The NFL business season has all but concluded. Now, it’s on to training camp. At this point, we have a very good idea of the current rosters and the NFL schedule. This gives us more information to let us know what Vegas thinks about these teams. Only two teams, New England and Carolina, are not favored to win any of their games this season. In this article, we are going to look at my favorite future bets for the 2024 NFL season.
Our 10 Favorite NFL Future Bets for the 2024 NFL Season
1. 2024 Super Bowl Champion
Top 10 Odds
Chiefs +550
49ers +600
Ravens +900
Lions +1200
Bills +1200
Bengals +1300
Texans +1600
Eagles +1700
Cowboys +1700
Packers +1900
My Pick: Chiefs +550
The Kansas City Chiefs have a dynasty going. Last year was the NFL’s opportunity to beat them, and they couldn’t. This team found a way to win, even when their offense struggled at times. Their coaching staff is amazing, and their defense has grown into one of the best in the league. Oh, and they have Patrick Mahomes. They added some weapons this offseason and somehow look stronger.
Longshot: Los Angeles Rams +3500
This team will have to overcome the loss of Aaron Donald. It’s not an easy feat, but this is also a team with a Super Bowl-winning Head Coach and Quarterback. Not many teams in the league have that combination. They also have a young set of weapons.
Les Snead has done a nice job rebuilding this roster quickly. We saw them really improve last season and nail their 2023 NFL Draft. Their 2024 draft looks strong as well and this team could be a contender if Stafford can stay healthy. The NFC is wide open after San Francisco.
2. AFC Conference Winner
Top 8 Odds
Chiefs +300
Ravens +475
Bengals +700
Bills +700
Texans +850
Jets +1100
Dolphins +1100
Chargers +1700
My Pick: Kansas City Chiefs +300
You can’t pick the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl and not the AFC, right? They are the champs until they are beaten. I’m not betting against Mahomes or Reid in this one. The NFL Future win total is currently set at 11.5. Smash the over.
Longshot: New York Jets +1100
The Jets have a Super Bowl-caliber defense. Now we just need to see if Rodgers comes back from the injury. He doesn’t need to play at an MVP level for this team to be good. They were winning some games with really, really bad quarterback play last season. If Rodgers plays really well, this team could be a legitimate threat.
3. NFC Conference Winner
Top 8 Best Odds
49ers +250
Lions +550
Eagles +700
Cowboys +700
Packers +800
Falcons +1100
Bears +1400
Rams +1600
My Pick: San Francisco 49ers
This team is loaded, and they only added pieces this offseason. Brock Purdy’s salary makes team building so much easier for them. They will have to think about paying him soon, but for now, they can build a bully around him. Their current NFL Future win total is set at 11.5.
Longshot: Los Angeles Rams
Like I said earlier, the Rams have a combination that most teams do not have: a Super Bowl-winning Head Coach and a Super Bowl-winning quarterback. They also have Cooper Kupp, who battled injuries in 2023, and Puka Nacua. Kyren Williams and Blake Corum make quite the Running Back tandem as well. Their NFL future win total is set at 8.5. Give me the over at -155.
4. Offensive Rookie of the Year
Top 5 Odds
Caleb Williams +135
Jayden Daniels +650
Marvin Harrison Jr. +700
J.J. McCarthy +1200
Malik Nabers +1750
The offensive rookie of the year has historically gone to quarterbacks. But there have been several non-QBs to get this award. Last year, it was C.J. Stroud, but we saw Garrett Wilson and Ja’Marr Chase the two years prior. Before them, it was Justin Herbert and Kyler Murray. In a class with six first-round Quarterbacks, I am putting my money on one of them.
My Pick: Caleb Williams +135
Low-hanging fruit tastes just as good. Give me Caleb Williams. This is the best situation a #1 overall pick quarterback has been handed in a long time. He is also one of the highest-rated quarterback prospects in a long time. Don’t overthink this one.
