It has been a great season so far, filled with loaded fields, playoff wins, and great courses. Luckily for all us degenerates, this week’s major tournament, the PGA Championship, is what we have all been waiting for. A tournament with only the elite players and soft pricing.
The boys head to San Francisco to take on TPC Harding Park. TPC Harding is a par 70, 7,200-yard course but with the cold weather, high winds, and deep rough, we expect the course to be very challenging. The anticipated winning score should be in the minus 8-10 range. Here are the key stats for the week and players to watch out for.
- Strokes Gained: Approach
- Storkes Gained: OTT (with emphasis on Fairways Gained)
- Par 4s Gained: 450-500 Yards
- Putting- Bentgrass
- Bogey Avoidance
Rory McIlroy – $10,700
TPC Harding Park requires to be both long off the tee and accurate to avoid the brutal rough, and no one is better at this than Rory McIlroy. In the past 50 rounds Rory is 3rd in SG: OTT, 5th in Driving Distance, and 59th in Accuracy, which is very high for someone who hits it as far he does. There is a reason why rory has been world number 1 so many times and it is his incredible ability with the big stick. While his recent form hasn’t been great, his OTT game has remained strong and for a player of his caluber I do not see him losing 5.6 strokes ARG (memorial) or 2.2 approach (WGC) again. Let’s not forget that before the break Rory had a ridiculous 7 top five finishes in a row. At a discounted price and projected lower ownership, we are all in on Rory this week.
Patrick Cantlay – $9,400
Patrick Cantlay is one of those golfers who is due for a statement win. It would be no surprise to us to see him win come Sunday. Cantlay has not played his best golf as of late, finishing 35th and 32nd in his past two events. We are not too concerned about it considering he stumbled out of the gate Thursday morning at both events. He has gained 4.5 strokes tee-to-green past five events and 2.7 on his approach. He is a long hitter which will be beneficial this week and his best putting surface is Bentgrass. At $9,400 Cantlay is a great play this week.
Collin Morikawa – $8,600
The young gun is one of our favorite golfers on tour. He is becoming an elite player and a force to reckon with. At this point in his career, we feel like there is no stage too big Morikawa. Collin is an elite ball-striker, who throws darts out there. He comes in high in our model and has gained 2.4 strokes on approach on the field past five events. He already has a win this season since the return taking down the Workday Charity Open, there is no reason he can not put himself in contention come Sunday.
Tyrell Hatton – $8,000
This week, Hatton takes a huge price decrease after his poor play last week, which we truly think is an outlier, espcially the 3.7 strokes lost putting. Hatton has been on a tear this season on the Euro Tour and the PGA Tour where before last week he had a streak of 5 top 6 finishes in his last 6 events. The British Bulldog is great with Irons and wont be hurt by his driver where he ranks 20th in Good Drives Gained in the past 50 rounds. Hatton has elite play this year and is a great value for this week.
Adam Scott – $7,800
The big question with Adam Scott this week is, how will he play after such a long layoff? Well I think he proved at Genesis this year that a long layoff is no issue for Scott. He took three months off and came back and won the tournament. Scott is an elite ball striker and great around the greens which you will need at a difficult course like this. It may be a risk going with a guy with no recent form, but at $7,800 we love a guy with two green jackets compared to all of the other guys priced around him.
Lucas Glover – $6,700
The former US Open champion is a nice value play this week. Glover has been playing consistent golf since the break. He has made the cut in 5/6 events so far with four top 25 finishes. He is a great ball-striker gaining 3.5 strokes in his last five events. The biggest concern with Lucas is his putting. Glover is pretty awful with the flatstick. If he can sink some putts, expect him to make the cut and help your squad get six golfers through.
Other Golfers We Like:
Koepka ($11,100), Hovland ($8,500), Matsuyama ($8,200), Woodland ($7,900), Spieth ($7,700), Louie ($7,600) Werenski ($7,000) Champ ($7,000), Bucket Hat ($6,900), Long Hitting List ($6,800), Sepp Straka ($6,500)