Even though we have the NCAA Tournament going on doesn’t mean the NBA goes away. A decent size slate in the NBA tonight, so if you aren’t into betting on college kids, the NBA is just the place for you. Let’s take a look at my favorite NBA player prop best bets for today’s slate.
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NBA Player Prop Best Bets – March 15th
Tobias Harris Under 12.5 Points (-128)
Tobias Harris is having a down year compared to what we have seen from him earlier in his career. He is not the first or even second option on the 76ers this season. But that doesn’t mean we can’t make money off him.
Harris has only gone over this number one time in the month of March. Other than that, he’s gone under this number in five straight games. Going back a little further, in his last ten games, Harris has gone under this number six times for a 60% hit rate. Harris has a tough matchup against the Cavs, who are great on defense. I think it will be a struggle for Harris to get going tonight. Diving under 12.5 points for Tobias Harris.
Zach LaVine Over 3.5 Assists (-130)
Zach LaVine has easily become one of my favorite players in the league. He has that dog in him that every team needs. His assist prop has flown under the radar for some, but I’ve been tracking them.
A dominant scoring performance for Zach LaVine 🔥
— NBA (@NBA) March 12, 2023
LaVine averages four assists per game on the season, and his prop is sitting at 3.5. LaVine has gone over this number in four straight games. The Kings are 29th in the league in assists allowed per game, giving up 26.4 assists per game. LaVine only recorded two assists last time against the Kings, but the way he’s been dishing the ball, I think he goes over his prop tonight. Over 3.5 assists for Zach LaVine.
Jayson Tatum Over 15.5 Reb + Ast (-110)
Another Jayson Tatum prop we are attacking, and no, it’s not turnovers. The books have caught up to us on that one. But I was able to find another prop I think we can take advantage of, and that is rebounds + assists.
This number of 15.5 seems relatively low for the type of volume Tatum gets every night. Tatum has gone over this combined total in eight of his last ten games. He fell short last time against the Timberwolves, only recording eight boards and five assists. But in his last five games, he’s averaging 15.8 rebounds + assists, and in his last ten games, he’s averaging 16.8. The Timberwolves are 25th in the league in rebounds allowed per game. I think we can see a huge night on the glass for Tatum. Going over 15.5 rebounds + assists.
Stephen Curry Over 27.5 Points (-125)
I feel like we haven’t seen that much of Stephen Curry this season. Maybe it was his injury or just the fact that we haven’t been paying attention to the warriors. But since coming back from his injury, Curry has been lighting it up.
“Curry, a three-pointer…BAAAAAAAANGGGGGGG!!!!! STEPH CURRY FROM DOWNTOWN AGAIN!!!!!!”
MIKE BREEN AND STEPHEN CURRY DELIVER YET AGAIN 😭😭😭😭😭😭😭
— suriaJ (@WairusWara) March 12, 2023
Since coming back in early March, Curry has been averaging 31 points in the month of March. Curry has gone over this number three out of his last five games, and in one of those games, he dropped 27. You could see Curry is playing with a little more effort since coming back, and continuing to put his prop at 27.5 seems disrespectful.
The Clippers are 24th in the league in defending point guards, and now having to guard one of the best to ever do it, they might be in for a long night. Let’s go over 27.5 points for Stephen Curry.