The 2023 NFL Season is upon us! That means it is time for the Sports Gambling Podcast to deliver the best and most in-depth gambling and betting previews for all 32 NFL teams. Sean “Stacking the Money” Green and Ryan “Real Money” Kramer are not only pundits in a box but also true degenerates that sweat their picks with you. For more than a decade, Sean and Ryan have been delivering winning NFL picks, and that continues now in 2023.
Check out all 32 NFL Team Betting Previews below from the Sports Gambling Podcast as we preview the 2023 NFL Season!
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2023 NFL Team by Team Betting Previews
Arizona Cardinals
2022 Record: 4-13 (4th NFC West)
Kramer Picks: Cardinals UNDER 4.5 Wins
Kramer Props: Hollywood Brown OVER 4.5 TDs, B.J. Ojulari DROY +4000
Sean Picks: Cardinals OVER 4.5Wins
Sean Prop: ANY Arizona Player 10 Rush/Receiving TDs +700
The Arizona Cardinals come into the 2023 season with a new coach, Jonathan Gannon, and without highly-paid quarterback Kyler Murray. The franchise is in flux and could be looking to accelerate a rebuild in the 2023 NFL season, so what does all of this mean for betting?
It means you have to consider whether you think Gannon will be a tank commander this year as Arizona looks to build back. Could that mean Kyler is shelved all year? Possibly. Caleb Williams and Drake Maye look like they could be the next great QB duo atop drafts.
And how will this franchise look without DeAndre Hopkins and JJ Watt? That remains to be seen. Look for the Cardinals to have a down year, but how down depends on what you think of Gannon and his coaching staff.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2022 Record: 8-9 (1st NFC South)
Kramer Picks: Buccaneers UNDER 6.5 Wins, Atlanta/Tamp EXACTA (Atl 1st/TB 2nd)
Kramer Props: Calijah Kancey DROY 25-1 Odds, Micke Evans OVER 925 Yards, Mike Evans OVER 6 Touchdowns
Sean Picks: Buccaneers OVER 6.5 Wins, Buccaneers WIN Division
Sean Prop: Calijah Kancey DROY 25 to 1 Odds
Todd Bowles is in a familiar situation with a top-tier defense and a middling quarterback leading his offense. Bowles and the Bucs will have their work cut out for them. Their saving grace is playing in a weak NFC South and having a pair of dynamic receivers in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. With a talented receiving duo, Baker Mayfield should be able to guide this team to a solid season.
However, it could all go horribly wrong. We have seen Baker implode under the pressure of expectations before. Add in an uncertain situation at running back, with multiple unproven and young backs, and you have the potential for disaster.
No matter what, this team will win games because of stellar defense and lose because of inconsistent offensive play. The big question is, can Baker or Kyle Trask have the offense at a basic level of competency to win the weak NFC South?
Houston Texans
2022 Record: 3-13 (4th AFC South)
Kramer Picks: Texans OVER 6.5 Wins, Texans WIN AFC South +1000
Kramer Props: CJ Stroud OROY +850, Will Anderson DROY +400, John Metchie Comeback POY +3000, DeMeco Ryan COTY 22 to 1, Dameon Pierce Most Rush Yards 35 to 1
Sean Picks: Texans UNDER 6.5 Wins
Sean Prop: Dameon Pierce Most Rush Yards 35 to 1
Munaf Picks: Texans UNDER 6.5 Wins
Munaf Props: Dameon Pierce OVER 900.5 Rushing Yards, Dameon Pierce Most Rush Yards 35 to 1
The Houston Texans went out and got two potential building blocks in the draft. C.J. Stroud and Will Anderson were highly touted prospects coming in, and now they must help rebuild a floundering Texans team. Newly hired head coach DeMeco Ryans is a defensive mastermind, but can first-time offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik put his young QB in a position to succeed?
