It’s time for the UFC’s November pay-per-view offering, which means it’s time for the promotion’s yearly pilgrimage to the World’s Most Famous Arena, Madison Square Garden, in New York City. And for old fans of the sport, there are plenty of familiar names on the fight card. Here are your UFC 309 predictions & best bets to make Saturday night profitable.
| Ranking | Sportsbook and Casino App | Rating | Welcome Offer | Promo Code | Terms & Conditions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGPN's Top Book | Caesars | 4.9 | Bet $1 and Double Your Winnings for the Next 10 Bets! | No Code Needed | Must be 21 or older and physically present in AZ, CO, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, NJ, NY, NC, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, or WY. New users only. Must register using eligible promo code. First bet after registration must qualify. Max. Bonus Bet: $1,000. Bonus Bet expires 14 days after receipt.Void where prohibited. See Caesars.com/promos for full terms. Gambling Problem? CO, IL, KY, MD, MI, NJ, OH, TN, VA, WV, WY,KS (Affiliated with Kansas Crossing Casino), LA (Licensed through Horseshoe Bossier City and Harrah’s New Orleans),ME (Licensed through the Mi’kmaq Nation, Penobscot Nation, and Houlton Band of Maliseet Indians, federally recognized tribes located in the State of Maine),NC (Licensed through Tribal Casino Gaming Enterprise), PA (Affiliated with Harrah's Philadelphia):If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) or MD: visitmdgamblinghelp.org or WV: visit 1800gambler.net; AZ: Call 1-800-NEXTSTEP; IN: Call 1-800-9-WITH-IT; IA: Call 1-800- BETSOFF.©2024, Caesars Entertainment Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER MA:CALL 1-800-327-5050 or visitgamblinghelplinema.org NY: Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) |
| 2 | Bet365 | 4.9 | Wager $5, Score $150 in Bonus Bets! | No Code Needed | Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. |
| 3 | BetMGM | 4.8 | Get up to $1500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets | No Code Needed | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA) 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Rewards are non-withdrawable bonus bets that expire in 7 days. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. See BetMGM.com for Terms. US promotional offers not available in DC, Mississippi, New York, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico. |
| 4 | FanDuel | 4.5 | Bet $5 Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins + 3 Free Months of NBA League Pass Expires on 2024-12-18T06:59:00.000Z | No Code Needed | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Hope is here. GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). 21+ (18+ D.C.) and present in select states. Void where prohibited. New Customer only. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable bonus bets which expire 7 days after receipt. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Expires on 7/28/2024 at 11:59 PM EST. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, D.C., IA, KS (in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino), KY, LA, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, IL, TN, VA, VT, WY), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), www.1800gambler.net (WV). |
| 5 | DraftKings | 4.4 | Win Big! Bet $5, Win $150 if Your Bet Hits! Expires on 2025-01-06T06:59:00.000Z | No Code Needed | GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/WY). Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS).1 per new customer. Min. $5 deposit. Min. $5 bet. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets if your bet wins. Bonus Bets expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: dkng.co/bball. Ends 1/5/25 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DraftKings. |
Go here for more UFC picks!
UFC 309 Predictions & Best Bets
Jon Jones (-549) vs Stipe Miocic
The two most familiar names would be in the main event – current UFC Heavyweight Champion (and former long-time light heavyweight champion) Jon Jones against former champ and the greatest MMA heavyweight of all time (most say), Stipe Miocic. Too bad this fight is five years too late.
Jones may not still be in the peak portion of his storied career, but he’s still going to dominate Miocic. Miocic has been out of the cage since March 2021 (when he was brutally knocked out) and is 42 years old. Jones is going to finish him – probably via strikes – and make an example of him.
Charles Oliveira (-250) vs Michael Chandler
After wasting years of his career chasing after a fight with Conor McGregor, Michael Chandler finally got the hint that it’s never going to happen and instead is taking a rematch with a fighter who already knocked him out three years ago. Interesting career choices.
Charles Oliveira already has proven he knows how to beat Chandler, and hasn’t deteriorated as much as Chandler has since that fight (plus Chandler hasn’t even been in the cage since 2022). Chandler just wants to get in wars at this point, and his chin is not going to cooperate with that plan for much longer.
Eryk Anders (-115) vs Chris Weidman
Despite winning his last fight (after basically sticking his finger completely through his opponent’s eyeball), I’m never again picking Chris Weidman to win a fight in the UFC. He’s shot, and his chin is beyond questionable at this point.
So I’ll gladly take Eryk Anders at almost pick ’em prices. Apparently, he used to party instead of properly training for his fights, but that’s over with, so maybe he’ll look better in the cage. He’s also a strong wrestler and hopefully hits hard enough to finish Weidman.
Jim Miller (+150) vs Damon Jackson
Even better than pick ’em money is dog money, and I’ll grab 1.5x my money for a Jim Miller win over Damon Jackson. This is a favorable matchup for the winningest fight in UFC history.
Jackson is moving up from featherweight for this bout, so that’s one positive for Miller. Plus, Jackson needs to outgrapple his opponents to win fights, which is a very tough ask against a strong wrestler like Miller.
Marcin Tybura (-140) vs Jhonata Diniz
I picked Derrick Lewis to beat Jhonata Diniz when they were scheduled to fight a few weeks ago (Lewis pulled out of the fight last minute), so I’m definitely going to pick Marcin Tybura over Diniz in this hastily arranged heavyweight bout.
Diniz is strictly a kickboxer – weak wrestlers and grapplers have had their way with him in the UFC. Tybura is a very strong grappler but also has skills on the feet. This is a big step up for Diniz and a bad matchup.
Check out the MMA Gambling Podcast if you’d like even more UFC 309 picks. The guys are dropping five episodes a week to make you the smartest guy at the bar.
