At the beginning of the month, prior to the draft, I released an article tracking the current market on 2025 NFL win totals. I’ll be keeping a continuous article going, tracking each month how they change. Now that the draft is over and everybody has made their picks, let’s see which teams’ win totals were affected.
Check out the SGP Guys’ win totals episode here.
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2025 NFL Win Totals Tracking: Post-Draft NFL Win Totals Futures Bets
NFC North
2025 NFL Post-Draft Win Totals
Detroit Lions: 10.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Green Bay Packers: 9.5 (Over -120/Under +100)
Chicago Bears: 8.5 (Over +110/Under -130)
Minnesota Vikings: 8.5 (Over -145/Under +120)
Last time we talked 2025 NFL win totals, I like the Lions and Bears overs and the Vikings under. For more details on each team’s changes and what I liked then, check out the original article. The Lions didn’t have a ton of needs. However, they used their picks to add depth to their already really good roster.
The Packers used two of their first three picks on wide receivers, adding Matthew Golden and Savion Williams. It didn’t move the needle any, but it should help over bettors feel a little more confident.
The Bears focused their first three picks on offense, adding a tight end, a wide receiver, and an offensive tackle. They waited until the very last round to add to the running back room with Rutgers’ standout Kyle Monangai.
The Vikings only had five picks. They used those to get a guard, another wide receiver, an edge, a linebacker, and a tight end.
Even after all four teams had decent drafts, there was no movement in prices except for the Vikings. Their win total remains the same at this time. However, over 8.5 wins was juiced a little higher to -145 from its original -130.
The good news is, if you like the Vikings to take a step back with J.J. McCarthy at the helm, the under is now +120 instead of +110.
NFC East
2025 NFL Post-Draft Win Totals
Philadelphia Eagles: 11.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Washington Commanders: 9.5 (Over -125/Under +105)
Dallas Cowboys: 7.5 (Over +100/Under -120)
New York Giants: 5.5 (Over +115/Under -140)
The 2025 Win Totals market for the NFC East didn’t see any win totals change, but the price of the over and under did change on two teams.
The Eagles focused most of their early picks on adding to their defense, including Alabama linebacker Jihaad Campbell.
Confidence is growing in the Commanders, who were over 9.5 at -120 and are now -125. Hopefully, from the first article, you took them back when they were -120 to get a little bit better of a price. Everything will rely on Jayden Daniels and how he does in his sophomore year. Washington helped him out by taking an offensive tackle in the first round.
The other price that changed was the Dallas Cowboys. While they’re over 7.5 games is still plus money, it fell from +105 to +100. Many expected the Cowboys to take a running back with one of their first two picks. However, they waited until the fifth round to do so.
I expected the Giants’ price to change, but it’s currently sitting the same. If you look at what they were able to accomplish on defense last year, they should have a scary defense after adding Penn State rusher Abdul Carter. They traded back into the first round to get quarterback Jaxson Dart.
They also took running back Cam Skattebo with their fourth pick. My favorite pick in this division right now among the 2025 NFL win totals is to take the Giants over 5.5 wins at +115.
NFC West
2025 NFL Post-Draft Win Totals
San Francisco 49ers: 10.5 (Over +110/Under -130)
LA Rams: 9.5 (Over -130/Under +110)
Seattle Seahawks: 8.5 (Over +115/Under -140)
Arizona Cardinals: 8.5 (Over +100/Under -120)
There were no changes to the 2025 NFL win totals for the NFC West. Each team has the same win total amount, plus the same odds for the over and under.
The 49ers focused on their defense with their first five picks. They added edge rusher Mykel Williams and defensive tackle Alfred Collins in the first two rounds. In the third round, they added linebacker Nick Martin and cornerback Upton Stout before taking another defensive tackle in the fourth.
The Rams traded out of the first round. In the second, they signed Terrance Ferguson out of Oregon. The 6-5 tight end should be a really good weapon for Matt Stafford.
The Seahawks added a plethora of talent in the first three rounds. They grabbed North Dakota State offensive linemen Grey Zabel in the first. Then they took safety Nick Emmanwori in the second, as well as tight end Elijah Arroyo. Finally, in the third, they took former Alabama quarterback Jalen Milroe to learn behind Sam Darnold.
The Cardinals only drafted one offensive player. They focused all of their other six picks on defense, in hopes of improving their defensive unit.
NFC South
2025 NFL Post-Draft Win Totals
Tampa Bay Bucs: 9.5 (Over -105/Under -115)
Atlanta Falcons: 7.5 (Over -120/Under +100)
New Orleans Saints: 6.5 (Over +125/Under -150)
Carolina Panthers: 6.5 (Over -125/Under +105)
The Bucs’ win total and over/under prices stayed the same for their 2025 NFL win totals. They used a first-round pick on wide receiver Emeka Egbuka, which was interesting given that it wasn’t their biggest need. They must have just gone with their top need. I also really like their fourth-round pick, edge rusher David Walker.
