DJ Moore. However, Rome Odunze will be healthier than last year. Luther Burden and Colston Loveland will have another year of experience.
Plus, I’m not so sure they aren’t going to add another weapon, whether in the draft or later. Even adding Khalif Raymond, who knows Ben Johnson’s system, will help out. I also can feel an emergence of Jahdae Walker. Give me the over on this one. Yes, I’m a Bears fan, so there may be bias. However, I think Williams will clear 4000 yards this year.
Joe Burrow Under 3949.5 Passing Yards (-110)
It’s hard not to cherry-pick the overs when you are looking at the NFL season bets regarding passing yards. It’s much easier to root for a guy to hit the over. I’m not rooting for this guy to fail. I’m also not rooting for him to get injured. However, in the last six years of Burrow’s pro career, he’s only played all the games in three of them.
His over-under is 3949.5 passing yards. If he stays healthy, it’s likely he hits the over on this. However, I’m leaning towards Burrow not playing the full season. I still question that offensive line, and I question Burrow’s ability to stay healthy. This is one I’m taking the under on.
Drake Maye Over 3699.5 Passing Yards (-110)
I don’t know if a lot of people expected Drake Maye to finish fourth in passing yards last season. However, he did. The rumors are swirling that AJ Brown will be a New England Patriot before the start of next season. That’s a huge deal for Maye. Replacing Stefon Diggs with AJ Brown is a big upgrade.
Maye’s over-under is set at 3,699.5 passing yards. He thrived under the new coaching system and will continue to thrive. Even if the schedule was easier last year, I still think Maye continues to stay at the top of his game. Give me over 3699.5 for passing yards for Drake Maye.
Jordan Love Under 3549.5 Passing Yards (-110)
I mentioned when talking about Joe Burrow that it’s harder to fade these NFL season passing bets and to take the unders. However, let me be honest. I’m a Bears fan. I have no problem fading Jordan Love.
He’s lost some of his receivers, despite the fact that not many of them were putting up huge numbers anyway. Yes, they could add more in. Maybe Matthew Golden can do better and catch more touchdown passes than Caleb Williams in the regular season (he didn’t last year).
His over-under is set at 3,549.5 passing yards, which he has only hit once. In the past two seasons, he’s missed two games each season. I expect him to miss a couple more this year.
