1. If You’re Tired Of Reading This, Up Your Bet
Matthew Stafford lost another game to a team over .500. He is now 5-63 against teams projected to be over .500 at the end of the season. I’ve written about this for 4 weeks and it’s 4-0 and is now my mission that you all understand this and back it constantly when the situation arises. Carry on.
2. The NFC Just Got Its Second Best Team
In a game that I personally think was a preview of the NFC Championship game, Minnesota took on Atlanta. If you’re a net yards per play nerd like I am, Minnesota and Atlanta are two of the top 3 teams in the NFC in that particular stat. (A stat that has produced a Superbowl representative for 18 straight years.) I understand the Philadelphia love but watch out for both of these teams moving forward.
3. John Fox Is The Worst Favorite Of All Time
John Fox is now 0-7 ATS and SU as a favorite during his tenure with The Chicago Bears. Much like the Stafford trend, this one is also completely on the auto-fade train for me as well. Look, I don’t know if it’s a weird coincidence or not, but a 7 game sample size is more than enough for me in this particular situation.
4. Kansas City Is Broken
I’ve been on the wrong side of Kansas City for the past few weeks because apparently, I valued their early season success way more than I should have. I’ve been saying Kansas City has needed a get right game for so long that it’s very clear they are just a broken team. Not only are they losing, they lost to The Giants (off the bye of all things), The Bills, and now The Jets. If you’re holding either side of the 9 win season win total bet, you’re either over the moon happy or ready to hide Andy Reid’s lunch.
5. The Definition Of Value
As I stated above, I really do get the Philadelphia hype, but Seattle being nearly a +200 underdog at home and more specifically at night was too much for me to pass up. In a perfect scheduling spot and Seattle getting up for this game, a home underdog role didn’t seem right at all, now every metric in the world pointed to Philadelphia winning this game by 30, yet the line ticked down from +6 to +3 in some places. This game also allowed another Russel Wilson tease, knowing he has never lost by more than 10 points at home. If Seattle is at home and can get hot, Russell Wilson is good enough to carry the whole team.