The Texans have multiple young wide receivers (Tank Dell, Nicco Collins, John Metchie) and reliable talent at running back. It all comes down to Stroud being able to put up the gaudy numbers he did at Ohio State. Houston will be all set if he can make a smooth transition to the NFL. If he cannot, they will be in a world of trouble.
Add in a rebuilding defense for Ryans, and the Texans do not have the floor that the Bucs offer. However, they do also play in a soft AFC South, so they have some hope. Jacksonville seems to be ready to maintain a hold on top of the division, but beyond that, it is anyone’s guess. If Stroud and Anderson can step in on Day One and be Dudes, watch out.
Washington Commanders
2022 Record: 8-8-1 (4th NFC East)
Kramer Picks: Commanders UNDER 6.5 Wins, Commanders UNDER 2.5 Division Wins -135
Kramer Props: Chase Young Most Sacks 75 to 1
Sean Picks: Commanders UNDER 6.5 Wins
Sean Prop: Jahan Dotson OVER 4.5 Touchdowns
The sign may read “Under New Management,” but the team on the field is still the same. The Washington Commanders are still coached by “Riverboat” Ron Rivera and have a question mark at quarterback. Sam Howell has plenty of offensive talent around him, so Washington will know quickly if he is the guy. Jahan Dotson and Terry McLaurin are one of the better receiving tandems in the NFL heading into 2023, and that makes this offense tricky to preview from a betting standpoint.
What we know about this team is that Dotson and McLaurin are good, and the defense needs Chase Young to return to form. If this defense cannot return to its winning past, then Washington fans are in for a long season. With a young, unproven quarterback under center, this defense hast to contain opposing offenses. Factor in that Washington plays in the challenging NFC East, and you cannot like their chances.
Even if the defense plays well, they will be hard-pressed to contain Dak, Jalen Hurts, and Danny Dimes. With every other team in the division on the rise, the Commanders are a rebuilding team. And new owner Josh Harris knows a thing or two about rebuilds. He was the man behind the curtain that took the 76ers through their vaunted “Process” rebuild. For now, Washington fans need to buckle up and hope Howell is either so good he elevates this team into contention or so bad that they are in a position to select Caleb Williams.
Los Angeles Rams
2022 Record: 5-12 (3rd NFC West)
Kramer Picks: Rams OVER 6.5 Wins, Rams Least Wins, Rams Win Division
Kramer Props: Stafford MVP 60 to 1, Aaron Donald UNDER 10.75 Sacks +135, Stafford Most Interceptions 14 to 1
Sean Picks: Rams OVER 6.5 Wins, Rams Least Wins, Rams Win Division
Sean Prop: Stafford MVP 60 to 1, Aaron Donald DPOY 20 to 1, Cooper Kupp Most Catches
+600
Most Likely Degens: Tutu Atwell & Stetson Bennett
The Super Bowl Hangover hit the Los Angeles Rams worse than any team ever. Sean McVay and Aaron Donald contemplated retirement in the offseason, and then Matt Stafford went down with an injury. 2022 was not a good year for the Rams, but 2023 could be a little different. The NFC West has two ascendant teams, the Seahawks and the 49ers, that will make life difficult for Stafford and company.
Although the Rams added some players via free agency and the draft, the Rams hemorrhaged talent, especially on defense. Jalen Ramsey, Taylor Rapp, and Leonard Floyd all departed for better teams. Although they added young talents like Steve Avila, Byron Young, and Kobie Turner, it will not be enough to stop another down year in the City of Angels.
UNLESS Matthew Stafford and Cooper Kupp can return to their dominant form. This team’s success rests on the right arm of Stafford and the offensive genius of Sean McVay. They have some pieces to be a dominant offensive team that can punch with the top-tier of the NFL. However, a gutted and rebuilt defense will hinder their ceiling. Can they get to .500? Maybe. The Playoffs? Unlikely.
