Monday Night Football Props + NFL Week 9 Recap
Dik Puncher (@THE_DIKPUNCHER) calls in on the Packers’ 45-27 win over the Patriots as the NFL Week 9 recap rolls into Monday Night Football props for Vikings vs. Bills. Sean Green (@SeanTGreen) wants Justin Jefferson in the end zone at +160, and Ryan Kramer (@KramerCentric) takes Carson Wentz over 219.5 passing yards.
Caleb Williams Throws Four Picks And The Bears Still Win
The guys drove straight from their show at Circa in Las Vegas to Salt Lake City overnight. They rolled in around 5 AM, tailgated on the pig bus and watched Utah at Rice-Eccles Stadium. Then on Sunday Ryan Kramer played designated driver to the airport after three Jameson and ginger ales caught up with Sean Green. Sean watched Sunday Night Football on the plane, and it was a wild one. The Bears beat the Bucs 27-24 even though Caleb Williams threw four interceptions, three of them in the first quarter.
Chicago was up eight late with the ball when Burton got knocked out cold and fumbled. So the Bucs tied it on a two-point conversion that Baker ran in himself. Then the Bears went right back down the field, left Colston Loveland wide open, and kicked a 38-yard field goal to walk it off. Sean laid the six with Chicago, so he spent that last drive begging Ben Johnson to go for the touchdown instead of playing it safe. Bears super fan Olan still called in furious with Caleb, which is a strange mood for a guy whose team is 7-2. Kramer reminded him the Bears are 8-1 to win the Super Bowl.
Jordan Love Puts It On The Patriots
This was supposed to be competitive, and it wasn’t. The Packers beat the Patriots 45-27, and Kramer still can’t figure out who bet New England hard enough to push the number to three and a half when the books called Green Bay a public dog. Love went 23 of 29 for 372 yards, three touchdowns, no interceptions and a 153.2 passer rating. Drake Maye also threw three touchdowns, but he threw three picks too, and that was the difference. Watson finished with 171 yards and a score and Golden added 164 and a score. Sean passed on Love’s passing yards on the Prop Show at around 267, which stings now.
Dik Puncher called in to make the case that this Packers team is legit. Coming into the week Green Bay had the most drops in the league, the most penalties and no 50-yard rusher all year. Then Josh Jacobs fractured his finger early and finished with four carries for five yards. Kaleb Johnson went 14 for 68 and a touchdown, but Puncher pointed out the run game did nothing until the game was already out of hand. His take is that the Packers shouldn’t run in the first half at all, because nobody can cover Golden and Watson with Tucker Kraft on the field. He also gave Xavier McKinney and Evan Williams their flowers for three interceptions between them.
The wild part is that the Packers are 6-3 and still last in the NFC North, behind the Bears at 7-2 and the Lions at 6-2. Kramer read the NFC make-the-playoffs board and Green Bay sits at -170, behind even the Giants at -220. The Lions are -320, the Vikings -350 and the Bears -700. Sean likes long shot division prices in both the North and the NFC South, where the Panthers lead at 3-5 and every team is still alive. Kramer has the South at Bucs +154, Panthers +225, Falcons +340 and Saints +520, which is basically where it sat in May.
Saints Escape The Browns And The Bengals Cash In Madrid
The Saints beat the Browns 23-22 in overtime but did not cover the three. Saints super fan Ian called it one of the worst football games he has ever watched. New Orleans scored first in overtime, then Cleveland drove down with Fannin and went for two instead of kicking for a tie, and Sean loved the decision. Ian’s 200-to-1 parlay with his Browns fan buddies in Pittsburgh died on a Judkins anytime touchdown, after Audric Estimé delivered the 70 yards and a score he saw coming. Even in first place, Ian would still take the Bucs to win the NFC South because they are the most competent team with Baker. But Kramer noted the Saints have played only one division game and control their own destiny.
Sean nailed the Madrid handicap. The Bengals won 34-17 and covered, because the passing offense was too much for Atlanta, with Joe Burrow throwing for 271 and three touchdowns and Tee Higgins having a big game. Bijan did get 100 yards on 19 carries, and Kramer thinks he could have had more. Meanwhile the Lions beat the Dolphins 19-9 and covered. Sean said that if he had known Miami’s defense would hold Detroit to 19 points, he would have bet a ton on the Dolphins getting seven. The Miami offense just never got going. Thursday was ugly too, with the Jags putting it on the Ravens 33-10.
The Rams beat the Commanders 20-13 even with Stafford throwing for only 228 and an elbow issue in the news. Puka Nacua went 14 for 115 and a touchdown, but now he is banged up and getting an MRI. So the guys’ Rams and Ravens to miss the playoffs parlay at 17-1 is alive and well, and Kramer called the Rams at -122 to make the playoffs probably the steepest price on the market. Elsewhere, Sean’s Colts lock at plus five held up when the Cowboys won without covering. Indy went up 23-20 with 1:37 left before Dallas drove for the win. Then Sean and Kramer reopened their Joe Milton versus Tanner McKee fight, with Milton rushing for 64 and Kramer cashing his under on Milton’s 169 passing yards.
