The NFL Season is almost here! Since our last NFL win totals update two months ago, there has been quite a bit of movement. Some teams haven’t just had the lines juiced up or down, but have had their number of games change as well. This is the last win totals tracking until the season starts. Let’s take one last look and decide which NFL Futures we’re placing on the wins or losses!
Check out the SGP Guys’ win totals episode here.
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2025 NFL Win Totals Tracking: August Win Totals Futures Bets
NFC North
| Detroit Lions | 10.5 (-110/-110) | 10.5 (-110/-110) | 10.5 (-110/-110) | 10.5 (+100/-120) | 10.5 (+110/-130) |
| Chicago Bears | 8.5 (+110/-130) | 8.5 (+110/-130) | 8.5 (+100/-120) | 8.5 (+105/-125) | 8.5 (+115/-135) |
| Green Bay Packers | 9.5 (-120/+100) | 9.5 (-120/+100) | 9.5 (-120/+100) | 9.5 (-120/+100) | 9.5 (-120/+100) |
| Minnesota Vikings | 8.5 (-130/+110) | 8.5 (-145/+120) | 8.5 (-145/+120) | 8.5 (-145/+120) | 9.5 (+105/-125) |
The NFC North had three changes to its team’s NFL win totals. The Green Bay Packers were the only NFC North team to keep the same number of games and the same juice on the over/under. Two teams had their odds change on the number of games, and one had a complete change in the number of games.
The Vikings were the team that changed the odds as far as the number of wins. They’ve been at 8.5 wins throughout the offseason. It appears J.J. McCarthy and the Vikings have done enough for their win total to jump up to 9.5. Yes, it’s at +105. However, it shows that bettors like them a lot. Personally, I like the under.
The Lions and Bears both had some odds changed on their number of games. The Lions have been losing some confidence this offseason. Their 10.5 wins have gone from -110 to +100, to now being +110. Although they are still favored to win this division. The Bears have also lost confidence from bettors. Their 8.5 games have gone from +100 to +105 to +115. They are now projected to finish fourth in the division again.
According to the betting odds, we’ll see the Lions, Packers, Vikings, and then Bears. Personally, I like the Bears and Packers over.
NFC East
| Philadelphia Eagles | 11.5 (-110/-110) | 11.5 (-110/-110) | 11.5 (-110/-110) | 11.5 (-110/-110) | 11.5 (+110/-130) |
| New York Giants | 5.5 (+115/-140) | 5.5 (+115/-140) | 5.5 (+110/-130) | 5.5 (+125/-155) | 5.5 (-120/+100) |
| Dallas Cowboys | 7.5 (+105/-125) | 7.5 (+100/-120) | 7.5 (-130/+110) | 7.5 (-160/+135) | 7.5 (-170/+140) |
| Washington Commanders | 9.5 (-120/+120) | 9.5 (-125/+105) | 9.5 (-125/+105) | 9.5 (-125/+105) | 9.5 (-110/-110) |
The 2025 Win Totals for the NFC East saw odds change on all four teams. The division is still expected to finish Eagles, Commanders, Cowboys, and then Giants. However, the odds on the number of wins have changed. We’ll start with the Eagles, who went from -110 on the over 11.5 wins to now being +110. The movement doesn’t make a lot of sense to me, unless bettors think the defense is going to really regress.
The Commanders’ 9.5 over odds have gone from -125 to -110. It’s another team that is starting to lose a little steam, but not much. Terry McLaurin wants a trade. Rumors are swirling that Brian Robinson will be traded. I don’t quite see the reason to fade them, and I’m on the over.
The Cowboys have gained a little steam, but not a lot. They’re hovering around 7.5 to 8.5 wins. If you’re a big Cowboys believer, it makes more sense to take over 8.5 since the 7.5 number has gone from -160 to -170.
Finally, the Giants are finally getting some steam. Maybe it’s the defense, or maybe it’s how good Jaxson Dart has looked in the preseason. They were over 5.5 wins at +125. It is now juiced to -120 to hit the over. I said right away I was on this over, and I still am. However, I hope you got it when it was at +125.
