The final UFC card of the ESPN era is here on Saturday and we’re here with the picks. Brandon Royval and Manel Kape throw down in a flyweight main event with the division now wide open. This UFC Vegas 112 card is loaded up with incredible fights with some great spots to look for some high-value MMA bets, picks, and predictions.
In today’s column, we’re looking for the best play on the entire slate of prelim fights for you to exploit. Come check out our best bet for these UFC Vegas 112 prelims.
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Prelim Pick of the Week: UFC Vegas 112
UFC Flyweight Fight: Tereza Bleda vs Jamey-Lyn Horth
Start Time: Saturday (12/13) 7:00pm EST (ESPN+)
In the curtain jerker of the final card of the year, we have a fighter coming in off of a massive layoff. Tereza Bleda has been on the shelf for 30 straight months – having pulled out of her only two fight bookings in that time. Despite that, the books have installed her as a slight favorite for her return fight, which I believe to be a mistake.
The first reason why I think it’s a mistake is that Bleda has spent the majority of her career getting by with her physicality. She lands strikes at a low rate because she is constantly attempting takedowns. Despite that, she has not had much in the way of success. In three fights for the UFC, she’s attempted 19 takedowns and landed just five of those. That’s good for a 27% accuracy rate on those. She’s walked away with a pair of wins in there because the fighters couldn’t get out of her grasp when she did get a hold of them.
She won’t be so lucky when Jamey-Lyn Horth comes to town. Horth is both tough to deal with physically and tough to hold down with your physicality. She took a short notice fight against #10 ranked Miranda Maverick and held her own with the talented wrestler. Maverick went just 2 of 9 in takedown attempts and Horth managed a takedown of her own in three tries. If she can deal with the strength of Maverick, I expect her to handle Bleda just fine and cash as an underdog.
UFC Vegas 112 Prelim Pick: Jamey-Lyn Horth ML (+120)
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