Indianapolis Colts
2022 Record: 4-12-1 (3rd AFC South)
Kramer Picks: Colts UNDER 6.5 Wins, Last Winless Team +1800, Fewest Wins +1400
Kramer Props: Pittman UNDER 77.5 Catches
Sean Picks: Colts UNDER 6.5 Wins, Last Winless Team +1800
Sean Prop: Rushing TD Every Game +9500
Most Likely Degens: Shaquille Leonard & Jonathan Taylor
The Colts have a new head coach, Shane Steichen, to lead their new, young franchise quarterback, Anthony Richardson. Indianapolis is coming off of a dismal 4-12-1 season that saw Frank Reich run out of town. Coming into 2023, the team might not be much better. Jonathan Taylor starts training camp on the PUP list and is reportedly unhappy with his contract. A discontented franchise running back is bad news in Nap City.
All eyes will be on the young Richardson as he tries to live up to all the draft hype and build-up. He has already drawn Josh Allen comparisons and that is a high bar for the big and physical Richardson. He arrives in Indy with several positives and playmakers surrounding him. That could help him adjust to the NFL game quicker than many rookies.
The success or failure of the Colts’ season will not be measured on their wins and losses this year but on how this team looks. As many early NFL preview pieces predict, will they be a team on the rise? Or will Richardson fall short of expectations and look lost? That makes it difficult to preview this team from a betting and gambling perspective, but they have a chance to be fun during the 2023 NFL season.
Las Vegas Raiders
2022 Record: 6-11 (3rd AFC West)
Kramer Picks: Raiders OVER 6.5 Wins, Fewest Wins 12 to 1, Last Winless Team 18 to 1
Kramer Props: Raiders 4th in Division -130, Raiders UNDER 376.5 Points
Sean Picks: Raiders UNDER 6.5 Wins, Fewest Points +2200, Last Winless Team 18 to 1
Sean Prop: Rushing Raiders 4th in Division -130, Raiders UNDER 376.5
Most Likely Degens: Mick Lombardi & Jakobi Meyers
Las Vegas is still waiting on a good football team to show up. And the fans in Vegas might still be waiting in 2023 as well. Although they signed an all-world receiver in Davante Adams, the Raiders are still lacking in the quarterback department. Jimmy Garoppolo might not be terrible, but he is going to limit the upside of this team.
The Raiders’ offense added Jakobi Meyers and Austin Hooper, and they retained Josh Jacobs, but Jimmy G will keep this offense from being elite. The defense is average to slightly above average, but that will not be enough to salvage their season.
Last year the Raiders stumbled along to a 6-11 record, and they will not do much better this season. The rest of the AFC West is getting better and better every year. The Broncos and Chargers improved, and the Chiefs remain the Chiefs. In a division where every other team has a quarterback they believe in, the Raiders searching for a QB will hamstring them again in 2023.
New England Patriots
2022 Record: 8-9 (3rd AFC East)
Kramer Picks: Patriots UNDER 7.5 Wins, Patriots 4th in Division -120
Kramer Props: Patriots UNDER 2.5 Division Wins -115
Sean Picks: Patriots UNDER 7.5 Wins, Patriots 4th in Division -120, Patriots UNDER 2.5 Division Wins -115
Sean Prop: Rhamondre Stevenson OVER 6.5 Touchdowns
Capper Picks: Patriots UNDER 7.5 Wins, Patriots 4th in Division -120
Capper Props: Rhamondre Stevenson OVER 6.5 Touchdowns, Mac Jones OVER 3250.5 Yards -110
Most Likely Degens: Juju Smith-Schuster, Trace McSorley, Jack Jones
The New England Patriots are a team with some pieces and the coaching to have a chance most weeks. This can be good enough to earn an occasional playoff berth in the NFL. Unfortunately, the Patriots play in the best division in football right now. With the juggernaut that is the Buffalo Bills, the upstart New York Jets, and the on-the-cusp Miami Dolphins, the Patriots do not have the horses to compete in this division.
