
In today’s column, we’re looking for the best play on the entire slate of main card fights for you to exploit. Come check out out best bet for these UFC Nashville prelims.
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Main Card Pick of the Week: UFC Nashville
UFC heavyweight Fight: Derrick Lewis vs Tallison Teixeira
Start Time: Saturday (7/12) 6:00pm EST (ESPN+)
The hype around Brazilian prospect Tallison Teixeira is pretty clear. After picking up a 35-second KO victory in his debut, the UFC has thrusted him right into a live-crowd main event. Not only that, but the books have installed him as a -235 favorite against the heavyweight stalwart, Lewis.
I think this line is a mistake and a great spot to hit up the underdog. While there is no doubting Teixeira’s power, he is a fighter who is fairly one-dimensional. He pretty much comes looking to box and do nothing else. He’ll likely get his wish with Lewis, but I’m not sure that’s something he’ll ultimately be happy about.
The big issue I see with Teixeira standing and banging with Lewis is that he doesn’t have the defense to hold up. His height has been his primary defense in the past, but he’s now entering a stage where people are good enough to check that. Additionally, he’s up against a moderately durable guy, but has never seen a second round.
Between cardio questions and his ability to take a shot, I’d fading the favorite here.
UFC Nashville Main Card Pick: Derrick Lewis ML (+210)
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