Longshot: Michael Penix +6000
If anything were to happen to Kirk Cousins, Michael Penix would walk into a great opportunity. This team could easily win this division. Penix has a great set of weapons and a top-tier offensive line.
5. Defensive Rookie of the Year
Top 5 Odds
Dallas Turner +400
Laitu Latu + 550
Quinyon Mitchell +1100
Jared Verse +1100
Terrion Arnold +1200
This award is very consistently won by the top picks. The only non-first-round pick to win this award since the 2006 season was Shaquille Leonard. There is a good mix of defensive linemen and defensive backs winning this award. A handful of linebackers, but six out of the last 10 went to defensive linemen. Three of those 10 went to defensive backs, and Leonard was the only inside linebacker.
This year’s class was a little different, with no defensive picks until the 15th pick. Laitu Latu was actually the top defensive player on the board. All five of the above players have the opportunity to start day 1. There is a reason that their team used a first-round pick on them. Not only were they top players, but this filled a top need on the team.
My Pick: Laitu Latu +550
Latu had elite production in college at the levels of the Bosa brothers and Myles Garrett. Concerns about his injury history dropped him down the boards. He is a polished pass-rusher who is NFL-ready. Most teams had him as their number one.
Longshot: Junior Colson +5000
Jim Harbaugh got himself a Michigan Man to run the middle of his defense. Harbaugh brought over his defensive coordinator and drafted the captain of his National Championship defense. Colson will have the ability to make an impact early and his ability as a blitzer really helps him make plays. Sack production and turnover production will be ways for him to put himself in the running.
6. Regular Season MVP
Top 10 Odds
Patrick Mahomes +600
Josh Allen +800
Joe Burrow +900
C.J. Stroud +900
Lamar Jackson +1000
Jordan Love +1200
Brock Purdy +1200
Jalen Hurts +1500
Dak Prescott +1500
Justin Herbert +1500
The Most Valuable Player in the NFL has historically been a quarterback award. This is not only about individual stats but looking for a team that stacks up the wins. Last year, we saw the Baltimore Ravens earn the #1 seed, and Lamar Jackson won MVP. Statistically, he was not the best quarterback, but he won the award. Patrick Mahomes is always a favorite to win this award, and the Chiefs are favored to go back to the Super Bowl.
My Pick: Josh Allen +800
The Buffalo Bills lost many pieces this offseason, including Stefon Diggs. They have the top NFL Future odds to win the AFC East, but they will need to lean heavily on Allen. We see teams that have multiple stars receive fewer votes.
This Buffalo Bills team lacks star power. If they continue their success, it will be because Josh Allen is playing at an MVP level. The NFL Future win total for Buffalo is set at 10.5, with the over at (+110).
Longshot: Kirk Cousins +3500
Last season Kirk Cousins was playing at an MVP level before getting hurt. This season he gets a new team, but he also lands in a great spot. Cousins is behind a top-10 offensive line with some great offensive weapons.
He also lands in a very winnable division. Right now, their odds to win 14+ games are at +500. Cousins’ odds to throw 40+ touchdowns are at +1200. The Michael Penix pick has really diminished this team’s potential this year.
7. Offensive Player of the Year
Top 5 Odds
Christian McCaffrey +650
Tyreek Hill +650
CeeDee Lamb +650
Ja’Marr Chase +1200
Justin Jefferson +1400
There are all of the top fantasy football players, and there is an argument for each. Christian McCaffrey is the reigning award winner and Tyreek Hill has a shot at beating the NFL Receiving Yards record.
CeeDee Lamb broke out in 2023 and has the same odds as the above mentioned. If Ja’Marr Chase and Joe Burrow are both healthy for a full season, this could be his award to win. Jefferson may have to overcome his change at quarterback, but he is always a favorite in this category.
