The pushback on the show was straightforward: Mississippi State is exactly the kind of public dog that makes bettors nervous, and popular sides like that have a way of going wrong. Mississippi State hosts Alabama in Starkville, MS on Saturday, October 3 at 9:00 AM PT / 12:00 PM ET, and despite that nerve, the guys stayed on the Bulldogs plus 5.5 all the way through College Football Picks Week 5.
Alabama vs Mississippi State Odds
Alabama is favored by 5.5 with the total set at 60.5.
Our Picks
- Ryan Kramer (@KramerCentric): Mississippi State +5.5
- Sean Green (@SeanTGreen): Mississippi State +5.5
- Colby Dant (@thecolbyd): Mississippi State +5.5
Mississippi State is 4-0 straight up and 4-0 against the spread, as Sean noted, and that success is exactly why the show got nervous about backing it further. A good team drawing more and more public money starts to look like the popular side that busts. Colby’s counter was the schedule: Alabama has Georgia on deck next week, and he said the worry with Alabama’s coach, even at his other stops, has been this kind of game. Sean called the look-ahead real.
A noon kickoff instead of a Saturday night atmosphere made that look-ahead concern easier to believe, since neither side is playing under lights for emotional lift. Kamario Taylor factored in too. The guys figure he’s a sophomore with at least one more season before he can leave for the NFL, and his comeback win over Missouri last week is a big reason they aren’t ready to bet against him.
Alabama has been crushing teams so far, but between the Georgia look-ahead and the noon kick, the show landed unanimously on the home dog anyway.
Hear the full breakdown on the College Football Picks Week 5 episode, or listen on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. Watch every game on YouTube, and download the SGPN app at sg.pn/links. See all our College Football Picks.