We have seen elite offenses dismantle their defense in recent years, and their offense has often looked toothless. Mac Jones, at times, looks like a slightly better Derek Carr, but that is not good enough in a division with Josh Allen, Aaron Rodgers, and a Mike McDaniel offense. Adding Juju Smith-Schuster is an upgrade for the offense, but there just is not enough firepower to stay in games.
In the past, New England could win games with killer special teams and solid defense. But those days are a thing of the past. Very clearly a thing of the past.
EDITORIAL NOTE: This was the managing editor’s original write up for this preview. We made him change it.
Tennessee Titans
2022 Record: 7-10 (2nd AFC South)
Kramer Picks: Titans OVER 7.5 Wins, Titans to Win AFC 55 to 1, Win the Division +350
Kramer Props: Mike Vrabel COTY 30 to 1, Derrick Henry OVER 9.5 Rushing TDs
Sean Picks: Titans OVER 7.5 Wins, Titans OVER 9.5 Wins, Win the Division +350, Titans to Win AFC 55 to 1
Sean Prop: Ryan Tannehill MVP 100 to 1, Mike Vrabel COTY 30 to 1
Most Likely Degens: Mike Vrabel, Peter Skoronski
In an AFC South currently defined by young quarterbacks, Ryan Tannehill is the old man of the division. Despite falling off a little in 2022, the Titans should be back in 2023. Derrick Henry shows no sign of slowing down and will keep the pressure off of Tannehill. Adding Peter Skoronski to anchor the offensive line will help the team improve.
If Tannehill begins the late-career slide, then the Titans have Will Levis waiting in the wings. After missing on Malik Willis in the 2022 Draft, the Titans are hoping that they have a diamond in the rough in Will Levis. Levis flashed occasional pro-level talent while at Kentucky, but questions remain.
The strength of the Titans remains the defensive mind of Mike Vrabel and his ability to put competitive defenses on the field. No matter how you look at the Titans and consider every angle to preview for your betting and gambling needs, their success in the 2023 NFL season depends upon the defense.
New York Giants
2022 Record: 8-9 (3rd AFC East)
Kramer Picks: Giants OVER 7.5 Wins, Division Winner +850, Super Bowl 65 to 1
Kramer Props: Daniel Jones MVP 50 to 1, Giants/Commanders Exacta 50 to 1, Daniel Jones Rushing TD OVER
Sean Picks: Giants UNDER 7.5 Wins
Sean Prop: Darren Waller UNDER 700.5 Receiving Yards
Terrell Picks: Giants OVER 7.5 Wins, Giants/Cowboys Exacta 11 to 1, 6-0 Division Record 90 to 1
Terrell Props: Saquon Barkley Most Rushing Yards NFC East +150
Most Likely Degens: Mike Kafka, Darren Waller, Lawrence Cager
The New Jersey Giants shocked the world with their playoff berth and playoff win last year. Brian Daboll established himself as a coaching savant in year one, and Daniel Jones performed well enough to get himself a fat contract. Heading into 2023, the Giants now have expectations, and their fans have hope.
Daboll and the Giants’ offense now has a clear-cut number-one receiving option with the arrival of Darren Waller. Waller has had some injury issues, but his talent is undeniable. The Giants were clearly missing a receiving threat last year, no offense Isaiah Hodgins. Add in the arrival of Jamison Crowder and Paris Campbell, and Danny Dimes has talent surrounding him now.
Not to be outdone, the Giants’ defense was a good unit last year, and in 2023, Wink Martindale will have Big Blue humming again. Martindale has been an underrated defensive mind for some time, and with an improved offense, the Giants will be a force in the NFC. Although the Commanders, Cowboys, and Eagles all made improvements, the Giants may have made the biggest strides.
