2025 NFL Win Totals Tracking: June Win Totals Futures Bets

At the beginning of the month, prior to the draft, I released an article tracking the current market on 2025 NFL win totals. There was also one after the draft here, and another in May. I’ll be keeping a continuous article going, tracking each month how they change. From May to June, we had the most movement on win total lines. Let’s take a look at the current future NFL win totals market and the changes from last month.

Check out the SGP Guys’ win totals episode here.

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2025 NFL Win Totals Tracking: June Win Totals Futures Bets

NFC North

The NFC North had two changes to the NFL win totals market from May to June. The Vikings and the Packers stayed the same, while the Lions and Bears changed slightly. The NFC North has one of the highest averages for win totals in the full division, which will make for an interesting playoff and division winner race.

While the Vikings had very few changes, the Packers released their cornerback Jaire Alexander. The Packers were expected to try and trade him if they couldn’t come to an agreement on a restructured contract. Therefore, it didn’t change their win totals any.

One team that did have a change is the Lions. The Lions are still sitting at 10.5 wins for the total. However, in May, the over and under were both at -110. Perhaps some faith has been lost in the Lions to be able to keep performing at a high level after losing both offensive and defensive coordinators. The over is now at +100, while the under is at -120. I still think Dan Campbell is one of the better coaches, so betting the over at plus money is good value.

The other team with changes is the Bears. After the draft, the Bears were sitting at the same spot as before the draft, with over 8.5 wins at +110. Last month, the over dipped down to +100. It seems like the market has regressed back a little as their over total is now at +105, with the under at -125. I’m a Bears fan, I have high expectations, however, I liked it at +110 and +100, so of course I like the Bears over 8.5 at +105.

NFC East

The 2025 Win Totals market for the NFC East also had two teams change and two teams stay the same. It’s important to note that, as of now, no team’s win total number has changed since pre-draft, just the odds on that number have changed. It will likely take a big injury or big news to move the actual number. However, there’s still value to be found.

The Eagles and the Commanders both stayed the same. The Eagles haven’t moved since pre-draft, sitting at 11.5 wins at -110 for the over and under. The Commanders moved post-draft just slightly as the over was juiced up. Since then, they have stayed the same.

It would seem as if Vegas and bettors are losing a little faith in the Giants. They were at +110 on the over 5.5 wins last month. Now the under is juiced more than it has been since this article, as the under 5.5 wins went from -130 to -155. Maybe I’m stubborn, but I have more faith in Russell Wilson than most. Wilson’s first year with the Broncos is the only time he’s won less than 6 games. I like the over 5.5 wins at +125, especially with their nasty defensive line.

The other team that had movement was the Dallas Cowboys. Their win total was set at 7.5. After the George Pickens trade, the odds on the over went from +100 to -130. That movement has continued as they are now -160 to have over 7.5 wins and +135 on the under. The over is too juiced, and I’m not confident in the under.

NFC West

The NFC West had only one change in its win totals. The current standings would put the 49ers finishing first, then the Rams, the Cardinals, and then the Seahawks.

The 49ers and the Seahawks’ odds have been the same since 4/7, prior to the draft. The Rams changed last month, but stayed the same this month. The Arizona Cardinals were the only change, as some confidence is growing in them. On 4/28, I suggested taking the over 8.5 wins at +100. It’s now juiced to -110, but I still like the over. 

NFC South

The NFC South was another division that had two changes to the NFL Win totals market from last month. The Panthers and the Bucs stayed the same. However, the Falcons and Saints both saw changes. It’s interesting tracking these changes when not much on the team has changed. To me, this indicates the way the betting market is going.

For example, the Saints’ win total is still the same at 6.5 wins. However, the over odds went from +155 to +160, and the under went from -180 to -190. Nothing has changed on the team except a few reports that Spencer Rattler has a slight leg up on the quarterback competition. To me, this indicates that money has come in on the under. It’s now so juiced, it’s not worth the bet.

The other team that had a chance was the Atlanta Falcons, as more confidence grew in their over win total. They are set at 7.5 wins, and the over shifted from -120 to -140. It’s the most juiced the number has been in the past four months. The only change they’ve had is that Kirk Cousins showed up to training camp. Perhaps the confidence in him being there in the event Penix gets hurt is enough to move the needle for some.

AFC North

The AFC North had just one change to it, and the reason is obvious. The Ravens, Bengals, and Browns all remained the same. However, the arrival of Aaron Rodgers has caused the number to shift slightly. Their NFL Win totals market was favoring the under 8.5 wins at -130 last month. The over was sitting at +110.

Now, Aaron Rodgers has officially signed with the team. This didn’t buy them any more wins, but it did change the odds. The over 8.5 wins is now set at -110, and the under is at -110. If anybody can screw up Tomlin’s over .500 record, it’s the aging Rodgers.

AFC East

For the second straight month, the AFC East had the most changes for NFL win totals. Every team except for the Jets had a shift in the odds on their win totals. The current odds favor the Bills winning the division, followed by the Patriots. The Dolphins look like they would finish third, followed by the Jets in last.

From the pricing adjustments, it would appear as if Bettors are favoring the Bills and Patriots, and fading the Dolphins. The Bills’ over 11.5 win total was juiced to -160. It’s even higher now at -175. You want to foreshadow any injury, but if Josh Allen happens to get hurt, do we believe in this team? I don’t. +145 on the under has some value.

The Patriots over 8.5 wins went from +100 to -120. The under did the opposite, going from -120 to +100. I love the changes the Patriots made this season, from coaching changes to player changes. However, this would be a big leap from last year. With the under being plus money, I’m sprinkling a little on it. 

Finally, the Dolphins continue to get faded by the betting market. Their over 8.5 wins were sitting at +135 and have now gone to +150. I agree with the line getting more juiced towards the under, but at -180, there just isn’t enough value.

AFC West

The AFC West only had one change from last month. The division odds for the Chiefs to win remain the same. Behind them, the Chargers are now in sole second place after being tied with the Broncos last month. The Raiders are bringing up the rear.

The one change to the NFL Win totals this month is to the Broncos. There may be fewer Bo-Lievers out there as Bo Nix’s team win total has gone from -110 on the over to -105. This would indicate that more money has come in on the under. All eyes will be on Nix to avoid a sophomore slump. Expectations are high, which makes sense on why the money is coming in on the under.

AFC South

The AFC South didn’t have any changes in the NFL win totals for the second straight month. The Texans are favored to win the division, followed by the Jaguars, the Colts, and last, the Titans.

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