Another week of football means another week of touchdowns to bet! Last week, I hit three of five. Jordan Addison and Keenan Allen let us down. However, we did hit Achane, Odunze, and St. Brown. I’m going to continue to dive in each week and hopefully finally hit that five in the same week. Let’s take a look at the NFL week 11 touchdown bets I’m feeling will cash this weekend with my NFL bets!
NFL Week 11 Anytime Touchdowns
Jaylen Warren (-160)
First up on the list of players I’m circling for NFL Week 11 anytime touchdown bets is Jaylen Warren. He’s a super chalky play at -160, but for good reason. The Bengals’ defense has not done well against the run. In fact, in the last two games before their bye week, they allowed two rushing touchdowns each game.
They’ve allowed 9 rushing touchdowns in the last six games. The only team they didn’t allow a rushing touchdown against was the Pittsburgh Steelers. Now the two teams face off again, and I don’t expect it to be quite as high-octane a shootout as we got in the first matchup.
In that game, Jaylen Warren rushed the ball 16 times for 127 yards. He didn’t get in the end zone last week against the Chargers. However, he ran for two in the prior game against the Colts. Warren is a key piece of the Steelers’ offense and I expect him to get in the endzone this weekend.
Jaylen Waddle (+100)
I’ll back my touchdown pick of a player named Jaylen with another Jaylen pick for my NFL week 11 anytime touchdown bets. This time, I’m looking at Jaylen Waddle, who is +100 to score a touchdown. The Dolphins play an early game in Madrid, Spain. That does make this one a little nerve-racking, as we don’t want to start off on the wrong foot right away.
However, Waddle has done very well in the past three games against the Falcons, Ravens, and Bills. During that time, he’s averaged 5.3 catches per game, 88.3 receiving yards, and scored a touchdown in two of the three. Now he’ll face off against a struggling Washington Commanders team.
In the last four games, the Commanders have allowed 13 receiving touchdowns. Over three per game. I don’t think a trip to Spain is going to help slow the sieve that is their passing defense. Tua may be inconsistent. However, he’s thrown six touchdown passes in the last three games. If you take out the beat-down they received from Baltimore, he’s thrown 6 touchdown passes in two games.
Waddle is his favorite target, and I expect he gets in the endzone this weekend.
Drake London (+100)
We’ll continue our list of NFL week 11 anytime touchdowns with Drake London at +100. Falcons’ games have been up and down all year and haven’t always looked pretty. They’ve dropped three straight games and only won three all year. However, one thing that’s been consistent in the last five weeks is Drake London’s touchdown production.
London has a ridiculous 48 targets in the last five weeks. He’s used those targets to pull down 37 catches, 532 yards, and six touchdowns. It’s the best production we’ve seen out of receivers in the last five weeks. Despite them losing games, London continues to produce.
I actually think they win this game against Carolina. Revenging an earlier loss in the season. The Panthers’ defense just let Tyler Shough throw for two touchdown passes against them. No offense to rookie Tyler Shough, but in only his second start, Michael Penix is primed to have a better game.
I know London only had 55 receiving yards in the 30-0 loss to the Panthers earlier this year. However, I expect him to have a big game against them this week, including at least one touchdown.
RJ Harvey (+135)
Next up on our list of NFL Week 11 anytime touchdowns is RJ Harvey. In what may be the biggest game of the week, the Broncos take on the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs need the win to try and gain some ground in the division. However, I don’t expect the Broncos to go down quietly.
The Broncos’ starting running back, JK Dobbins, has been dealing with a foot injury. His game status is questionable this week. Even if he does play, RJ Harvey has continued to be involved in both the run and receiving game. He has at least one touchdown in three of the last four games.
The Chiefs’ defense has been tough. This could even end up being a garbage-time touchdown while Bo Nix is trying to bring the Broncos from behind and has his best pass-catching back in the game. Although at times Badie gets that work, I think Harvey will be the one they turn to in this big game.
A.J. Brown (+140)
Last on the list of NFL Week 11 anytime touchdowns is AJ Brown at +140. I know, I know. A.J. Brown has been the epitome of inconsistent. After a six-catch, 80-yard performance three weeks ago and a four-catch, 121-yard, two-touchdown performance two weeks ago, you thought he was back. Then he turns in a two-catch, 13-yard performance.
Then Brown took to Twitch, streaming a video game, and complaining about his role, usage, and the offense in general. The squeaky wheel gets greased, and I think he’ll get greased against the Lions this weekend. The Lions’ defense has allowed Marcus Mariota and J.J. McCarthy to throw for two touchdowns the past two weeks.
Jalen Hurts is a better passer than either of them, and I think he’ll want to help keep Brown happy with his role in the offense. I expect a high-scoring game and for the Lions’ defense to limit the Eagles’ run game. Even though these are different teams than three years ago, in a 38-35 shootout, AJ Brown had 155 yards the last time he played the Lions.
Parlay Round-Robin Numbers:
By 2’s: +318
By 3’s: +751
By 4’s: +1623
5 Leg Parlay: +3369
