Thursday Night Football Week 4 Prop Bets Recap
Thursday Night Football props are here for Steelers at Browns. Sean Green (@SeanTGreen) and Ryan Kramer (@KramerCentric) start with the Eagles losing to Case Keenum and the Bears, then the Giants trading for J.J. McCarthy. Kramer takes Jaylen Warren over 21.5 receiving yards and KC Concepcion over 3.5 catches. Sean fades Harold Fannin and grabs Aaron Rodgers rushing yards at +142. They close with first touchdown longshots, all the way up to 100-1 on Ben Skowronek.
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Case Keenum Beats The Eagles And The Giants Buy J.J. McCarthy
Sean is not happy. The Eagles are through three games without forcing a turnover, and he says you do not win that way. His other gripe is the blue tent. Philly was at the goal line when Jalen Hurts got pulled, and Andy Dalton came in and threw an interception. Ryan, meanwhile, got to enjoy his Case Keenum versus Vic Fangio trend cashing. Keenum was surgical, and Ben Johnson out-schemed Fangio. Sean still likes the roster at 2-1 and reminds everyone the 2024 Eagles started 2-2 and won the Super Bowl. The Rams come to Philly next as 2.5-point road favorites, so file the Eagles under close-your-eyes special.
Then the Giants traded a fifth-round pick for J.J. McCarthy. Ryan has no problem with the price. He just thinks McCarthy kind of sucks, and his best case is a backup you flip for a third next year. Sean sees a 6-4 record in 10 starts and a young quarterback worth a flier while Jaxson Dart is still unproven. Ryan’s counter is Kevin O’Connell, the guy who makes every quarterback better, and he could not make this one better.
The Thursday Night Football Props Card For Steelers-Browns
Pittsburgh is a 2.5-point road favorite. Ryan opens with Jaylen Warren over 21.5 receiving yards. Warren has gone 27, 34 and 49 through three weeks. Cleveland plays a lot of man, Rodgers has not been great against it, and Ryan expects the ball to run through the backs and tight ends. Sean goes the other way on the Browns tight end with Harold Fannin under 4.5 receptions. Pittsburgh has allowed only 10 catches to tight ends all season, and Deshaun Watson has two games with just 16 completions. Fannin caught seven against Carolina, but that is a bad Panthers defense.
Ryan would rather have KC Concepcion over 3.5 catches. He saw nine targets last week and caught two for nine yards, after four and six catches the two weeks before. Ryan also likes Watson over 28.5 pass attempts, since the Browns line is banged up and the run game managed 70 yards on 18 carries against Carolina. Sean’s number is Rodgers 5+ rushing yards at +142. He ran for five and 10 the last two games, and he hates getting hit. Sean also likes Roman Wilson to catch a 20-yard pass at +220. Wilson already has two of those, a 38-yarder against the Bengals and a 20-yarder against the Falcons, and Sean prices it closer to even money. Faustino in the chat added both kickers over 1.5 field goals, which fits an AFC North game on a Thursday.
First Touchdown Longshots And The Degen Parlays
Ryan’s first touchdown board runs through the tight ends: Darnell Washington at 25-1, Blake Whiteheart at 45-1 and Robert Tonyan, who got a red zone target last week. Tonyan was 80-1 when the show started, and Ryan found 110-1 before it ended. Both guys like Watson at 18-1 after his carries inside the 10. Sean goes to 100-1 on Ben Skowronek, who scored against the Bengals.
The pick’em entry is Concepcion over 3.5 catches and Washington over 1.5, paying $268 on $100. Ryan’s Degen parlay is Concepcion six or more catches with under 33.5 yards at 61-1, the line Concepcion posted against Tampa two weeks ago. Sean’s is Skowronek and Washington both scoring at 120-1. No touchdown at all is only 45-1, and the guys agree that is far too short to play. Sean sees a 17-3 or 17-13 game anyway.
Watch: Denver Broncos Week 3 Moneyline!
Podcast Chapters
0:00 Download the SGPN App Today!
0:42 Welcome to the Sports Gambling Podcast
11:05 The Giants Trade For J.J. McCarthy
22:35 Jaylen Warren’s Receiving Prop
23:53 Harold Fannin’s Receptions Prop
25:21 KC Concepcion’s Receptions Prop
26:27 Aaron Rodgers’ Rushing Prop
27:47 Deshaun Watson’s Passing Attempts Prop
28:46 Both Kickers’ Field Goals Prop
29:05 Roman Wilson’s Receiving Prop
31:33 The First Touchdown Board
36:47 Underdog Entry: Concepcion & Washington
38:13 The Degen Parlay: Concepcion, Skowronek & Washington
45:13 Thank You for Participating in the Sports Gambling Podcast