NFC West
| San Francisco 49ers | 10.5 (+110/-130) | 10.5 (+110/-130) | 10.5 (+110/-130) | 10.5 (+110/-130) | 10.5 (+110/-130) |
| Arizona Cardinals | 8.5 (+100/-120) | 8.5 (+100/-120) | 8.5 (+100/-120) | 8.5 (-110/-110) | 8.5 (-125/+105) |
| Seattle Seahawks | 8.5 (+115/-140) | 8.5 (+115/-140) | 8.5 (+115/-140) | 8.5 (+115/-140) | 8.5 (+110/-130) |
| LA Rams | 9.5 (-130/+110) | 9.5 (-130/+110) | 9.5 (-145/+120) | 9.5 (-145/+120) | 9.5 (-145/+120) |
The NFC West didn’t have quite as many changes. The 49ers have stayed the same throughout the entire offseason. They are right at 10.5 wins with the over at +110 and the under at -130. The Rams also haven’t changed since May. They’re at 9.5 wins, with the over being -145 and the under at +120. If I’m fading either of these teams, it’s the 49ers.
The other two teams saw some changes, however. The Cardinals are picking up some steam. Their over 8.5 wins have steadily gone up and are now sitting at -125 after being -110 in June. I think they could end up stealing this division as long as Kyler doesn’t Kyler.
The Seahawks have gained just a slight bit of confidence. Perhaps it’s been Sam Darnold’s accuracy and consistency in the preseason that has helped bettors feel more confident. They were over 8.5 wins at +115 all offseason. They’ve now jumped to over 8.5 at +110. A small jump, but a jump nonetheless. I still like the under at -130.
NFC South
| New Orleans Saints | 6.5 (-110/-110) | 6.5 (+125/-150) | 6.5 (+155/-180) | 6.5 (+160/-190) | 4.5 (-140/+115) |
| Carolina Panthers | 6.5 (-125/+105) | 6.5 (-125/+105) | 6.5 (-125/+105) | 6.5 (-125/+105) | 6.5 (-130/+110) |
| Atlanta Falcons | 7.5 (-115/-105) | 7.5 (-120/+100) | 7.5 (-120/+100) | 7.5 (-140/+115) | 7.5 (-140/+115) |
| Tampa Bay Bucs | 9.5 (-105/-115) | 9.5 (-105/-115) | 9.5 (-105/-115) | 9.5 (-105/-115) | 9.5 (-105/-115) |
The NFC South win totals had one of the biggest moves. The Bucs and Falcons have both stayed the same. The division is expected to end with the Bucs in first, followed by the Falcons, Panthers, and Saints. This is going to be an interesting division to see how it plays out. Can Baker keep playing strong, and can Penix overperform for the Falcons?
The Panthers are gaining some steam from bettors. They have been over 6.5 wins at -125 all offseason, but have now gone to -130. I think the Panthers could be surprisingly good this year. They did a lot of work on both sides of the ball this offseason, and it will pay off if Bryce Young can play like he did in the last three games last year.
The biggest change was the New Orleans Saints. They still haven’t named a starting quarterback. Nobody knows if it will be last year’s rookie Spencer Rattler or this year’s rookie Tyler Shough. The Saints were at 6.5 wins at +160. They have dropped all the way to 4.5 wins. Over 4.5 wins is at -140, and the under is at +115.
AFC North
| Baltimore Ravens | 11.5 (-115/-105) | 11.5 (-115/-105) | 11.5 (-115/-105) | 11.5 (-115/-105) | 11.5 (-115/-105) |
| Cleveland Browns | 4.5 (-150/+125) | 4.5 (-160/+130) | 4.5 (-160/+130) | 4.5 (-160/+130) | 4.5 (-145/+120) |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 8.5 (+110/-130) | 8.5 (+110/-130) | 8.5 (+110/-130) | 8.5 (-110/-110) | 8.5 (-115/-105) |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 9.5 (-150/+125) | 9.5 (-150/+125) | 9.5 (-150/+125) | 9.5 (-150/+125) | 9.5 (-105/-115) |
The AFC North had three teams change in odds. The only team that stayed consistent was the team predicted to win the division, the Ravens. Their NFL win total is at 11.5 and has had -115 on the over all offseason.
Next is the Bengals. However, it looks like some confidence is lost over the Trey Hendrickson issues. They have been at 9.5, juiced to -150, all offseason. However, it’s now dropped to -105. It’s still a favorite for them to hit the over, but maybe bettors are planning on fading them with no done deal for Hendrickson.
The Steelers also had some odds changed. After signing Rodgers, their 8.5 win total had gone from +110 to -110. However, it’s continued to go up, slightly, to -115. Can he carry them to another season over .500? Finally, we have the Browns. They’ve been at 4.5 wins with the over being -160 for months now. Suddenly, after naming Joe Flacco as their quarterback, they over has dropped to -145.
I’m not very confident in this division. I’d like to fade Rodgers, but Tomlin is so good.
