Are you ready to ditch the boring, everyday odds you get on most sportsbooks? Are you sick of seeing tons of juice on every line that you see? Then you should try out prediction markets with Kalshi. Unlike sportsbooks, Kalshi allows you to trade your positions, which keeps the odds right where they should be. Plus, you can make predictions not just on sports, but also weather predictions, politics predictions, and pop culture predictions as well. For this week, we’re showing you some ways that you can make money in the NFL futures markets.
How to Play with Kalshi
Unlike many of the other ways people attempt to make money predicting the outcome of events, Kalshi is a true prediction market. There are many benefits to a prediction market versus a sportsbook. Firstly, there are so many more options for what you can make predictions on. Want to guess how high BitCoin will get this year? Can you guess who will visit the White House next? Maybe you’re ready to make a prediction about the color of the Gatorade in the National Championship game. All of that is possible through Kalshi.
Not only is Kalshi a place with diverse options for predictions, but they function in a fundementally fairer way. There is more transparency and truth because those driving the numbers are those with skin in the game. By working the wisdom of the crowd in this way, they actually are more accurate that most polls or hand selected betting lines – plus they are not being manipulated by people behind the scenes.
So how do you make money with Kalshi?
When you’ve located a market you’d like to make a prediction in, you buy in on a side. The cost of that yes or no answer will be somewhere between 1 and 99 cents based on how likely it is to come true. Once you’ve pruchased your side, you can make money in two ways. Firstly, you can hold your position and if it comes true, than each share is worth $1. You can also sell your position as it rises and falls in hopes of getting the best value out of what you predicted.
If you’re ready to give Kalshi a shot, make sure to sign up with promo code SGPN and get a free $20. Perhaps you can use it on some of the markets that you see below.
NFL Future Markets on Kalshi – December 31st
NFL Coach of the Year
While the share price is rising on Kyle Shanahan for Coach of the Year, I still think there is a lot of value there. A win on Sunday against the Seahawks would get the number one seed for Shanahan and the 49ers for the second time in three years. Not only has he put his team in this position, but he’s done so despite some key injuries. Mac Jones lead the team in passing yards, passing attempts and completions on this year – which is not a sentence you would expect from a #1 seed.
Vrabel has done a great job with the Patriots this year as well. He’s particularly helped speed up the growth of their younger players. However, there is a narrative that the Patriots have played a cupcake schedule, and that could hurt Vrabel’s chances at the end of the day.
In addition to not liking Vrabel’s chances, this is a buy that you don’t even have to fade Vrabel on. If San Francisco wins on Sunday, there is a good chance that this price will rise enough for you to make money on a sale as well.
NFL Passing Yards Leader
The showdown between Matthew Stafford and Dak Prescott for the passing yards lead is a tight one. Entering the final week of play, Stafford trails the Cowboys signal called by just 36 passing yard. That lead doesn’t seem like enough given how low the price is on Stafford shares right now. The first major reason I like Stafford to pull this off is that he has something to play for. A win for the Rams means that they have a chance at the #5 seed and a date with whatever team wins the pathetic NFC South. The Cowboys have long been eliminated and shouldn’t be pressing all that hard for one more win.
Additionally, I also don’t like the matchup for Prescott as much as some pundits do. Yes, it’s great to see the 29th ranked defense across from you any time you step on to the field, but the Giants are far worse against the run than they are the pass. This year, they’ve given up 145.4 rushing yards a game, which is good for 30th in the NFL. Their passing defense doesn’t even fall into the bottom third of the league. Given that the Cowboys are out, you may also see an early exit for Prescott should they find themselves up, or down, late in the game.
If you’d like even more picks and predictions that you can use to play on Kalshi’s Prediction Market, be sure to check out the Sports Gambling Podcast. The guys are dropping plenty of episodes to make you the smartest guy/gal at the bar.