Next Coach Fired, Kirk Cousins And The Winless Chargers
The Chiefs beat the Jets 35-12 after New York led 6-0 in the first quarter. Kenneth Walker ran 18 times for 102 and also caught two touchdowns, but Patrick Mahomes got banged up and is getting an MRI on his elbow. That pushed the guys to the next coach fired market, where Nick Sirianni leads, followed by Jim Harbaugh, Dan Quinn and Aaron Glenn. Shane Steichen sits fifth, and Sean thinks that is wrong because the Colts are the most obvious place where things are about to change. Kramer sees Steichen anywhere from five and a half to one to eight to one and is sprinkling it. Sean calls a firing before Thursday Night Football roughly 50/50.
The 49ers beat the Raiders 38-17, and Brock Bowers fumbled twice while Kirk Cousins threw three interceptions to reach eight on the year. Sean would start Mendoza now and trade Cousins, because the Raiders will feel dumb next year if they get nothing for him, and Minnesota is the obvious landing spot. His prediction is Mendoza starts November 29th in Cleveland. Then the Texans crushed the Chargers 44-22 to cash a Kramer lock. The Chargers are 0-8 and did not score a touchdown until the fourth quarter, down 38-9. Sean called them the worst team against expectations since the show started in 2011. Seattle also covered eight and a half in a 17-3 win while Minshew went 21 of 30 for 166.
Monday Night Football Props For Vikings Vs. Bills
Kramer opened the Monday Night Football props with a kicker. Will Reichard has gone over six and a half kicking points in every game but one, the last one against Detroit, and now he is in a dome against a Bills defense that gives up a ton of yards. Kramer takes the over 6.5 points at -110 because the one and a half field goals costs -150. Sean went to Justin Jefferson anytime touchdown at +160. Buffalo leads the league in touchdowns given up to receivers, and Jefferson already had a two-touchdown game with Carson Wentz this year. Sean’s lock is still the Bills, so he expects points on both sides.
Kramer also likes Wentz over 219.5 passing yards. The Bills have played seven games and only one quarterback has failed to reach 220 against them, and even Justin Herbert threw for 226. Sean added Ty Johnson over 14.5 receiving yards, since Johnson has gone 4-1 to the over and throwing to the back is how you beat the heat from a Brian Flores defense. Then Kramer officially took James Cook over 80 rushing yards at -125, with the number sitting around 82 to 84 elsewhere, and he would also play the alt. Finally Sean took Josh Allen over 30.5 rushing yards. The last time Allen played in prime time, at the Rams, he ran 10 times for 121. Kramer cosigned it.
For first touchdown, Kramer rides Dawson Knox and Dalton Kincaid, probably James Cook, Wentz at 55-1 and Jefferson at 10-1. Sean went single bullet on Khalil Shakir at 17-1. His Degen Only parlay has Allen scoring, Allen rushing for 90 and the Bills winning by nine and a half, which pays 61-1. Kramer answered with the Bills winning, Jefferson scoring twice, Wentz throwing two touchdowns and Cook going over 100 rushing yards on the alt, all at 73-1. Kramer is 2-1 on the locks this week and Sean is 2-0 with the Bills still to play, so Sean has the most riding on Monday night.
Podcast Chapters
0:00 Download the SGPN App Today!
0:47 Utah Game, Pig Bus & Flankers
6:57 Bears Win Over Bucs With Olan
13:29 Packers Put It on the Patriots With Dik Puncher
27:05 Cousin Mush Calling In
32:59 Saints Super Fan Ian
40:42 Jags Put It On the Ravens
46:47 Stafford Elbow & Puka Injury
51:47 Cowboys Get the Win, Colts and Jonathan Taylor
55:17 Giants Win, Joe Milton and Sirianni
1:01:43 Chiefs, Jets and Next Coach Fired
1:06:30 Broncos Panthers Recap
1:10:56 Raiders 49ers and Kirk Cousins Trade
1:15:27 Texans Chargers Recap
1:19:38 Seahawks Recap and Schefter
1:22:01 Will Reichard Kicking Points
1:23:37 Justin Jefferson Anytime Touchdown
1:24:45 Carson Wentz Passing Yards
1:26:15 Ty Johnson Receiving Yards
1:27:10 James Cook Rushing Yards
1:30:03 Josh Allen Over 30.5 Rushing Yards
1:31:16 First Touchdown Bets
1:33:22 Josh Allen To Rush For 90 Yards
1:34:18 Justin Jefferson Two Touchdowns With Carson Wentz
1:35:33 Thank You for Participating in the Sports Gambling Podcast
