Everybody loves an underdog story. There’s nothing better than bragging to the entire bar about the plus-money bet that you just cashed. You can bet this Week 2 College Football moneyline parlay also as picks against the spread, or as single moneyline plays and when they hit you’ll be the Tailgate Hero. Welcome to the Sports Gambling Podcast Network Animal Shelter. Let’s find you a dog.
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Week 2 College Football Moneyline Parlay
+5710 The College Football Experience Parlay
We here at the Sports Gambling Podcast Network love large odds. Some people say parlay betting is dumb, but when you treat a moneyline parlay like a lottery ticket, it’s not. Allow me to explain.
Many folks are avid lotto players, such as Mega Millions and Powerball. The odds of winning the Powerball jackpot are 1 in 292.2 million, and even lower for Mega Millions, at 1 in 302.6 million.
The notorious slogan is, “risk a little to win a lot.” What if I told you that you could place your $2 lotto entry fee on a measured college football moneyline underdog parlay where you can select your winning numbers based on analysis instead of a machine randomly doing it for you? This week’s college football upset picks would pay out $112.21 on FanDuel Sportsbook.
There are 15 slates of college football. If you were to place just one $2 college football parlay each week, that’s a $30 bet total. With just one correct +5335 The College Football Experience Parlay, that’s $82.21 of profit, $194.42 if two hit, $306.63 for three, etc.
Are you feeling more frisky? Those profit amounts increase incrementally with just a few extra dollars on each moneyline underdog parlay. Lastly, in case you weren’t already sold, I can promise you that watching Michigan, Kennesaw State, and San Diego State play college football is more entertaining than 40 seconds of ping-pong balls.
College Football Picks Record (All 1 Unit Bets)
Every ML Dog Pick: 2-4 (+5.0 units)
Noah’s Dogs: 2-3 (+6.0 units)
Dundee’s Dogs: 0-1 (-1 unit)
It is pretty impressive that only two moneyline underdogs of 10 or more points won outright last week, and we had one of them. Thank you Boston College! Or should I say thank you to Florida State for the second straight week? Either way, I’m up six units betting these as singles, let’s keep it up!
Dog #1: Michigan Moneyline +230
(-7.5) Texas at Michigan (O/U 41.5)
Michigan has the 2nd longest home game winning streak in the country. The Wolverines have won 23 straight games played in front of 110,000 fans inside the Big House. During that time frame UofM has had QB Battles in the past. Cade McNamara won 2 of them, one against Joe Milton and another against JJ McCarthy in 2021 before losing out to JJ in 2022. Davis Warren looked like he had first game jitters but it was nothing worse than other game managing QBs Maize and Blue fans have seen recently under center with QBs like Jake Rudock, Wilton Speight, John O’Korn, or McNamara.
Texas comes to town with two big questions that Michigan could have answers to. The Longhorns lost their top two wide receivers, Xavier Worthy and Adonai Mitchell to the NFL Draft. In Week 1 against Colorado State, Quinn Ewers passed for 260 yards in a 52-0 win. But what did we really learn? No receiver had more than 70 yards.
The Wolverines have one of the deepest and best pass defenses in the nation. Mason Graham and Kenneth Grant make up a fierce interior defensive line. They are supported by a plethora of talented and experienced edge rushers that will put pressure on Quinn Ewers under Defensive Coordinator Wink Martindale’s aggressive playcalling.
Texas’ other question mark is that they replace both of their defensive tackles from last season. Michigan’s offense for years has been able to lean on opposing defenses. The Wolverines are consistently able to get 3 yards and a cloud of dust while running the ball to move the chains and chew the clock. In the second half is when the opposing defense’s wear and tear is evident and UofM starts to put together longer game controlling drives.
In order for Michigan to pull off the win this will need to be a low scoring slugfest, it’s something UofM has perfected during this home game winning streak.
I thought Davis Warren looked very solid when he had a clean pocket on Saturday.
🚨🚨GAME NOTES:
Last week against Colorado State, the Longhorn’s defense had 0 sacks and only seven pressures.
〽️Go Blue!!!#HornsDown pic.twitter.com/MhjcQkDDJU
— Double BB🌟 (@BBsBigHouse1) September 5, 2024
Dundee’s Dog: Kennesaw State Moneyline +520
(-14.5) Louisiana at Kennesaw State (O/U 46.5)
Each week, I write up Pick Dundee, aka Colby Dant’s favorite college football upset prediction. Dant is the host of the Sports Gambling Podcast Network’s CFB podcast, “The College Football Experience.” Dundee also loves a good college football parlay and is well known for his success betting moneyline dogs. His favorite Week 1 plus-money-play is Kennesaw State to knock off Louisiana.
This pick involves simple logic, similar to our Jacksonville State Week Zero pick last year. Saturday is Kennesaw State’s first ever home game as an FBS program. The community is going to show up and be rowdy for the Owls in this one.
KSU played UTSA really well last week. The Owls fell down 21-3 early in the first quarter. Trailing big early does not help Kennesaw State’s strong running game. Instead KSU outscored 16-7 in the final quarters while dual threat QB Davis Bryson cumulated over 200 passing yards.
Kennesaw State was a powerhouse in the late 2010s and in the Covid timeframe. Their defense ranked 11th in yards per play and 15th in scoring in the FCS last year. Don’t be surprised if the Owls are in a tight one in the second half against the Ragin’ Cajuns.
Students, as @KennesawStFb prepares for their first home game of the season, we want you to be prepared to tailgate, enter Fifth Third Stadium, and cheer on the Owls! pic.twitter.com/OtteE5dq4V
— Kennesaw State (@kennesawstate) September 3, 2024
Dog #3: San Diego State Moneyline +184
(-5.5) Oregon State at San Diego State (O/U 53.5)
Oregon State experienced a tumultuous offseason after their hometown hero head coach Jonathan Smith jumped ship for Michigan State. Game 1 against FCS Idaho State was an unimpressive 38-15 victory. The Beavers surrendered 5.1 yards per carry against the Bengals.
This isn’t the normal San Diego State of the past where they pound the rock. Sean Lewis is the new head coach and when he was at Kent State their offense was explosive through the air. However, SDSU still has a very good running back, Marquez Cooper.
Cooper was originally recruited to Kent, Ohio by Lewis. He played for Lewis for three years until he left for the Colorado OC job. Now Cooper is using his Grad year to once again play for his first college coach. Cooper has been a 1,000 yard rusher in three straight seasons entering 2024. Last week against FCS Texas A&M Commerce, Cooper averaged 8.3 yards on 27 carries for 223 yards. Oregon State’s run defense is going to be in trouble.
SDSU RB Marquez Cooper is a BALLER 🔥 pic.twitter.com/2oqX4HH68g
— Bleacher Report CFB (@BR_CFB) September 1, 2024
The College Football Experience
For more analysis and entertainment on these games, make sure you turn into The College Football Experience. Colby Dant, PattyC, and NC Nick talk about each FBS game and mix in some FCS games, giving out moneyline and ATS college football picks every Wednesday night!
