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DraftKings Price Changes and Values: NFL Week 6

DraftKings Price Changes and Values: NFL Week 6Each week I will bring you my “DraftKings Price Changes and Values” article highlighting and analyzing the weekly DraftKings price changes and here is the Week 6 version. I will identify players who have been “Priced Up” and players who have been “Priced Down” and let you know the players you should “Play” and players to “Fade” in your weekly Cash game and GPP tournament lineups. We are watching all the DraftKings values and players changing prices heading into Week 6.

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Priced Up – Quarterbacks

Play – Patrick Mahomes (QB) Kansas City Chiefs – $8,300 (+300) 

Patrick Mahomes is the most expensive quarterback on the DraftKings Week 6 price main slate, and it’s for good reason too. Mahomes will be facing the 31st ranked defense against the quarterback position when they head to Washington on Sunday. The Chiefs were embarrassed at home on Sunday night by the Buffalo Bills, so you know that they will be hyper-focused on winning this game to reach .500. Mahomes might be the highest rostered quarterback on Sunday, but that should not scare you away from the highest quarterback ceiling of Week 6.

Play – Justin Herbert (QB) LA Chargers – $7,300 (+500)

Justin Herbert is playing great football, passing for close to 400 yards and four touchdowns last week against the Cleveland Browns. This week he faces a Baltimore Ravens defense that just allowed 400 plus passing yards to Carson Wentz.  The Vegas OVER/UNDER for this game is currently set at 51.5. There will be points! The only issue currently is Herbert’s top weapon this season, Mike Williams has yet to be spotted at practice yet this week. If Williams misses the game, Herbert becomes less attractive so keep an eye on his status heading into Sunday.

https://twitter.com/NFL/status/1447329081641496580?s=20

Priced Down – Quarterbacks

Fade – Kirk Cousins (QB) Minnesota Vikings – $6,200 (-300) 

Kirk Cousins came out of the gate hot, averaging 26 points per game through the first three weeks. The last two weeks he’s failed to post 15 DraftKings points. So which Kirk should we expect on Sunday when he travels to Carolina? The Panthers have been lights out against wide receivers this season, giving up only 28.8 points per game, which ranks 5th in the NFL. Given Cousins’s struggles the last two weeks and the tough matchup for his pass catchers, I am fading Cousins in all formats and contests.

Fade – Sam Darnold (QB) Carolina Panthers – $6,100 (-500) 

Sam Darnold and the Carolina Panthers will be hosting the aforementioned Kirk Cousins and the Minnesota Vikings.  Darnold is coming off of his worst game of the season, failing to score seven DraftKings points. Surprisingly, the Vikings are only giving up 16.76 points to quarterbacks per game, good for 10th in the NFL. PFF gives the Vikings’ defensive line a distinct passing rushing advantage over the Panthers’ offensive line. Darnold has five rushing touchdowns through five weeks, but the Vikings have been stingy giving up only 51 rushing yards and one touchdown to opposing quarterbacks. Darnold is a fade for me this week.

Priced Up – Running Backs

Play – Austin Ekeler (RB) LA Chargers – $7,900 (+300) 

Austin Ekeler got a little help last week when the Cleveland Brown literally carried him across the goal line and into the end zone. I don’t think the Baltimore Ravens will be doing Ekeler any such favors this week, though they have surrendered 742 total yards and seven touchdowns to running backs in five games. Ekeler scored 16.3 of his 33.9 DraftKings last week from his five receptions for 51 yards and a touchdown. The Baltimore Ravens gave up 34.9 fantasy points to Jonathan Taylor last week. Roll with Ekeler in all formats this week.

Play – Jonathan Taylor (RB) Indianapolis Colts – $6,600 (+600)

Jonathan Taylor exploded last week, leading all running backs with 34.9 DraftKings points. His DraftKings Week 6 price was set before he laced them up on Monday, or it would be pushing $8,000. Take the Taylor discount in cash games, but know that he will be heavily rostered in GPP tournaments so make sure you diversify your other skill position players to avoid too much chalk.

Priced Down – Running Backs

Play – Christian McCaffery (RB) Carolina Panthers – $8,800 (-200) 

Christian McCaffery is 50/50 to play this week against the Vikings. After getting in limited practice work on Thursday, McCaffery was held out of practice on Thursday, making him a possible game-time decision come Sunday. Even if he does play, I expect the Panthers to limit his touches, making him a full fade for me this week.

Play – Dalvin Cook (RB) Minnesota Vikings – $7,700 (-400) 

Dalvin Cook appears to finally be healthy this week after missing two out of the last three weeks with an ankle injury. The Panthers have the league’s top defense against running backs, giving up only 12.92 fantasy points per game though so it will not be easy on Sunday. Cook should see the volume needed though to make him a cash game play this week. I would avoid paying up for him in GPPs though given his $7,700 price tag.

