Free agency is just around the corner, and then it’s time for the draft. However, for now, it’s time to start building your portfolio of NFL futures bets. During the first run of win totals bets is a great time to get in and call your shot on how a team might improve, or fail to improve themselves over the next few months. Let’s jump in and take an early look at all 16 NFC teams’ win totals. Making our NFL best bets as we go.
NFL Best Bets: NFC Win Totals – Early Look
Arizona Cardinals Under 4.5 Wins (-110)
The Cardinals are a mess, and I don’t even know where they’ll begin to fix it. Kyler Murray likely won’t be their quarterback anymore. They play in a division that has three very good teams in Seattle, San Fran, and LA. They also have the third-toughest schedule based on opponents’ 2025 win percentage. Winning five games might not seem like a lot. However, I just don’t see this team doing it until I have more clarity on how the team will even look. Therefore, I’m on the under.
Atlanta Falcons Over Under 7.5 Wins (-130)
The Falcons are releasing Kirk Cousins, which means they’re all in on Michael Penix. I don’t know if it’s a good decision or not. He played around half of the season for them last year and finished 8-9. Five of those wins were Kirk Cousins’ wins. That means he only won three games. With Penix as the starter, I’ve got to take the under here until he proves he can win more games in the NFL.
Carolina Panthers Over 6.5 Wins (-125)
This is one of the most puzzling NFL Win totals to me. The Panthers went 8-9 last year and won their division. They went toe-to-toe with the Rams in the playoffs. They aren’t losing a bunch of big-name players in free agency. So, why is their win total so low? Sure, they have the tenth hardest schedule. However, towards the end of last year, this team showed they could stand their ground against good teams. This one is hitting the over easily.
Chicago Bears Under 9.5 Wins (-120)
I’m a Bears fan and it hurts me to pick the under here. However, the Bears head into 2026 with the NFL’s toughest-ranked schedule. Do I think they can still be a dominant team and potentially go over their NFL Win totals? Yes. However, do I think it’s going to happen this year? No. I expect them to land exactly at nine wins.
Dallas Cowboys Over 8.5 Wins (-130)
The Cowboys are a hard team to gauge. They looked good on paper last year, but only won seven games. Still, they have a quarterback who can throw for a bunch of yards, a strong running game, and two stud receivers. The defense also has some playmakers, and they’re set to get more in the draft and free agency. I’m riding with the over for now, though it feels gross.
Detroit Lions Over 10.5 Wins (-125)
The Lions didn’t look like the Lions last year, winning just nine games. You’ve come to expect more from Dan Campbell. I think they bounce back this year and win the division. Jared Goff and Amon-Ra St. Brown have a great connection. He also has weapons like Sam Laporta. The Lions’ running back room is solid, and their defense is good. This is one of the easier NFL Win totals for me to decide on.
Green Bay Packers Under 10.5 Wins (-115)
The Packers won nine games last year in a year that the Detroit Lions struggled. Shall we repeat that? The Packers won nine games last year. Detroit struggled. Those are two things I don’t expect to repeat themselves. A bunch of people buy into Jordan Love. I don’t. This is asking a lot of Matt Lafleur, and I don’t think they get there. Especially with Ben Johnson living rent-free in his head. Give me the under.
LA Rams Over 10.5 Wins (-145)
The Rams won 12 games last year and have most of the major pieces returning. Matt Stafford is back again, and Sean McVay is still a really good coach. On top of that they can run the ball well, they have Puka Nacua, and their defense is solid. It’s juiced to -145 for a reason, however, the over is the play here.
Minnesota Vikings Under 8.5 Wins (-140)
This is a hard one to call just because I’m not fully convinced JJ McCarthy is the starting quarterback for the Vikings. However, if he is, then the NFL Win totals line is too high in my opinion. Therefore, for now, I’m taking the under 8.5 wins because the most plausible scenario is they give him another year to prove his worth. “Nine” isn’t getting to nine wins. Go ahead and save this and tweet me if I’m wrong.
New Orleans Saints Under 7.5 Wins (-7.5)
Look, I like Kellen Moore. I’m a Boise State fan, so maybe I have to. However, I also think he’s going to be a good coach. I also like Tyler Shough, and I think he did some good things last year. This Saints team needs a lot of upgrades, though. Therefore, I’m not looking at them to win eight games. They may improve by one game from last year and win seven. Eight feels out of reach.
New York Giants Over 7.5 Wins (+110)
Two rookies that were a lot of fun to watch last year were Jaxson Dart and Cam Skattebo. They both dealt with injuries, and stud wide receiver Malik Nabers missed most of the season, too. It led to them only winning four games. Which was disappointing, but it led to them having an excellent draft pick in 2026. I expect the Giants to keep making improvements and nailing the draft. They’re hitting over this 7.5 win total.
Seattle Seahawks Under 10.5 Wins (+115)
Seattle caught lightning in a bottle last year and won 14 games. Expecting them to win five fewer than that may feel a little crazy. However, their secondary is about to be depleted unless they spend some cash. The defensive line will also go through changes, and Darnold is another year older. They have a tougher NFL schedule than last year, and their win totals are going to show it.
Philadelphia Eagles Over 10.5 Wins (+105)
The Eagles were viewed as having a down year last year. Yet, they still won 11 games. Sure, they didn’t repeat and get back to the Super Bowl. However, they still showed they’re a dominant team and can win games both on defense and offense. You can currently get them over 10.5 wins at plus money. Sign me up.
San Francisco 49ers Over 10.5 Wins (+125)
Maybe the 49ers are often injured because of the electric field. Maybe it’s just bad luck. However, talk about all the injuries you want. This team went 12-5 last year while multiple players suffered injuries. Perhaps it was CMC sucking the life out of them so he could stay healthy. Either way, I think 10 wins is an easy play for them. No matter who’s starting games, Kyle Shanahan’s scheme gets it done.
Tampa Bay Bucs Over 8.5 Wins (-140)
Baker didn’t quite look like Baker last year. I think he bounces back this year and gets back to the guy we saw two years ago. Will they be able to hold off the Panthers and win their division? I’m not sure. However, I do think they’ll have four easier matchups against the Saints and the Falcons. The Bucs should be able to overcome their hiccups from last year and get back to their 2024 form.
Washington Commanders Under 7.5 Wins (-110)
The Commanders are a difficult team to navigate when looking at the win totals. A lot of their success relies on Jayden Daniels staying healthy. Jayden Daniels could not stay healthy last year. It was a huge concern I had about him pre-draft. He proved me wrong in his rookie year. However, last year he proved me right. They won five games last year and I think they still need a lot of work. Give me the under.
