Kalshi Prediction Markets – December 17th

Kalshi is offering prediction markets for anything and everything. You can make predictions on the weather, politics, sports and more!

Are you like many out there and are bored by the same old odds that you get on every sportsbook? Or maybe you’re sick of the prepackaged parlays that books try to hit you with that never really hit. Well, if you’re ready to ditch the old, musty ways of the sportsbooks, then you should try out prediction markets with Kalshi. Unlike sportsbooks, Kalshi allows you to trade your positions and to do so on just about anything imaginable. You can make predictions on sport, but also weather predictions, politics predictions, and pop culture predictions as well. Come check out what Kalshi is all about!

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How to Play with Kalshi

Unlike many of the other ways people attempt to make money predicting the outcome of events, Kalshi is a true prediction market. There are many benefits to a prediction market versus a sportsbook. Firstly, there are so many more options for what you can make predictions on. Want to guess how high BitCoin will get this year? Can you guess who will visit the White House next? Maybe you’re ready to make a prediction about the color of the Gatorade in the National Championship game. All of that is possible through Kalshi.

Not only is Kalshi a place with diverse options for predictions, but they function in a fundementally fairer way. There is more transparency and truth because those driving the numbers are those with skin in the game. By working the wisdom of the crowd in this way, they actually are more accurate that most polls or hand selected betting lines – plus they are not being manipulated by people behind the scenes.

So how do you make money with Kalshi?

When you’ve located a market you’d like to make a prediction in, you buy in on a side. The cost of that yes or no answer will be somewhere between 1 and 99 cents based on how likely it is to come true. Once you’ve pruchased your side, you can make money in two ways. Firstly, you can hold your position and if it comes true, than each share is worth $1. You can also sell your position as it rises and falls in hopes of getting the best value out of what you predicted.

If you’re ready to give Kalshi a shot, make sure to sign up with promo code SGPN and get a free $20. Perhaps you can use it on some of the markets that you see below.

Kalshi Prediction Markets – December 17th

Oscar for Best Actor?

The world on entertainment awards can be tough when trying to call a winner. That’s sort of the beauty of the predictions market instead of straight wagers – you can buy the potential for growth in the odds.

As you can see, the market is heating up for Ethan Hawke for his portrayal of Lorenz Hart in Blue Moon. He’s picked up eight percentage points recently and seems like the climb might continue. Timothee Chalamet, on the other hand is fading as the most likely candidate. Additionally, Leonardo DiCaprio’s nomination for his role in One Battle After Another seems unlikely as that film seems poised to win best picture – with only one movie hitting both those awards in the last 23 years.

So while the market is hard to get exactly right, there is reason to see this as a buy low opportunity in Hawke’s probability.

NFL – Offensive Player of the Year Winner?

Speaking of buy-low opportunities, I think there is a great chance to do just that with Puka Nacua in the Offensive Player of the Year market. For one, there are going to be some percentage points up for grabs as Jonathan Taylor continues to sink. The quarterback play for the Colts just won’t open up enough for him to get anything going and you can expect his price to plummet.

Additionally, the Rams are playing for a lot right now. Matthew Stafford is currently second in the league in passing yards and looking to win that title. Also, they are tied for a first round bye and are going to be looking to put the pedal to the metal down the stretch. If they go into Seattle on Thursday and come out with a win, look for Nacua to make a huge jump on Smith-Njigba and make gains for his backers.

If you’d like even more picks and predictions that you can use to play on Kalshi’s Prediction Market, be sure to check out the Sports Gambling Podcast. The guys are dropping plenty of episodes to make you the smartest guy/gal at the bar. 

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