Carolina Panthers
2022 Record: 7-10 (2nd NFC South)
Kramer Picks: Panthers UNDER 7.5 Wins
Kramer Props: Panthers LAST WINLESS TEAM 17 to 1
Sean Picks: Panthers UNDER 7.5 Wins
Sean Prop: Miles Sanders MOST RUSH YARDS +3000, Panthers LAST WINLESS TEAM 17 to 1
Most Likely Degens:Parks Frazier, Duce Staley
With a new head coach in Frank Reich, the Carolina Panthers hope to turn their recent misfortunes around. To help make it happen, the Panthers made a substantial investment in drafting a young and talented quarterback. Like it or not, Bryce Young is now the Panthers’ franchise quarterback. Many question whether or not Young is worth the hefty price that Carolina gave up, but he has to be their future now.
To get Young, they had to part ways with a haul of draft picks and uber-talented young receiver DJ Moore. Without Moore, the Panthers’ offense now appears to be devoid of top-level playmakers. Stepping in to try and fill the void are the oft-injured DJ Chark, the aging Adam Thielen, and second-round pick Jonathan Mingo. Reich has a reputation for being a sharp offensive mind, but this season will test his abilities.
The defense is slightly better off, with young playmakers like Derrick Brown and Jaycee Horn providing a strong foundation. The defense appears to be the strength of the Panthers this season, and in an NFC South that is rebuilding across the board leaves the window semi-open for Carolina. With the Bucs and Falcons without a quarterback and the Saints rolling with Derek Carr, the Panthers might not be in terrible shape for 2023.
Green Bay Packers
2022 Record: 8-9 (3rd NFC North)
Kramer Picks: Packers OVER 7.5 Wins, Packers WIN NFC North +400
Kramer Props: Packers/Vikings 1&2 +750, Packers SWEEP Bears +300, Jordan Love INT UNDER 12.5
Sean Picks: Packers OVER 7.5 Wins, Packers WIN NFC North +400
Sean Prop: Packers/Vikings 1&2 +750, Jordan Love INT UNDER 12.5, Luke Musgrave Week 1 DFS $2900
TJ Picks: Packers OVER 7.5 Wins
TJ Props: Packers WIN NFC North +400
Most Likely Degens: Jon Runyan, Alex McGough, Sean Clifford
Aaron Rodgers is gone, so it is time to find out just how good a coach Matt LaFleur is. LaFleur and Rodgers had a testy relationship at times, and now LaFleur gets to find out what life is like without a megastar quarterback under center. Jordan Love was a first-round pick in 2020 and has had some NFL action, but he is now being asked to carry the hopes and dreams of the state of Wisconsin.
Love has a bevy of young talent at receiver, with Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs as the only non-rookies atop the depth chart for Packers’ pass catchers. Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon will be asked to shoulder a heavy load without much battle-tested receiving talent on the rest of the roster. Love will certainly have his work cut out for him, and it remains to be seen if he can live up to the expectations.
Defensively, the Packers are far more experienced and have the talent to stay in games. Preston Smith and Jaire Alexander are top-tier defenders and can help this defense shoulder a bigger load in the post-Rodgers world. Will it all be enough for Green Bay to keep up with rising talents in Chicago and Detroit? And what about keeping up with their reliable border rivals in Minnesota? Most likely not.
Chicago Bears
2022 Record: 3-14 (4th NFC North)
Kramer Picks: Bears UNDER 7.5 Wins
Kramer Props: Justin Fields MOST INT +3000
Sean Picks: Bears OVER 7.5 Wins
Sean Prop: Khalil Herbert NFC North Rushing Leader +6000, Bears Rushing TD Every Game +7000
JMark Picks: Bears OVER 7.5 Wins, Bears +400 NFC North WIN
JMark Props: Bears Rushing TD Every Game +7000, Cole Kmet OVER 6.5 Receiving TDs, Kmet OVER 550 Receiving Yards
Most Likely Degens: Chase Claypool, Nathan Peterman, Cole Kmet
Justin Fields has no excuses, and the Field stans on Twi- I mean X, know it. After all, he has MLD Nathan Peterman breathing down his neck as the backup. But seriously, Fields has a bevy of talented receivers now. Chase Claypool has a year of chemistry with Fields, and DJ Moore is one of the most underrated receivers in the NFL. Fields has everything he needs in terms of offensive weaponry.
