While the UFC continues to be the king when it comes to MMA and gambling, there is more MMA than ever to bet on now. Promotions all over the world as well as domestic ones are showing up in sportsbooks. The advantage here is that the data is usually quite a bit less sharp than when you’re making MMA predictions for the UFC. So we’ve decided to dig into some each week to get you started on your regional MMA journey. This week head overseas for PFL Europe 4 from Lyon, France for our regional MMA pick.
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MMA Regional Pick of the Week: PFL Europe 4
PFL Europe Lightweight Fight: Connor Hughes vs Alexandr Chizov
Card Start Time: Saturday (12/13), 11:00am EST (ESPN+)
One of my favorite lines of the weekend is in the lightweight finals of the PFL Europe tournament. While both men have looked spectacular en route to the final fight, one of them has a style that I think is going to be difficult for the other.
If you’ve watched Connor Hughes in the past, you will see someone who stays compact and fights smart. He cuts off angles well and tears his opponent apart if his back is close to the cage. Additionally, he can mix it up in the grappling department as well if it comes to that.
On the other wise, we have a fighter in Chizov that is much more about the flash. “Pretty Boy” fights with his hands down low, looking to goad opponents into lunging at him with a strike. Then he hits his counters and does his damage that way. The problem for Chizov is two-fold. Firstly, Hughes rarely gets shaken from his gameplan or the way he stays safe. Secondly, the way he cuts off the cage often limits his opponents mobility.
As a result, I think the fundementals of Hughes should carry the day here and cash as a moderate favorite.
PFL Europe 4 Pick: Connor Hughes ML (-155)
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