Eight teams are just two wins away from finding themselves in Super Bowl LX. But first, they have to find a way to take home a victory in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs. Wild Card Weekend delivered mostly good games, with the exception of a team or two that looked like they didn’t belong. That’s no longer the case; these eight remaining teams are the best of the best in this year’s NFL. Let’s step into the NFL Prop Shop and find the top Divisional Weekend player prop bets.
Eight teams means we get four games, with two on Saturday, followed by two on Sunday. Things will begin in Denver as the rested up Broncos host the Buffalo Bills, the #1 seed being the underdog. Then it’ll wrap up with a Week 18 rematch of NFC West rivals as the 49ers head to Seattle to take on the Seahawks. Sliding into Sunday’s action, the New England Patriots will host the Houston Texans. The NFL will cap off the weekend with a freezing cold matchup between the Los Angeles Rams and the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field.
NFL Prop Shop: Top Divisional Weekend Player Prop Bets
RJ Harvey Over 53.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
The Buffalo Bills’ rushing defense has been one of their biggest issues this year. They ranked 28th out of 32 in the NFL in yards allowed per game on the ground (136.2). Last week, the Jaguars ran for 154 yards in a losing effort against the Bills’ rushing defense. Both Travis Etienne and Bhayshul Tuten went over the 50-yard mark.
Denver has averaged 118.7 yards on the ground this season, the bulk of that coming from Harvey down the stretch for the Broncos. This Denver team does not want to get into a shootout with the Bills. They want to methodically work the ball down the field and take their time, and be in control of the game. Exploiting the Bills’ biggest weakness to do that is the way to go. Harvey has fresh legs off a bye week.
Brock Purdy Over 17.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
When these two teams met in Week 18, the 49ers quarterback ran for 21 yards, and it took just two scrambles to get there. Back in Week 1, Purdy ran for 17 yards against them. Last week, we saw Purdy dash for 33 yards in a huge game against a tough defense with everything on the line. That’s what I expect to see again this week. With George Kittle now missing, more of the onus will be on Purdy to help lead this team to the NFC Championship game.
Purdy has hit this number in two of his last three playoff games and had at least 16 yards on the ground in six of the 10 games he played this year as he battled through injury. I am on the 49ers to not only cover the 7.5 point spread, but win this game outright. If they are going to do that, they’ll need a big game out of Brock.
Drake Maye Over 225.5 Passing Yards (-114)
If we had a “prop of the year” award for this year’s Prop Shop series, this would be the winner. Drake Maye’s passing ability has been disrespected by the books all season, and we’ve taken advantage. This week is no different. In Sunday’s game against the Chargers, it was a defensive game, slow-moving, and not a lot of explosive offense. Yet, Maye still tossed the pigskin for 268 yards in his first playoff start.
Maye has thrown for over 222 yards in 14 games this year. The only games he didn’t were the Dolphins and Panthers games, where he sat early in blowouts. Along with the Bills game, which had a weird game script of the Patriots being up 21-0 through the rush game. This Texans defense is stifling, and I’m not downplaying their ability. I expect them to get to Maye many times in this game. But they also allowed quarterbacks to throw for over 225 in three of their last four games in the regular season. Maye will complete high percentage passes and get over this number in a Patriots win or lose.
Colston Loveland Over 4.5 Catches (-120)
Loveland was the first tight end off the board in the 2025 NFL Draft. But when the season started, Tyler Warren quickly became everyone’s favorite rookie. It took a little time for Loveland and Williams to get on the same page, but down the stretch, it’s been an important part of the Bears’ offensive production. In last week’s comeback win over the Green Bay Packers, Loveland was targeted 15 times, catching eight passes. It was his third straight game with over 10 targets and at least six catches.
There’s no reason to believe that strategy and connection will change this week. It’s going to be brutally cold in Chicago on Sunday evening when the Bears battle with Rams at Soldier Field. The Rams will get pressure on Caleb Williams, forcing quick throws, and Loveland will be a favorite target for Williams once again.
