Last weekend, we crushed the books to the tune of a 19 unit gain, bringing our season-long tally to a positive 114 units. This weekend, the NASCAR haulers head to Kansas Speedway to tackle another 1.5-mile circuit. Race two in the round of eight playoffs should bring another fantastic result and you won’t want to miss these selections! Ride with us for our first set of picks and bets at SGPN to win big at the Hollywood Casino 400 this weekend.
Hollywood Casino 400 Bets: Breakthrough With Byron
The Basics on Byron
Simply put, William Byron has been blazing fast at this type of track layout this year. He ranks second in total speed rating on the 1.5-mile tracks this year, only behind the dominating force Kyle Larson. Even more statistically significant is the fact that Byron ranks second in total speed rating at the low to minimal tire wear tracks as well.
Since being eliminated in the round of 12, Byron led 30 laps before finishing 11th at the Charlotte Roval and second last weekend in Texas after leading 55 laps. He has shown an elite level of skill to run multiple grooves to find his way to the front and win your bets at the Hollywood Casino 400 Sunday.
The Plays
.25u William Byron to Win +1200 (Caesar’s)
.50u to finish in the top 3 +310 (MGM)
1.0u to finish in the top 5 +150 (MGM)
1.0u to win Group B +240 (DraftKings) over Truex/Keselowski/Logano
We are able to find value on Byron for the second straight week for several reasons. Bookmakers must first respect the mastery of Larson this season. Also, Byron has been good but not great at Kansas in the past. We think that the overall improvement of the Hendrick Motorsports team will be enough to negate the past shortfalls here and turn Byron’s top ten finishes into contending for the win. When making NASCAR bets you have to balance consistency with upside and the Hollywood Casino 400 is no exception.
We also think that Byron will be able to finish ahead of Joey Logano, Martin Truex, and Brad Keselowski. Martin Truex has recently been very shaky in the 550 horsepower package and ranked 10th in total speed at Kansas in the spring. Logano’s average finish of 17.3 in his career at Kansas coupled with his general ineffectiveness in the 550hp package is enough to think he will be a non-factor in this group matchup. Keselowski has a strong track history at Kansas, however, he has just not been the same competitor as recent years. We think Byron will cross the line ahead of these drivers, and cash a healthy +EV ticket!
Summary
Look for Byron to check every box this weekend, and have a breakthrough showing at Kansas Speedway. See you at the ticket window! This weekend’s Hollywood Casino 400 is filled with opportunities to win bets and enjoy the thunder.
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