We have four of the elite quarterbacks in the league headlining Sunday’s Divisional Round games. Deshaun Watson and the Texans are huge underdogs against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. Russell Wilson and the Seahawks head to frigid Lambeau Field to take on Aaron Rodgers, and the Packers in a matchup of future Hall of Fame quarterbacks. The Divisional Round always delivers great moments and Sunday’s slate of games shouldn’t be any different. Here are my top prop bets for Sunday’s Divisional Round battles.
AFC Divisional Round Game Info – Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs
Time: Sunday, January 12th @ 3:05 PM ET
Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
Weather: 34 F Sunny
TV: CBS
Spread: Chiefs – 9.5
Money Line: + 360|-450
Total: 51
Texans at Chiefs Prop Bets
1. Deshaun Watson Over 255.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Watson and the Texans went into Arrowhead and defeated the Chiefs earlier this season 31-24. He finished with 280 yards passing and 30 completions in the win. Watson finished the season with 3,852 passing yards and another 413 yards on the ground. The Texans should get a boast to their passing game with the return of receiver Will Fuller. To escape with another win in Arrowhead, Watson will have to play his best game of the season and maybe his career.
2. Carlos Hyde Under 62.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
The Texans traded for Carlos Hyde in August, and he finished with the most productive season of his career. Hyde became the lead running back on an offense that needed someone to step up after Lamar Miller was injured in the preseason. If Kansas City jumps out to an early lead, Hyde could become a non-factor in the game. Hyde has rushed for less than 62 yards in four of the past six games including last week’s playoff win over Buffalo.
3. Damien Williams Over 54.5 Rushing Yards (-118)
Kansas City played multiple running backs this season, but it does seem like Williams has become the featured back over the last few games. Over the past five games, he has had double digit carries in four of them including two games with over 100 yards on the ground. With the Chiefs being heavy favorites, Williams could get a ton of carries in the second half if Kansas City has the lead and is trying to drain the clock.
NFC Divisional Round Game Info – Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers
Time: Sunday, January 12th @ 6:40 PM ET
Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
Weather: 23 F Partly Cloudy
TV: FOX
Spread: Packers – 4
Money Line: +175|-205
Total: 45.5
Seahawks at Packers Prop Bets
1. Davante Adams Over 6.5 Receptions (-118)
It seems like Aaron Rodgers looks for Adams on almost every pass play and that shouldn’t change much during the playoffs. Since returning from injury in early November, Adams has been targeted 91 times and has 58 receptions over the eight game stretch. The Packers will likely move him around to try and create mismatches against a Seattle defense that has struggled against the pass for much of the season.
2. Marshawn Lynch Any Time Touchdown (+130)
Lynch has scored a touchdown in two straight games and according to head coach Pete Carroll he will have a bigger role in the offense this week. Lynch was shut down last week against a strong Philadelphia run defense, but should have much more success against the Packers. Green Bay has allowed over 120 yards per game on the ground this season. Even at this point in his career, Lynch is still a productive running back in goal line situations.
3. Jacob Hollister Over 3.5 Receptions (+100)
Jacob Hollister has become a reliable target for Russell Wilson in the passing game. He has had at least four receptions in six games this season. Seattle’s passing attack is becoming more dangerous each game with the development of DK Metcalf and the production of Tyler Lockett. Hollister should have multiple opportunities in the middle of the field with Green Bay worried about the Seahawk’s deep threats.