AFC East
| Buffalo Bills | 11.5 (-145/+120) | 11.5 (-160/+135) | 11.5 (-160/+135) | 11.5 (-175/+145) | 11.5 (-175/+145) |
| New York Jets | 5.5 (-145/+120) | 5.5 (-145/+120) | 5.5 (-160/+135) | 5.5 (-160/+135) | 5.5 (-155/+130) |
| Miami Dolphins | 8.5 (+110/-130) | 8.5 (+115/-135) | 8.5 (+135/-160) | 8.5 (+150/-180) | 7.5 (-105/-115) |
| New England Patriots | 8.5 (+115/-135) | 8.5 (+115/-140) | 8.5 (+100/-120) | 8.5 (-120/+100) | 8.5 (-110/-110) |
For the AFC East win totals, we had another three teams change slightly. We did have one team lose a full game. We also had the Buffalo Bills, who saw no change. They remain the favorites, by a long shot, to win the division. They are followed by the Patriots, the Dolphins, and then the Jets.
The Patriots have remained at 8.5 all offseason. However, the odds on the over/under have changed repeatedly. They went from +115 to +100 initially. Then the over was juiced up to -120 two months ago. It has now dropped to -110.
The Dolphins lost a full game. Whether it’s the injuries they’re dealing with or just a lack of faith in some of their key players staying healthy, bettors are losing confidence. They were at 8.5 games all offseason. Right after the draft, they were at 8.5 wins with the over at +115 and the under at -135. They’ve now dropped to a 7.5 over/under for NFL win totals. The over is at -105 and the under is at -115.
Finally, we have the Jets. I still think their win total is too low at 5.5 However, the over is juiced at -155, slightly down from the past three months when it was at -160.
AFC West
| Kansas City Chiefs | 11.5 (-110/-110) | 11.5 (-110/-110) | 11.5 (+100/-120) | 11.5 (+100/-120) | 11.5 (+100/-120) |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 6.5 (-130/+110) | 6.5 (-145/+120) | 6.5 (-145/+120) | 6.5 (-145/+120) | 6.5 (-145/+120) |
| LA Chargers | 9.5 (-110/-110) | 9.5 (-110/-110) | 9.5 (-110/-110) | 9.5 (-110/-110) | 9.5 (-105/-115) |
| Denver Broncos | 9.5 (-110/-110) | 9.5 (-110/-110) | 9.5 (-110/-110) | 9.5 (-105/-115) | 9.5 (-125/+105) |
The AFC West has been an interesting one to watch because it seems like the confidence continues to switch between the Chargers and the Broncos. They were neck and neck for a lot of the offseason. Then, two months ago, the Chargers were slightly ahead, with their over 9.5 wins sitting at -110. Meanwhile, the Broncos were at -105 for the over. Now, the Chargers have dropped to -105 on their over while the Broncos are -125.
This will be a very competitive division, and I expect these two teams to remain neck and neck. If the Broncos can keep the momentum going from last year, however, I think they leapfrog the Chargers. Therefore, I’ll take the over.
The Chiefs and Raiders remained the same. The Chiefs over 11.5 wins is at even money. Meanwhile, the Raiders are at 6.5 wins, with the over sitting at -145 since right after the draft.
AFC South
| Tennessee Titans | 5.5 (-150/+125) | 5.5 (-150/+125) | 5.5 (-150/+125) | 5.5 (-150/+125) | 5.5 (-170/+140) |
| Indianapolis Colts | 7.5 (-110/-110) | 7.5 (-110/-110) | 7.5 (-110/-110) | 7.5 (-110/-110) | 6.5 (-145/+120) |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 7.5 (-125/+100) | 7.5 (-125/+100) | 7.5 (-125/+100) | 7.5 (-125/+100) | 7.5 (-125/+100) |
| Houston Texans | 9.5 (+100/-120) | 9.5 (+100/-120) | 9.5 (+100/-120) | 9.5 (+100/-120) | 9.5 (+100/-120) |
The AFC South saw another team’s NFL Win total drop a full game. The Indianapolis Colts named Daniel Jones their starter, and suddenly their win total went from 7.5 games to 6.5. Personally, I think Jones gets a bad rap and I’m taking the over. Especially when the Titans and Jaguars don’t exactly impress me, and the Texans’ offensive line is very worrisome. That’s six games on their schedule that are very up in the air.
Speaking of the Titans, Cam Ward’s preseason gave bettors some more confidence. They are so close to jumping up to 6.5 wins instead of the 5.5 they’ve been sitting at. They were -150 on the over ever since the draft. However, they’ve now gone to -170.
