What a Super Wild Card Weekend! The games were great to watch. However, now it’s time to look to the Divisional Round. The article that gave us a 49-24 record continues into the playoffs. Want to go less with your gut and more with statistics? Get ready with these NFL playoff trends, picks, and predictions for the divisional round!
We may have come up short last week, going 3-3. However, we’re still ready to keep rolling in the playoffs with our winning 52-27 record. Let’s pick all four games for the weekend.
Go here for more free NFL picks!
NFL Playoff Divisional Round Trends, Picks, and Predictions (52-27 Record)
Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens (-9.5)
We’ll finally see the number-one-seeded Ravens in action as they take on the Houston Texans. The Texans have had an incredible season with rookie C.J. Stroud and company. Everybody may have thought they were crazy for trading up to pick back-to-back, but the dividends are already paying off.
While there was a lot of talk about the Bengals and the Browns coming into the season, the Ravens weren’t given enough credit. Lamar has had an MVP year and will look to cap that by advancing to the Super Bowl. But who do the NFL playoff divisional round trends say we should pick?
The last time these two teams played was Stroud’s first NFL start. He threw for 274 yards in that game, and the Texans’ defense forced Lamar to throw an interception. The score (25-9) made it seem like it was a bigger blowout than it was.
The Texans finished the year 22nd in average points scored per game. Their offense was seventh in passing yards per game and 22nd in rushing yards per game.
They’ll have a tough matchup against a Ravens’ defense that allowed the least point-per-game average in the league. They were the sixth-best in passing yards allowed per game and 14th in rushing yards allowed per game.
The Ravens finished the year at fourth in average points scored per game. Their offense was only 21st in the league in passing, but they were first in rushing yards per game.
The Texans will have their hands full. They were in the top ten in points allowed per game. The Texans’ defense also matches up well, as they were only 23rd in passing yards allowed per game but sixth in rush yards allowed.
The Texans have been a fun team to root for and will go out fighting. However, the Ravens’ experience and stout defense should help them come out on top.
NFL Divisional Round Playoff Prediction based on Trends: Ravens (-9.5) Win And Overwhelm
Green Bay Packers @ San Francisco 49ers (-9.5)
Another team we haven’t seen play in the playoffs yet is the 49ers. They’ll take on the Packers, who were able to overwhelm the Cowboys. Can they overwhelm the 49ers? Let’s see what the NFL playoff divisional round trends say.
The 49ers were third in points scored per game and will go against a Packers’ defense that was top-10 in points allowed per game.
The 49ers ranked fourth in passing yards per game and third in rushing yards. This will be a very tough test for the Packers, who were ninth against the pass but 28th in rush yards allowed per game.
The Packers’ offense put up points; in fact, they finished 12 points per game on average. However, they go against the third-ranked defense in points allowed per game.
The Packers were 12th in passing and 15th in rushing yards on a per-game average. The 49ers’ defense was 14th against the pass and third against the run.
It was a nice run for the Packers in their first year with Jordan Love at the helm. They’re the youngest team to make the playoffs since the stat has been tracked. However, the 49ers have playmakers all over and are ready for the Super Bowl.
NFL Divisional Round Playoff Prediction based on Trends: 49ers (-9.5) route the Pack
Tampa Bay Bucs @ Detroit Lions (-6.5)
The Lions grabbed the NFC North and never let go of it. The Bucs just barely finished on top of the NFC South. These are two of the feistiest teams that have some dogfight in them. Which one do the NFL playoff divisional round trends say advances?
The Lions were the fifth-best team in points per game average. They’ll have a tough test against the seventh-best defense in points per game allowed.
The Lions will rely on second-ranked passing yards and fifth-ranked rushing yards per game average. The Bucs will have their hands full. They may have finished fifth best in rushing yards allowed per game, but they were 29th in passing yards allowed.
On the other side of the ball, the Bucs finished last in rushing yard average per game. It’s just as well that they’ll have a tough time moving on the second-ranked rush defense.
The Bucs were 17th in passing yards per game, which will be how they have to take advantage of the Lions. The Lions finished 27th against the pass on a per-game average.
Playmakers on all sides of the ball. A knee-biting team against a Baker Mayfield dawg-led team. This one should be a good game. However, the stats and trends skew to one side in this NFL playoff divisional round.
NFL Divisional Round Playoff Prediction based on Trends: Another favorite, the Lions (-6.5), make the NFC Championship.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Buffalo Bills (-2.5)
The rematch of a rematch of a rematch. The electric playoff game between these two already had a rematch this year that saw the Chiefs blame a penalty for the loss.
Now, Patrick Mahomes takes on his first playoff road game and will face the Bills’ mafia. Will the NFL playoff divisional round trends pick another favorite?
The Chiefs offense wasn’t the same this year. They finished 15th in points per game, something we’re not used to. They’ll face the Bills’ defense, which was fourth in points allowed per game.
These two units match up well as the Chiefs were sixth in passing yards per game and face the unit that was seventh in passing yards allowed per game. The Chiefs’ run game finished 19th on a per-game average while the Bills defense is 15th.
The Bills’ offense was rolling, and they finished sixth in points scored per game. However, they go against the second-ranked unit in points allowed per game.
The Bills pass game finished eighth, while the run game finished seventh. They should lean on the run as the Chiefs’ defense is fourth against the pass but only 18th against the run.
This should be another classic, but this year, there is one team that is trending better.
NFL Divisional Round Playoff Prediction based on Trends: All favorites is a gross way to bet, but we can’t help it. Bills (-2.5) advance.