FIFA Women’s World Cup Predictions: Preview and Best Bets for Futures Market, Including USWNT

FIFA Women's World Cup Predictions: Preview and Best Bets for Futures Market, Including USWNT
FIFA Women’s World Cup Predictions: Preview and Best Bets for Futures Market, Including USWNT

The FIFA Women’s World Cup kicks off from Australia and New Zealand Thursday. For soccer bettors, ample opportunity exists to bet on this global tournament. Be it the outright market, derivative placements – a team to reach the finals or semifinals, for example – or the Golden Boot market, countless futures options are available to bettors. 

As of Monday, July 17, here’s how the outright odds board stacks up, ways to bet the United States, group prices, along with our two best futures bets for the tournament. 

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FIFA Women’s World Cup Predictions: Preview and Best Bets for Futures Market, Including USWNT

FIFA Women’s World Cup Outright Prices

Odds come courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook and are subject to movement. 

  • United States: +225
  • England: +400
  • Spain: +550
  • Germany: +700
  • France: +1000
  • Australia: +1100
  • Sweden: +1600
  • Brazil: +2200
  • Japan: +2500
  • Netherlands: +2500
  • Canada: +3300
  • Norway: +5000
  • Denmark: +6600
  • All Others are 100/1 or higher. Head here to see the full list of prices. 

Ways to Bet the United States Women’s National Team

Odds come courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook and are subject to movement. 

  • To Win the World Cup: +225
  • To Reach the Final: +125
  • To Reach the Semifinal: -175
  • To Reach the Quarterfinal: -450
  • To Win Group E: -400
  • To Advance from Group E: -10000
  • Alex Morgan Golden Boot Winner: +450
  • Sophia Smith Golden Boot Winner: +650
  • Trinity Rodman Golden Boot Winner: +1800
  • Megan Rapinoe Golden Boot Winner: +2000
  • Alyssa Thompson Golden Boot Winner: +3300

Group A Winner Odds

  • Norway: -350
  • Switzerland: +450
  • New Zealand: +500
  • Philippines: +25000

Don’t let the small price on New Zealand fool you – their recent form is quite bad. Although they’ll feature as one of the host nations, this is a two-horse race. 

Led by striker Ada Hegerberg, Norway should prove the class of this group. In qualifying, they finished with only one non-win. 

Group B Winner Odds

  • Australia: -200
  • Canada: +175
  • Republic of Ireland: +1600
  • Nigeria: +3300

Much like New Zealand, there appears to be a host tax on Australia. They enter the tournament as a negative regression candidate, outperforming their underlying metrics. 

For that reason, Canada is an intriguing underdog. Ireland and Nigeria, as demonstrated by the odds, face an uphill climb to the knockout round. 

Group C Winner Odds

  • Spain: -650
  • Japan: +350
  • Zambia: +5000
  • Costa Rica: +25000

Spain is a justified favorite to win this group. Although largely against inferior competition, they enter the tournament with eight straight wins. 

Included in that sample is a win against Japan in November. Expect them to cruise to the top of Group C. 

Group D Winner Odds

  • England: -3000
  • Denmark: +800
  • China: +3300
  • Haiti: +10000

There’s not much betting opportunity with this group. England, as signified, is far and away the class of the quartet. 

Inconsistent results have plagued Denmark over the last year – they have five wins and five losses – but the competition level is tough. Expect them to advance over China and Haiti. 

Group E Winner Odds

  • United States: -400
  • Netherlands: +250
  • Portugal: +2800
  • Vietnam: +35000

The USWNT defeated the Netherlands in the 2019 final and should eclipse them for this group. Entering this tournament, they’ve posted eight consecutive victories. 

Based on their record, Portugal would be an intriguing underdog. However, most of their success has come against weak competition. Expect the Netherlands to advance. 

Group F Winner Odds

  • France: -200
  • Brazil: +140
  • Jamaica: +3300
  • Panama: +15000

This represents another top-heavy group where surprises are unlikely. France, despite some infighting, arrives in good form. Brazil is solid, too, but struggles against superior competition – their three losses since September came against the USWNT and Canada. 

For that reason, Les Bleues are justified favorites, but an upset isn’t outside the realm of possibility. 

Group G Winner Odds

  • Sweden: -550
  • Italy: +400
  • Argentina: +1600
  • South Africa: +5000

Perhaps their male counterparts lifting the trophy could inspire the Argentine women, who enter the tournament unbeaten in six. 

For a big favorite, Sweden’s form leaves a bit to be desired. Since last July, they’re 4-3-3 (W-D-L). Italy’s another tough team to judge as they’re unbeaten in three to enter the tournament but lost four of six prior. 

Group H Winner Odds

  • Germany: -2500
  • Colombia: +1100
  • Republic of Korea: +1400
  • Morocco: +10000

Much like England, Germany failing to win the group would come as a huge surprise. 

Korea presents an interesting flier to advance. Although largely against weaker competition, they enter the tournament unbeaten in eight matches. 

That said, overtaking Colombia is a tall task. Since November, their only losses have come to Italy and France. 

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England to Reach the Final (+225)

Admittedly a hedge on the United States’ rightful favorite status, the Lionesses arrive in solid form. Although they’re winless in three matches entering the tournament, the underlying data tells a different story. According to, England owns a -2 goal differential against a +3.77 expected goal differential. 

Plus, all three matches came against fellow World Cup foes in Australia, Norway, and Portugal. In the former match, England defeated hosts Australia 1.5 to 0.94 on expected goals. 

Further, the Lionesses have proven they’re capable of standing up to top-tier opposition. Late last year, they captured wins against Germany and the United States. 

Although they posted a -0.45 expected goal differential in those two matches, it’s still reassuring they can compete with tournament favorites. 

Seeing as England avoids the side of the draw with potential winners the United States and France – assuming they cash as -3000 group winner favorites – they feel a good bet to reach the final. Realistically, the only potential hiccup is hosts Australia, but we’ll take England at +200 or better. 

Group Winners Parlay: France & USWNT (-115)

Effectively a bet on France to win Group F, but we’ll incorporate the USWNT to reach a palatable price. 

Tumult has ripped through this French squad, but it appears to have subsided in time for the World Cup. New manager Herve Renard, who oversaw Saudi Arabia at the men’s edition, takes charge of a team that has posted great underlying metrics. 

Although they’ve recorded a 4-0-1 (W-D-L) record in their last five matches, they’ve won all five on expected goals. All told Les Bleues own a +0.7 expected goal differential per 90 minutes in those matches, according to

That represents a stark improvement for the side, who was 2-0-3 (W-D-L) in the five preceding fixtures. Sample just the three against fellow tournament sides, and bettors will find they finished 0-0-3 (W-D-L) with a -0.11 xGD per 90 minutes. 

Given that change in form, France should cruise past presumed bottom-halfers Jamaica and Panama. Assuming they can earn a result against Brazil, they should be in a prime position to win the group.

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