My Pick: Christian McCaffrey +650
We can’t predict injuries, but can predict that McCaffrey will lead this group in touches. McCaffrey’s dual-threat ability just makes him such a valuable asset. If you took his rushing away, he is one of the top receivers in the game. His combination of volume and scoring on this Shanahan offense are hard to bet against.
Longshot: Breece Hall +1600
Breece Hall is fully recovery from his ACL injury and is coming off of a great finish to the season. Another player with dual-threat ability. He will benefit from Rodgers helping to keep the defense honest and more scoring opportunities. Hall has a three-down skillset and is an underrated pass-catcher. Look for a big 2024 from Hall.
8. Defensive Player of the Year
Top 5 Odds
Micah Parsons +500
T.J. Watt +550
Nick Bosa +700
Maxx Crosby +700
Myles Garrett +750
This award has gone to a defensive lineman in 11 of the last 13 seasons. Even though Trevon Diggs broke NFL records, he lost. Aaron Donald is retired, but both T.J. Watt and Myles Garrett have won this before. Parsons is the favorite currently, even with the changes in Dallas.
My Pick: Myles Garrett +750
Garrett is the reigning champ. I thought his odds would be better. He is a dominant player who not only racks up the sack totals but also makes plays in the running game. His impact is felt all over the field, and he plays on one of the top defenses in the league.
Longshot: Chris Jones +3000
The Chiefs had a decision to make this offseason. They couldn’t keep both Jones and Snead, so they traded Snead. Jones is a dominant player that offers some flexibility to lineup on the edge as well. He plays on a great defense and has almost won this award before.
9. Coach of the Year
Top 5 Odds
Matt Eberflus +900
Jim Harbaugh +900
Robert Saleh +1100
Demeco Ryans +1100
Raheem Morris +1200
Looking back at the most recent winners of this job, it’s about being the most improved. Bill Belichick rarely won the award, even with the best record. That could help explain the odds, with three of the best odds going to teams picking in the top 11. Harbaugh could see the biggest win improvement. Los Angeles NFL future bets win total is set at 8.5, and they only won five games in 2023.
My Pick: Robert Saleh +1100
The AFC East is wide open, and the Jets are +200 to win the division. This ties them with the Dolphins, and they are slightly behind the Buffalo Bills +160. If Saleh wins the AFC East, he will be in heavy consideration for this award. NFL Future odds for wins right now have the Jets win total line at 9.5.
Longshot: Kevin O’Connell +2500
We saw O’Connell put on a coaching clinic with Joshua Dobbs and Nick Mullens. This year, he has a big quarterback change; any success will directly correlate to him. Minnesota could be going with Rookie J.J. McCarthy or veteran Sam Darnold, if not a combination of the two. If Minnesota finds a way to make the playoffs with +260 odds, he should be considered.
10. Comeback Player of the Year
Top 5 Odds
Aaron Rodgers +100
Joe Burrow +200
Kirk Cousins +500
Anthony Richardson +750
Russell Wilson +1200
The last five winners have all been quarterbacks. Damar Hamlin was a -10000 favorite last year. He somehow lost to a quarterback. You can see that quarterbacks are favored this year. The recent winners shared both individual and team success on their resumes. I would put team success and playoff birth as criteria to look for in a future winner.
My Pick: Aaron Rodgers +100
Rodgers is in a position to win the division. Miami and Buffalo lost more than they gained this offseason. Kirk Cousins could also win his division, but his 2023 was great before injury. Aaron Rodgers didn’t really have a 2023 NFL season. The Jets have gone all in on Rodgers, making big free-agent moves and pouring resources into the offense.
Longshot: Sam Darnold +3000
Sam Darnold is going to get the opportunity to start the season for the Minnesota Vikings. He lands in a great situation with great weapons and with one of the best play-callers in the game. If he were to play well enough to play all season, he would definitely be in consideration.
That would mean he played well enough for them to let McCarthy sit a year. Also, this would likely set him up for an opportunity in 2025 with another team.