The question is, can Fields throw the ball well enough to run an NFL offense? There is no doubt that he has the rushing ability to do it, but in the past two seasons, it has been difficult to assess Fields as a passer. Sure, there have been flashes, but overall the Bears’ offense has been devoid of top-end pass catchers, to be sure. Now, there is no doubt the Bears have the receiving weapons to know whether Fields is the guy.
The Bears spent heavily on the offensive side of the ball, but the defense could still win them some games. It all comes down to what Fields can do, though. If he is not the guy, the Bears have plenty of cap space and draft picks to go get their guy next year. So buckle up, Bears fans. It will be a long and bumpy road this season.
Denver Broncos
2022 Record: 5-12 (4th AFC West)
Kramer Picks: Broncos UNDER 8.5 Wins
Kramer Props: Broncos FEWEST Points +2000, Broncos UNDER 381.5 Season Points
Sean Picks: Broncos OVER 8.5 Wins, Broncos MAKE PLAYOFFS +198
Sean Prop: Broncos FEWEST Points +2000, Russell Wilson UNDER 10.5 Interceptions
Tim Picks: Denver OVER 8.5 Wins
Tim Props: Denver Week 18 +1.5
Most Likely Degens: Ben DiNucci, Riley Moss, Quinn Meinerz
Denver was an absolute dumpster fire last season, but the architect of said dumpster fire, Nate “He just Can’t” Hackett, is out in New Jersey on Daddy Rodgers’ coattails. In with the Hall of Fame coach and offensive mastermind Sean Payton. If anyone can turn around what was a decrepit offense in 2022, it is Payton.
Denver is not devoid of playmakers and talent on the offensive side of the ball. Quite the opposite, really. Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton, and Javonte Williams are a stellar complement of offensive weaponry for Russell Wilson to work with. The question is, can 34 year old can cook at a high-level anymore. Russ looked lost and the offense disjointed and ineffective in 2022 and a turn-around there will be key.
Working through the many aspects of this team to preview their fortunes from a betting and gambling standpoint in advance of the 2023 NFL season is challenging. They hired another offensive minded head coach, but the strength of the team may lie on the other side of the ball. They were 10th in Defensive DVOA last season versus 29th in Offensive DVOA. The defense will be what really carries the team.
Atlanta Falcons
2022 Record: 7-10 (4th NFC South)
Kramer Picks: Falcons OVER 8.5 Wins, Falcons WIN Division +215, Falcons WIN NFC +2800
Kramer Props: Falcons OVER Total Points 376.5, Bijan Robinson MOST Receiving Yards Rookie +4500
Sean Picks: Falcons UNDER 8.5 Wins, No Playoffs -125, Falcons Finish 4th in Division +400
Sean Prop: Bijan Robinson UNDER 1100.5 Rushing Yards
Most Likely Degens: Mack Hollins, Calais Campbell
In a bad division, even a team with a mediocre quarterback has a chance to win it. The Falcons are that team with a mediocre quarterback. Desmond Ridder had some flashes in college and had one or two good drives last season. With all of that being said, the Falcons have a bevy of highly talented weapons to make life easier on Ridder.
But even highly-drafted skill-position players like Bijan Robinson, Drake London, and Kyle Pitts might not be enough to elevate Ridder to a higher level. So the Falcons could be in trouble. Ridder looked overmatched and like he was incapable of being an NFL quarterback last year. However, a run-first Arthur Smith offense could be enough to hide his gaps. If he can play mistake-free football, the Falcons’ offense could be something league-average.
If the offense can play mistake-free football, then the Falcons have a chance. Not because their defense is exceptionally good but because their division is incredibly mediocre. With a Baker-led Bucs struggling in the aftermath of Brady’s departure, the Saints turning to mediocre Derrick Carr, and the Panthers over-investing in Bryce Young, the NFC South is wide open. Can the Falcons make it happen? Probably not. Could they run for a bunch of yards in boring games? Probably.
