Only five races remain in the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series season. This week, they head to the Roval at Charlotte Motor Speedway. It’s part road course, part oval. A little of both. It’s the final road course on the Cup Series schedule. The Roval is a 2.320-mile course. With 17 turns that incorporates a majority of the oval racing surface, hence the term “Roval.” Let’s take a look at this week’s NASCAR picks, odds, and best bets for the Bank of America Roval 400 at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
This is a cut race in the NASCAR Playoffs, where the series will trim from 12 playoff drivers to just eight. Ryan Blaney is locked into the Round of 8 via his win at New Hampshire. Chase Elliott joined him as a member of the final eight with his win at Kansas Speedway in dramatic fashion on the last lap last week. The six drivers above the cutoff line going into the Roval include Kyle Larson (+54), Denny Hamlin (+48), Christopher Bell (+44), William Byron (+40), Chase Briscoe (+21), and Joey Logano (+13). Below the cut line and needing points or the win that locks them into the Round of 8 are Ross Chastain (-13), Bubba Wallace (-26), Tyler Reddick (-29), and Austin Cindric (-48). There are a few clinching scenarios based on stage points and drivers falling out of the race. A win for any of the six souls guarantees their spot in the Round of 8.
Points needed at Roval to clinch no matter what anyone else does: Larson 16 (21st-place finish, no stage points), Hamlin 22 (15th), Bell 26 (11th), Byron 30 (7th), Briscoe 49 https://t.co/xmFmieRZhI
— Bob Pockrass (@bobpockrass) September 29, 2025
Odds to Win Bank of America Roval 400
Shane Van Gisbergen (-110)
Christopher Bell (+800)
Kyle Larson (+1000)
Tyler Reddick (+1200)
AJ Allmendinger (+1300)
Chase Elliott (+1400)
William Byron (+1500)
Chase Briscoe (+2200)
Ty Gibbs (+2500)
Michael McDowell (+3000)
Chris Buescher (+3000)
Ross Chastain (+3000)
Alex Bowman (+4000)
Ryan Blaney (+4000)
Austin Cindric (+5000)
Denny Hamlin (+6000)
Kyle Busch (+6000)
Carson Hocevar (+6000)
Daniel Suarez (+8000)
Joey Logano (+8000)
Bubba Wallace (+8000)
Ryan Preece (+10000)
Brad Keselowski (+20000)
John Hunter Nemechek (+25000)
Zane Smith (+35000)
Noah Gragson (+35000)
Todd Gilliland (+35000)
Justin Haley (+50000)
Austin Dillon (+50000)
Riley Herbst (+50000)
Josh Berry (+50000)
Cole Custer (+50000)
Erik Jones (+50000)
Ty Dillon (+100000)
Ricky Stenhouse Jr (+100000)
Cody Ware (+200000)
Josh Bilicki (+200000)
NASCAR Picks: Bank of America Roval 400 at Charlotte Odds and Best Bets
William Byron Over Kyle Larson (+120)
Kyle Larson won this race last race, but it’s been a rough year for him in many facets. An interesting stat from our friends at IFantasyRace.com. In 2025, Cody Ware, a well-known back marker, has an average road course finish of 30.2. While Kyle Larson’s average road course finish checks in at 31.0. That’s the worst in the entire cup series, and it’s not a small sample size, it’s five races. The Chicago Street Course, where he finished 13th, is his only run better than 32nd on the entire year when right-hand turns are the same. Pile on the fact he’s been noticeably shaken since the failed attempt at finishing the Indianapolis 500. That makes this an easy bet.
William Byron has been the opposite on road courses this year. With a 7.5 average finish on the four true road courses if you leave out his 40th-place finish at the Chicago Street Course. He’s scored finishes of second at COTA, ninth in Mexico City, eighth at Sonoma, and fourth at Watkins Glen. While Larson is capable of running well, he hasn’t at all this year. Byron is a guy you can trust to be there in the end, and at plus money, it’s too good to pass up.
AJ Allmendinger Top 5 (+230)
Allmendinger leads all drivers in average finish in the NextGen era at the Roval; his average finish through three races is 3.7. He finished just outside of the top five last year with a sixth-place run, but he loves this track. In the Xfinity Series, he has five starts. He’s won the race four times and finished second last season. His road courses haven’t looked as good this season as they normally do, but it doesn’t worry me at this number coming to the track; he’s statistically the best at.
Shane Van Gisbergen to Win (-110)
It’s not a sexy pick, but there’s a good chance it’s the right one. Road courses in NASCAR are Shane Van Gisbergen’s world, and we’re just living in it. He dominated the Chicago Street race when all the stars aligned and the situation was perfect for him. Then it took a few races, learning how NASCAR races work, learning about this NextGen car. I know I just said nice things about Kaulig Racing in the AJ Allmendinger bet, but Trackhouse is also a major upgrade from them. He finished learning COTA to open the season, where he finished sixth, and it’s been lights out since then. Four straight road course wins for Van Gisbergen at Mexico City, Chicago Street Race, Sonoma, and Watkins Glen. He’s hardly been challenged, and I don’t see a reason that changes here. Shane makes it five in a row on Sunday.
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