NASCAR heads to wine country this weekend! It’s back-to-back road courses as they take on the 1.99-mile circuit for 110 laps. Kyle Larson is the defending race winner. Road course ace Shane Van Gisbergen, the winner of both last week’s Chicago Street Course and Mexico, is the favorite. Let’s take a look at this week’s NASCAR picks, odds, and best bets for the Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma.
NASCAR is now past the halfway point of the season, leaving just seven races remaining in the regular season. With 12 different winners in 2025, the race to make the NASCAR playoffs is quickly heating up. The NASCAR In-Season Tournament is also still going on, and is down to the final eight drivers. Alex Bowman and Ty Dillon will face off. John Hunter Nemechek and Erik Jones take on a Legacy Motor Club battle. Tyler Reddick and Ryan Preece match up, and Ty Gibbs and Zane Smith round out the final matchup.
NASCAR Picks: Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Odds and Best Bets
Shane Van Gisbergen +135
Kyle Larson +650
Michael McDowell +1000
Chase Elliott +1200
Ty Gibbs +1400
Chris Buescher +1400
Tyler Reddick +1400
William Byron +1600
AJ Allmendinger +2200
Christopher Bell +2200
Ross Chastain +2500
Kyle Busch +3000
Alex Bowman +3500
Chase Briscoe +3500
Ryan Blaney +3500
Denny Hamlin +4000
Daniel Suarez +5000
Carson Hocevar +5000
Joey Logano +5000
Ryan Preece +6000
Austin Cindric +6000
Brad Keselowski +10000
Todd Gilliland +25000
Bubba Wallace +25000
Justin Haley +25000
John Hunter Nemechek +25000
Zane Smith +25000
Noah Gragson +35000
Austin Dillon +35000
Erik Jones +35000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +50000
Cole Custer +50000
Josh Berry +50000
Riley Herbst +50000
Cody Ware +10000
Katherine Legge +10000
NASCAR Picks: Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Odds and Best Bets
Christopher Bell Over William Byron (-110)
William Byron and this #24 Hendrick Motorsports team seem to hit the same summer lull that Jimmie Johnson always had. It gets to a point each summer where they fall off and fade away for a while. That’s been the case lately. Byron hasn’t finished better than 27th in the last three weeks and only has one finish better than that in the last month (5 races). The last two seasons, Sonoma was at the beginning of June, but Byron still finished 30th last year and just 14th in 2023.
Both of the last two seasons, Christopher Bell has finished in ninth, beating Byron by 21 and five spots respectively. Bell is three for three on road/street courses, beating Byron this year with a win at COTA and a second-place finish at Mexico City. Bell has finished in the top 10 in seven of the last 11 road courses. 11 of his 20-road course starts in the NextGen era have resulted in top 10s. In 16 of the 20, he’s been inside the top 20. I’ll lean on Bell’s consistency and Byron’s current downward projection. I also like Bell’s outright number at 22/1.
Ty Gibbs Top 5 (+220)
We’re going to run this back after hitting it last week in Chicago. Ty Gibbs just showed the world at Mexico how good of a road course driver he is. He went toe to toe with Van Gisbergen and didn’t back down. An ill-timed caution and bad strategy cost him a chance at the win in that one. Now the team has put competition director Chris Gabehart on top of the box to help Gibbs’ rookie crew chief call strategy. A move that shows they want to push this young driver in the right direction. He followed it up last week with a second-place run at Chicago.
Gibbs has finished in the top five in five of his last 10 road course starts in the Cup Series. He’s riding a streak of five races in a row with finishes inside the top 15 and is figuring things out. Gibbs will be a contender to win this race and finish inside the top 5.
Tyler Reddick to Win (+1400)
This is a disrespectful number for a driver who’s finished top three in two of the three road course races this season. Reddick has yet to win a race in 2025, but the 2924 regular season champion was a 34-second earlier caution away from giving Van Gisbergen a run for his money last week on fresh tires. Reddick has won three road course races in the NextGen era and has 14 top 10s in 20 starts. He always keeps himself in the conversation and led 37 laps here last season. It’s SVG’s race to lose, but Reddick is a good insurance policy to be holding.
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