The Falcons’ over win total price went from -115 to -120, slightly more juiced after the draft. They finally addressed their pass rush by taking Jalon Walker and then trading back into the first round for Tennessee edge rusher James Pearce Jr.
The Saints had the biggest shift in win total pricing. They saw their over total odds go from -110 to +125 and under from -110 to -150. The biggest reason for the shift is their choice to draft Tyler Shough as their quarterback. With Carr likely out for part of the season, all eyes will be on Shough or last year’s rookie Spencer Rattler.
The Panthers’ pricing didn’t move even after grabbing the top wide receiver in the draft and two really good edge rushers. They also added Georgia running back Trevor Etienne in the fourth round. The biggest question is whether Bryce Young can take the next step.
AFC North
2025 NFL Post-Draft Win Totals
Baltimore Ravens: 11.5 (Over -115/Under -105)
Cincinnati Bengals: 9.5 (Over -150/Under +125)
Pittsburgh Steelers: 8.5 (Over +110/Under -130)
Cleveland Browns: 4.5 (Over -160/Under +130)
The AFC North win totals only saw one chance in pricing. The Browns to win over 4.5 games went from -150 to -160. They added the top defensive tackle in the draft with their first pick and a really good linebacker with their second.
The Browns then turned their focus to the offense after that, taking two running backs in Quinshon Judkins and Dylan Sampson and a tight end in Harold Fannin. They also added two quarterbacks, taking Dillon Gabriel in the third and Shedeur Sanders in the fifth.
Baltimore added some nice depth pieces to help their defense in safety Malaki Starks and edge rusher Mike Green. Cincinnati added edge rush help and a linebacker in Shemar Stewart and Demetrius Knight. However, they still failed to address the tackle position on their offensive line, which could be an issue for Burrow.
The Steelers added defensive tackle Derrick Harmon in the first round. They added hard-nosed running back Kaleb Johnson in the second. He’s going to be a stud. Many expected them to add a quarterback, given that their current starter is Mason Rudolph. They did in the sixth round with Will Howard. I had them drafting him in all my mocks and feel he really fits Tomlin’s mold.
AFC East
2025 NFL Post-Draft Win Totals
Buffalo Bills: 11.5 (Over -160/Under +135)
New England Patriots: 8.5 (Over +115/Under -140)
Miami Dolphins: 8.5 (Over +115/Under -135)
New York Jets: 5.5 (Over -145/Under +120)
When the over gets more juiced, a team has to feel like they did things correctly. When the under gets more juiced, they have to be wondering where they went wrong.
The Bills’ 2025 NFL win totals price saw the over go from -145 to -160. They filled almost every need they had with the draft and will look to continue to play competitively in the AFC.
The Patriots saw their under go from -135 to -140. Apparently, bettors and the books aren’t as confident in the changes, even though they added offensive tackle Will Campbell with their first pick. They also took running back TreVeyon Henderson and wide receiver Kyle Williams. The first three picks focused on helping their quarterback is a great step in the right direction.
The Dolphins saw their odds get longer as well. They’re still at 8.5 wins, but the over went from +110 to +115 and the under went from -130 to -135. One of their biggest needs seemed to be the offensive tackle position, and they failed to address it.
The Jet’s price didn’t change. However, I like how they added offensive tackle Armand Membou to help protect Justin Fields and tight end Mason Taylor to give him another weapon. I believe Fields can get this steam over six wins.
AFC West
2025 NFL Post-Draft Win Totals
Kansas City Chiefs: 11.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
LA Chargers: 9.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Denver Broncos: 9.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Las Vegas Raiders: 6.5 (Over -145/Under +120)
The only change in this division was with the Raiders. Their 2025 NFL win totals went from over -130 to -145. The under also adjusted, going from +110 to +120. A lot of that has to be that they added the best running back in the draft in Ashton Jeanty.
The Chiefs hit all their draft needs, starting the draft with an offensive tackle, defensive tackle, edge rusher, and cornerback. They also added a running back with their seventh-round pick. The Chargers had a solid draft, adding running back Omarian Hampton and wide receiver Tre Harris with their first two picks.
The Broncos took the top cornerback in the first round. In the second, they added their running back of the future in RJ Harvey.
AFC South
2025 NFL Pre-Draft Win Totals
Houston Texans: 9.5 (Over +100/Under -120)
Indianapolis Colts: 7.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Jacksonville Jaguars: 7.5 (Over -125/Under +100)
Tennessee Titans: 5.5 (Over -150/Under +125)
The AFC South didn’t have any 2025 NFL Win totals changes. The Texans added two Iowa State wide receivers in Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel. They also drafted Aireontae Ersery out of Minnesota, which fills a big need.
The Colts took tight end Tyler Warren with their first pick and edge rusher JT Tuimoloau with their second. The Jaguars traded to get Travis Hunter with the second pick in the draft. They then took a cornerback with their third-round draft pick.
Many thought the Jags needed a defensive tackle, a wide receiver, and a tight end as well. However, the Jags brass must have felt differently.
The Titans drafted Cam Ward number one overall, and their season will ride on his success.
Check back every month for updates on the NFL Win totals and futures for each team.
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