Minnesota Vikings
2022 Record: 13-4 (1st NFC North)
Kramer Picks: Vikings OVER 8.5 Wins, Packers & Vikings 1st/2nd +750
Kramer Props: Vikings OVER 415.5 Points
Sean Picks: Vikings OVER 8.5 Wins, Vikings MAKE Playoffs +104
Sean Prop: Packers & Vikings 1st/2nd +750, Alexander Mattison OVER 900.5 Rushing Yards, Vikings OVER 415.5 Points
Most Likely Degens: Brian Flores, Jacky Chen
Minnesota may have their best chance to make a deep run in the NFL playoffs and win their division. However, they did not add much in the way of top-level talent, but Kirk Cousins is better than folks give him credit for, except in primetime. But you can cover up for an average quarterback with an all-world talent like Justin Jefferson. Jefferson may be the best receiver in the NFL in the NFL right now, and this offense will go as far as he can carry it.
Defensively, the Vikings have the talent to stick with anyone in the NFC. However, the problem for any above-average NFC team is that they eventually have to go through whoever wins the AFC. The Vikings are emblematic of what many “high-level” NFC teams have. They have some pieces and can win some games but cannot run with the big boys in the AFC.
All of that being said, the Vikings get to play their division six times, the Lions are limited by Jared Goff, the Packers have the untested Jordan Love, and the Justin Fields-led Bears are perhaps the biggest question mark of all. With all that being said, the Vikings will have an easier road to a top-two finish in the division than almost any other team in the NFL. Whether they can parlay that into a playoff berth remains to be seen.
Seattle Seahawks
2022 Record: 9-8 (2nd NFC West)
Kramer Picks: Seahawks OVER 8.5 Wins, Seahawks MAKE Playoffs -120
Kramer Props: Geno Smith MOST Interceptions 25 to 1, DK Metcalf OVER 7.5 Touchdowns
Sean Picks: Seahawks OVER 8.5 Wins, Seahawks MAKE Playoffs -120
Sean Prop: Geno Smith MOST Interceptions 25 to 1, Geno Smith UNDER 3900.5 Passing Yards
Most Likely Degens: DK Metcalf, Geno Smith
Seattle was a surprisingly good team last season, and Geno Smith is the man who helped them be that good. Geno had a breakout year last season and looked like the player people thought he could be when drafted out of West Virginia. Seattle put their faith in Geno heading into 2023, and their offense could take a step forward in 2023.
During the draft, Seattle added Jaxon Smith-Njigba and added another weapon to a potent Seattle offense. JSN joins DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett to provide even more explosiveness and talent for Geno to work with. Seattle could take a big step in 2023, but only if Geno can prove that his 2022 season was not his ceiling but just a step on the way up. Add in a pair of talented backs in Kenneth Walker and Zach Charbonnet, and Seattle has the pieces to be a dynamic offense again.
Defensively, Seattle can make some plays, but we will see if they can perform at the offense’s level. Seattle can take strides over last season’s team in a perfect world. However, they are still trying to chase down the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC West. The 49ers remain a potent team on both sides of the ball, and Seattle has to surpass them to secure a guaranteed playoff spot. They will likely be in the wild card hunt, but the NFC will have plenty of teams competing for those slots.