Priced Up – Wide Receivers 

Fade – Davante Adams (WR) Green Bay Packers – $9,000 (+800)

Davante Adams posted 40 DraftKings points last week and DraftKings took his price and ran with it, making him the most expensive play this week at $9,000. Last year the Chicago Bears held Adams to 16 and 18 points in their two matchups. His 30% target share is just ridiculous, but I’m not into chasing points so I won’t be along for the ride this week.

Play – Ja’Marr Chase (WR) Cinncinatti Bengals – $6,700 (+900) 

Ja’Marr Chase is the truth. Through his first five games, he has five touchdowns and 435 receiving yards, good for 8th highest scoring wide receiver. Joe Burrow has targeted Chase only 35 times for 23 receptions, but with 19.8 yards, he’s been making the most of every target. The Detroit Lions have been stout against wide receivers this year, only giving up 33 points per game. They have been gutted by running backs, but unfortunately, Joe Mixon is banged up and missed practiced on Thursday. Burrow is going to need Chase in this game. I’m rolling him out in GPP lineups this week as a high leverage upside play.

Priced Down – Wide Receivers

Play – Terry McLaurin (WR) Washington Football Team – $7,100 (-300) 

Last week Terry McLaurin completely underwhelmed, failing to score 10 DraftKings points. This week the Chiefs come to town touting one of the league’s worst defenses. McLaurin will have an opportunity in this game to put the “Scary” back in the Terry and should be one of the best GPP plays on the DraftKings Week 6 main slate. I will be game stacking McLaurin with either Tyreek Hill or Travis Kelce and either Patrick Mahomes or Taylor Heinicke. McLaurin is a good cash game play, but his upside makes him a perfect GPP building block this week.

Play – Brandin Cooks  (WR) Houston Texans  – $5,800 (-300)

Brandin Cooks has four times as many targets (44) than the next wide receiver (10) Chris Conley. Cooks was taken out of the game last week by Bill Belichick’s “stop the star, let everyone else run wild” strategy that almost backfired on him. This week, Cooks faces an Indianapolis Colts defense that has given up 10 touchdowns to wide receivers through the first five games. I like Cooks’ odds to score this week. He’s a GPP smash for me in small and large tournaments.

Priced Up – Tight Ends 

Play – Dalton Schultz (TE) Dallas Cowboys – $4,900 (+400) 

Dalton Schultz is currently averaging 14.4 fantasy points per game. That’s good for the fourth-highest average on the DraftKings Week 6 main slate. This week Schultz faces New England’s top-ranked defense against the tight end position. Through five games they have only given up 11 receptions for 106 receiving yards. Something has got to give in this matchup. Bill Belichick isn’t going to sell out to stop Dalton Schultz when Dallas has weapons like Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb. Schultz is a better cash game play than GPP this week.

Play – Hunter Henry (TE)  New England Patriots – $3,900 (+200) 

Last week Hunter Henry scored 19.5 points. I was surprised that DraftKings only priced Henry up $200 after such an explosive performance. This week he faces a Cowboys’ defense that has given up 330 yards receiving and three touchdowns through the first five games. If you are paying down at the tight end position, there should be plenty of volume as New England attempts to hang with the high-scoring Cowboys.

Priced Down – Tight Ends 

Play – Travis Kelce (TE) Kansas City Chiefs – $7,000 (-300) 

Travis Kelce is priced down to $7,000. Repeat. Travis Kelce is priced down to $7,000. I don’t think I’ve ever seen him priced down this low. The Washington Football Team ranks middle of the pack against tight ends, but they haven’t faced anyone as skilled as Kelce. He’s going to be one of the most popular players in both cash games and GPP tournaments, but he might be the best DraftKings Week 6 value. Period.

Fade – Darren Waller (TE) Las Vegas Raiders – $6,700 (-600) 

Since Darren Waller scored 29.5 in Week 1, he’s averaging under 12 DraftKings points per game. Waller does always have the potential to explode, but with the emergence of Hunter Renfrow, with identical numbers to Waller, his upside is capped. Add in the fact that Denver ranks third against tight ends, giving up less than seven points per game. He’s an easy fade this week.

Play – Mark Andrews (TE) Baltimore Ravens – $5,200 (-300) 

DraftKings sets their prices before Monday Night Football each week. What a mistake. Mark Andrews absolutely went off in Week 5, scoring 44.7 points, which is the third-highest all season by a skilled position player. Andrews is going to be very popular on Sunday. All of my lineups will feature either Andrews or Kelce, more Andrews in GPPs.

Related Content
NFL Week 6 Fantasy Football Mailbag I SGPN Fantasy Football Podcast (Ep.36)
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SGPN Fantasy Football Rankings Week 6 Update

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