We survived one of the deadest weeks the MMA world has seen in the past few years, and we’ve come out the other side. The last UFC pay-per-view of not just 2025 but perhaps ever goes down this Saturday in Las Vegas, Nevada, with two titles on the line. For my MMA Underdog Pick of the Week: UFC 323, I’ve got a big live dog on Saturday’s early prelims. Let’s get it on, c’mon!
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MMA Underdog Pick of the Week: UFC 323
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2
Start Time: 6:00 PM EST – (ESPN2/ESPN+/PPV)
All my research tells me to pick the big favorite, Jalin Turner, to beat Edson Barboza in their lightweight bout on Saturday’s early prelims. Turner is nine years younger than Barboza, is four inches taller, and has a two-inch reach advantage. Plus, ‘The Tarantula’ is extremely dangerous, winning all 14 of his pro fights inside the distance (10 knockouts, four submissions).
However, during his current 0-2 and 1-4 run, Turner has looked like he’d rather be anywhere but inside the cage. And he backed that hunch up by ‘retiring’ earlier this year. Now, apparently, he’s changed his mind and is back in action on Saturday.
I can’t bet a fighter with at least one foot out of the sport to win against a dangerous striker like Barbosa – especially at these prices.
UFC 323 Underdog Pick: Edson Barboza ML (+257)
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