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New England Patriots vs. Detroit Lions – NFL – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The New England Patriots (1-3) are less than a touchdown favorite (-3) on Sunday, October 9, 2022 against the Detroit Lions (1-3). The game has an over/under of 46.5 points.

Patriots vs. Lions Predictions

Patriots vs. Lions Odds

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Patriots and Lions: Last Three Games

  • The Patriots are 1-1-1 against the spread in their past three games, and have a 1-2 straight-up record in those contests.
  • In two of those three games, the final combined score has gone over the set total.
  • The last three Patriots games averaged 41.7 total points, 4.8 fewer points than this matchup’s point total.
  • The Lions are 2-1 against the spread and 1-2 overall during their past three matchups.
  • The final combined score of the last three Lions games has surpassed the set total every time.
  • The past three Lions games averaged 2.8 more points (49.3) than this matchup’s point total.

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Patriots and Lions: Betting Trends

  • The Patriots have covered the spread one time this season (1-2-1).
  • The Patriots have not covered the spread when they are at least 3-point favorites (0-0-1).
  • Games involving the Patriots have hit the over twice this season.
  • The Patriots have been the moneyline favorite just one other time so far this season, a game they won.
  • The Patriots have not played a game this season with moneyline odds of -157 or shorter.
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Patriots have an implied win probability of 61.1%.
  • The Lions have covered the spread three times this season (3-1-0).
  • In games they have played as 3-point underdogs or more, the Lions have a perfect ATS record of 2-0.
  • This year, each Lions game has hit the over.
  • The Lions have entered the game as underdogs three times this season and won once.
  • The Lions have been at least a +132 moneyline underdog two times this season, but lost all of those games.

Over/Under Trends

  • The Patriots and their opponents have combined to outscore Sunday’s total of 46.5 points twice this season.
  • Every game featuring the Lions this season has finished with more combined scoring than Sunday’s point total of 46.5.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 53.5 points per game, seven points more than the total of 46.5 for this matchup.
  • This game’s over/under is 13.3 fewer points than the 59.8 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2022.
  • This season the average total for Patriots games is 42.9 points, 3.6 fewer than the over/under of 46.5 points for this contest.
  • The over/under for this matchup is 2.6 points fewer than the average over/under in Lions’ games this season (49.1 points).

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Patriots Players to Watch

  • Damien Harris is the 51st-best fantasy player overall this season and the 15th-best fantasy RB with 45.5 fantasy points (11.4 per game).
  • Mac Jones has collected 37.1 fantasy points this year (12.4 per game), good enough to rank him 77th overall and 30th among QBs in league-wide fantasy standings.
  • So far this season, Rhamondre Stevenson’s 32.8 total fantasy points make him the No. 94 fantasy player and No. 28 RB. He averages 8.2 fantasy points per game.
  • DeVante Parker is working on the 119th-ranked fantasy season (44th among WRs) with 24.9 fantasy points, averaging 6.2 per game.

Lions Players to Watch

  • So far this season, Jared Goff is the fifth-best fantasy player overall this season and the fifth-best fantasy QB with 90.6 fantasy points (22.7 per game).
  • Jamaal Williams’ 66.6 total fantasy points (an average of 16.7 per game), are enough to rank him third among RBs and 14th overall.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown averages 16.7 fantasy points per game on the way to 50.1 total fantasy points. That makes him the 43rd-ranked fantasy player overall and the seventh-ranked WR.
  • T.J. Hockenson’s fantasy season so far has him ranked third among TEs and 54th overall with 44.1 points (11 per game).

Where To Watch Patriots vs. Lions

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