Pittsburgh Steelers
2022 Record: 9-8 (3rd AFC North)
Kramer Picks: Steelers OVER 8.5 Wins, Steelers WIN Division +470, Steelers Make Playoffs, +146
Kramer Props: Steelers Last Undefeated Team +3500, George Pickens MOST Receiving Yards +8000, Najee Harris MOST Rush Yards +3000
Sean Picks: Steelers OVER 8.5 Wins, Steelers Make Playoffs, +146, Steelers #1 Seed +2500
Sean Prop: Steelers Last Undefeated Team +3500, George Pickens MOST Receiving Yards +8000
Bowser Picks: Steelers OVER 11.5 Wins, Steelers #1 Seed +2500
Bowser Props: Steelers Last Undefeated Team +3500, TJ Watt DPOY +5000, Joe Porter Jr. DROY +33000
Most Likely Degens: Duke Dawson, Mike Sullivan, Kenny Pickett
Mike Tomlin refuses to let the Steelers be mediocre. He has never had a losing season, and it will be an uphill battle again to try and maintain that streak. Looking at the rest of the AFC North, every other team got better, and it remains to be seen if the Steelers can make enough strides to keep up. Sure Pittsburgh added talent on the defensive side of the ball, but no amount of defensive improvements can cover up if Kenny Pickett doesn’t make strides.
Pickett had flashes of competency last season, but he left a lot to be desired. He has one of the better receiving corps in the NFL and added physical freak Darnell Washington to his bevy of weapons. However, as with Bryce Young and Desmond Ridder, Pickett might be unable to overcome his deficiencies. No amount of top-level offensive talent can save a quarterback who doesn’t have it.
With a strong defense and an offense that could make strides, the Steelers will still be hard-pressed to improve on last season’s 9-8 season. The Bengals are still the cream of the crop in the AFC North, the Ravens have a healthy Lamar Jackson, and the Cleveland Browns will have a full slate of Deshaun Watson. Even if Pickett makes big strides in year two, the Steelers may not be able to move into a playoff position in a loaded AFC.
Cleveland Browns
2022 Record: 7-10 (AFC North
Kramer Picks: Browns UNDER 9.5 Wins
Kramer Props: Nick Chubb OVER 8.5 Touchdowns, Chubb League Lead Rushing TDs +850
Sean Picks: Browns UNDER 9.5 Wins
Sean Prop: Nick Chubb OVER 1225.5 Rushing Yards, Nick Chubb OVER 8.5 Touchdowns, Myles Garrett DPOY
Most Likely Degens: Deshaun Watson, Kellen Mond
The Cleveland Browns broke the quarterback market when they said Deshaun Watson’s sexual assaults did not matter. They gave him a truckload of money and said Watson was their guy. Additionally, they went out and got him improved weapons in the form of Amari Cooper and Elijah Moore. Watson looked shaky after returning from his league-imposed suspension for a multitude of sexual assaults.
Although the Browns’ offense should take steps forward this season, they still have to compete in a loaded AFC North. Cincinnati is one of the best teams in the NFL, and the Lamar Jackson-led Ravens can hang with any team on any day. Cleveland will have trouble keeping up, especially if Watson does not live up to his contract. The offense can lean on Nick Chubb to shoulder the load, but if Watson is a bust, then the defense can keep them in games.
Myles Garrett is a generational talent, and the Browns’ secondary is loaded with young and talented players. Even in a division and conference with high-octane offenses, the Browns’ defense has the ability to keep them in games that their offense has no business being in. Could Watson and the offense make things happen? Maybe. Can he carry the Browns beyond where Baker Mayfield could? Possibly. Don’t hold your breath, though.
New Orleans Saints
Miami Dolphins
Los Angeles Chargers
Detroit Lions
New York Jets
Jacksonville Jaguars
Dallas Cowboys
Baltimore Ravens
San Francisco 49ers
Buffalo Bills
Cincinnati Bengals
Philadelphia Eagles
Kansas City Chiefs
About SGPN and NFL Picks
Since 2011, Sean Green and Ryan Kramer have picked every NFL game against the spread. In 2017 they launched The Sports Gambling Podcast Network and grew to have a roster full of degens giving out weekly free NFL picks. The Sports Gambling Podcast crew rolls deep with NFL fans from across the country to form the core of #DegenNation. Our deep and talented staff brings you NFL picks from every angle, fans, statheads, fantasy players, diehards, sharps, and more.
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So what are you waiting for?!? Ride with SGPN as they preview all the NFL Gambling angles ahead of the 2023 season.